Report
Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke
EUR 47.73 For Business Accounts Only

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

Key Points:
• No one knows just how the COVID-19 plays out, but the consumer is panicking and loading up on household items to weather out the storm as store shelves empty from the possible spread of the COVID-19 virus.
• We have pointed out a number of times that the high-yield spreads (spread between the 10-yr treasury and high yield) is the canary in the coal mine. Historically when this spread contracts it is a signal to indicate that investors are returning to risk assets. (see page 3)
• Gold long-term remains extremely attractive, however the miners continue to underperform and that is quite unusual. Historically miners outperform the shiny metal during bull markets, and underperform during bear market. (See cover and page 5)
Underlyings
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings

BJ's Wholesale Club holding is a holding company. Through its subsidiary, the company is a warehouse club operator. The company delivers value to its members, consistently providing 25% or more savings on a representative basket of manufacturer-branded groceries compared. The company provides a curated assortment focused on perishable products, continuously refreshed general merchandise, gasoline and other ancillary services to deliver a shopping experience. The company operates warehouse club in New York, Florida, Massachusetts, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Connecticut, Virginia, Maryland, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Ohio, Georgia, Delaware, Maine, Rhode Island and South Carolina.

Costco Wholesale Corporation

Costco Wholesale and its subsidiaries are principally engaged in the operation of membership warehouses based on the concept of providing its members low prices on a selection of nationally branded and private-label products. The company's merchandise are: food and sundries, which include dry foods, packaged foods, and groceries, snack foods, candy, alcoholic and nonalcoholic beverages, and cleaning supplies; hardlines, which include appliances, electronics, health and beauty aids, hardware, and garden and patio; fresh food, which include meat, produce, deli, and bakery; softlines, which include apparel and small appliances; and ancillary, which include gas stations and pharmacy businesses.

Etsy Inc.

Etsy provides sellers a marketplace with buyers along with a range of seller tools and services that are specifically designed to help its creative entrepreneurs generate more sales and scale their businesses. The company's platform includes the Etsy and Reverb Holdings, Inc. (Reverb) online marketplaces, its seller tools and services, its engaged sellers and buyers, and its technology. The company's primary marketplace, Etsy.com, is where buyers come to discover a selection of goods that are hard to find elsewhere. Reverb, the company's subsidiary, operates as a standalone marketplace. This two-sided marketplace connects buyers and sellers of new, used, and vintage musical gear from all over the world.

FARO Technologies Inc.

FARO Technologies designs, develops, manufactures, markets and supports software driven, three-dimensional (3D) measurement and imaging solutions. The company's segments are: 3D Manufacturing, which provides solutions for 3D measurement and inspection in an industrial or manufacturing environment; Construction Building Information Modeling, which provides solutions for as-built data capturing and 3D visualization in building information modeling applications; and Emerging Verticals , which provides 3D solutions to capture and edit 3D shapes of products, people, and/or environments for design purposes in product development, computer graphics, and dental and medical applications.

Kroger Co.

Kroger operates as a retailer. The company also manufacture and process some of the food for sale in its supermarkets. Supermarkets are operated under one of the following formats: combination food and drug stores (combo stores); multi-department stores; marketplace stores; or price impact warehouses. The combo stores provide food and organic sections, pharmacies, general merchandise, pet centers and perishables such as seafood and organic produce. Marketplace provide grocery, pharmacy and health and beauty care departments as well as perishable offering and general merchandise area that includes apparel, home goods and toys.

Life Storage Inc.

Life Storage is a real estate investment trust, that owns its assets and conducts its operations through Life Storage LP (the Operating Partnership) and subsidiaries of the Operating Partnership. The company acquires, owns and manages self-storage properties. The company's self-storage properties in the United States conduct business under the name Life Storage?. The company manages certain properties located in the province of Ontario, Canada, under the Bluebird Self Storage brand. The company's self-storage facilities provide storage space to residential and commercial users. In addition to storage space, various facilities also provide outside storage for automobiles, recreational vehicles and boats.

Lumber Liquidators Holdings Inc.

Lumber Liquidators Holdings is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company engages in business as a multi-channel retailer of hard-surface flooring, and hard-surface flooring improvements and accessories, operating as a single operating segment. The company provides exotic and domestic hardwood species, engineered hardwood, laminate, resilient vinyl, waterproof vinyl plank and porcelain tile flooring direct to the consumer. The company features the renewable flooring products, bamboo and cork, and provides a selection of flooring improvements and accessories, including moldings, noise-reducing underlayment, adhesives and flooring tools. The company also provides in-home delivery and installation services.

PetMed Express Inc.

PetMed Express is a pet pharmacy. The company markets prescription and non-prescription pet medications, and other health products for dogs and cats, direct to the consumer. These pet supplies include: food, beds, crates, stairs, strollers, and other pet supplies. The company's non-prescription medications and supplies include flea and tick control products, bone and joint care products, vitamins, treats, nutritional supplements, hygiene products, and supplies. The company's prescription medications include heartworm and flea and tick preventatives, arthritis, dermatitis, thyroid, diabetes, pain medications, heart/blood pressure, and other medications, as well as generic substitutes.

SBA Communications Corp. Class A

SBA Communications is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company is an owner and operator of wireless communications infrastructure, including tower structures, rooftops, and other structures that support antennas used for wireless communications. The company's operations are in the U.S. and its territories. In its site leasing business, the company leases antenna space to wireless service providers on towers that the company owns or operates and manages rooftop and tower sites for property owners under various contractual arrangements. In its site development business, the company assists wireless service providers in developing and maintaining their own wireless service networks.

Walmart Inc.

Walmart is engaged in global operations of retail, wholesale and other units, as well as eCommerce, located throughout the U.S., Africa, Argentina, Canada, Central America, Chile, China, India, Japan, Mexico and the U.K. The company's operations are conducted in three reportable segments: Walmart U.S., which is a mass merchandiser of consumer products, operating under the Walmart and Walmart Neighborhood Market brands, as well as walmart.com, jet.com and other eCommerce brands; Walmart International, which includes various formats divided into retail, wholesale and other categories; and Sam's Club, which is a membership-only warehouse club that also operates samsclub.com.

Provider
Vermilion Research
Vermilion Research

Vermilion Research delivers timely, actionable, and unique research inputs to professional investors. Our research strategists highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various proprietary technical indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. We believe our research methodology, which is not limited by industry sector or market capitalization, enables us to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing all actively traded stocks into coherent sectors, then into logical industry groups. We then apply our proprietary relative strength tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sectors or groups, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. Vermilion offers U.S. and global equity market research products. Vermilion’s research team, which has received numerous awards and accolades, has a combined 70 year of experience in the analysis of investment securities.

Analysts
Dave Nicoski

Ross LaDuke

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