Report
Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke
EUR 47.40 For Business Accounts Only

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Ride the Trend Higher

Our outlook remains bullish following the S&P 500's multi-month base breakout above 5670, alongside constructive market dynamics which have significantly improved over the past week. In last week's Compass (11/5/24) titled "Buy the Pullback," we discussed how we were buyers, noting that "once past the election, starting as early as today (election day) or tomorrow (day after the election), we believe there will be a strong end-of-year rally that will extend into the early part of 2025." The strong rally officially started on election day, and all that is left to do is ride the trend higher into year-end and the early part of 2025. We expect to see support at the 20-day MAs (where we would buy) on the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM), though it is possible that the IWM could find support at its 8-day EMA as smid-caps are outperforming.
Underlyings
CarGurus Class A

CarGurus is an online automotive marketplace connecting buyers and sellers of new and used cars. The company's selection of car listings provides a number of car listings available on the main United States online automotive marketplaces. In addition to the United States, the company operates online marketplaces under the CarGurus brand in Canada, the United Kingdom, Germany, Italy and Spain. Through its marketplace, the company provides consumers with information that helps them find the relevant car for their needs. A user accesses the company's marketplace through its websites or, in the United States and certain international markets, by using the company's mobile applications.

Carnival Corporation

Carnival PLC

Carvana Co. Class A

Carvana is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company is an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars. On the company's platform, consumers can research and identify a vehicle using its 360-degree vehicle imaging technology, obtain financing and warranty coverage, purchase the vehicle, and schedule delivery or pick-up, all from their desktop or mobile devices. The company uses proprietary algorithms to support its nationally pooled inventory of over 14,000 vehicles, inspect and recondition its vehicles and operates its own logistics network to deliver cars directly to customers. Customers in certain markets also have the option to pick up their vehicle at one of the company's vending machines.

Evercore Inc Class A

Evercore is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company is an investment banking advisory firm. The company's segments include: Investment Banking, which includes the advisory business through which it provides advice to clients on mergers, acquisitions, divestitures, shareholder activism and other corporate transactions, and the Evercore International Strategy and Investment business through which it provides macroeconomic, policy and fundamental equity research and agency-based equity securities trading for institutional investors; and Investment Management, which includes the wealth management business through which it provides investment advisory, wealth management and fiduciary services.

Freedom Holding Corp

Jefferies Financial Group Inc.

Jefferies Financial Group is a financial services company engaged in investment banking and capital markets, asset management and direct investing. The company's operating and reportable segments consist of Investment Banking, Capital Markets and Asset Management, which focuses on investment banking, equities and fixed income, and also the company primarily serves institutional investors, corporations and government entities; and Merchant Banking, which includes investments in Linkem S.p.A., the fixed wireless broadband service provider in Italy; Vitesse Energy, LLC and JETX Energy, LLC, which engaged in oil and gas production and development; and real estate.

LAZARD INC

Marcus Corporation

Marcus is engaged primarily in two business segments: movie theatres and hotels and resorts. The movie theatres segment operates multiscreen motion picture theatres in Wisconsin, Illinois, Iowa, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, Arkansas, Colorado, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, New York, Pennsylvania, Texas and Virginia, a family entertainment center in Wisconsin and a retail center in Missouri. The hotels and resorts segment owns and operates full service hotels and resorts in Wisconsin, Illinois, Oklahoma and Nebraska and manages full service hotels, resorts and other properties in Wisconsin, Illinois, Minnesota, Texas, Nevada, California and Nebraska.

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.

Playa Hotels & Resorts

ROYAL CARIBBEAN GROUP

Stifel Financial Corp.

Stifel Financial is a financial holding company. The company's principal subsidiary is Stifel, Nicolaus & Company, Incorporated, a retail and institutional wealth management and investment banking firm. The company's principal activities are: private client services; institutional equity and fixed income sales, trading and research, and municipal finance; investment banking services; and retail and commercial banking. The company has the following segments: Global Wealth Management, which provides securities transaction, brokerage, and investment services; and Institutional Group, which includes research, equity and fixed income institutional sales and trading, investment banking, public finance, and syndicate.

Travel Plus Leisure Co

TrueCar Inc.

TrueCar is an internet-based information, technology, and communication services company. The company helps consumers by providing information related to what others have paid for a make, model and trim of car in their area and guaranteed savings off the manufacturer's suggested retail price for that make, model and trim, as well as, in instances, price offers on actual vehicle inventory, which it refers to as Vehicle Identification Number-based offers, from its network of TrueCar Certified Dealers. The company's network of TrueCar Certified Dealers consisted mainly of new car franchises, representing various makes of cars, as well as independent dealers selling used vehicles.

Provider
Vermilion Research
Vermilion Research

Vermilion Research delivers timely, actionable, and unique research inputs to professional investors. Our research strategists highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various proprietary technical indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. We believe our research methodology, which is not limited by industry sector or market capitalization, enables us to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing all actively traded stocks into coherent sectors, then into logical industry groups. We then apply our proprietary relative strength tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sectors or groups, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. Vermilion offers U.S. and global equity market research products. Vermilion’s research team, which has received numerous awards and accolades, has a combined 70 year of experience in the analysis of investment securities.

Analysts
Dave Nicoski

Ross LaDuke

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from Vermilion Research

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch