Int'l Insights: Bullish Stocks
Bullish Technicals + EPS Estimate MomentumToday's report is a bottom-up compilation of technically attractive EAFE stocks, with one fundamental kicker: each name is accompanied by positive momentum in their FY EPS estimates.
This is accomplished by filtering for stocks whose latest EPS estimate is higher than last week's, which in turn is greater than the prior month's estimate. From this list, which is rich in relative leadership, we picked out names that are either (1) breaking out from, or (2) pulling back to base support levels... see pages 2-7
Notable themes:
• Metals & miners. One of our favorite themes, mining stocks are well-represented in this week's screen. And long-term trends in underlying industrial metals support this theme, with copper breaking out from a multi-year bottom earlier this year. Add exposure to names like Rio Tinto (RIO-GB), Aperam (APAM-NL), and Evraz (EVR-GB).
• Energy. EPS estimates are creeping higher in select energy stocks, a global sector that is bullishly inflecting. Actionable names: Royal Dutch Shell (RDSB-GB), Statoil (STO-NO), and Subsea 7 (SUBC-NO).
• No autos? No auto manufacturers passed the screen. This is curious, as technicals within this industry, ranging from GM and Toyota (TM) to Daimler (DAI-DE) and Peugeot (UG-FR), are strengthening. Add exposure.
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Duerr is a mechanical and plant engineering group based in Germany. Co. operates through five divisions: Paint and Assembly Systems (production and paint finishing technology for automotive bodyshells and aircraft); Application Technology (products and systems for automated painting applications as well as sealing and glueing technology); Measuring and Process Systems (machines and systems for use in engine, drive construction and final assembly); Clean Technology Systems (plant and equipment for purifying exhaust gases produced by industrial processes and energy efficiency technologies for production processes); and Woodworking Machinery and Systems (machinery for the woodworking industry).
Vermilion Research delivers timely, actionable, and unique research inputs to professional investors. Our research strategists highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various proprietary technical indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. We believe our research methodology, which is not limited by industry sector or market capitalization, enables us to deliver superior investment recommendations.
Our process begins by organizing all actively traded stocks into coherent sectors, then into logical industry groups. We then apply our proprietary relative strength tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sectors or groups, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. Vermilion offers U.S. and global equity market research products. Vermilion’s research team, which has received numerous awards and accolades, has a combined 70 year of experience in the analysis of investment securities.
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