Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
New Uptrend in Place on SPX; Bullish Outlook IntactIn our prior ETF Pathfinder (7/28/25) we discussed how the S&P 500 (SPX) has not closed below its 20-day MA for three months, but that even when it does, "all we would expect to happen is for a new, less-steep uptrend to form." That is precisely what has happened after the SPX finally lost its 20-day MA (for one whole day) on 8/1/25, only to get back to all-time highs last week. Therefore, we remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass). We will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX is above 6028-6059. Short-term supports on SPX include 6400-6410, 6200, 6100-6150, and 6028-6059. Buy pullbacks to these areas.
Vermilion Research delivers timely, actionable, and unique research inputs to professional investors. Our research strategists highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various proprietary technical indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. We believe our research methodology, which is not limited by industry sector or market capitalization, enables us to deliver superior investment recommendations.
Our process begins by organizing all actively traded stocks into coherent sectors, then into logical industry groups. We then apply our proprietary relative strength tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sectors or groups, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. Vermilion offers U.S. and global equity market research products. Vermilion’s research team, which has received numerous awards and accolades, has a combined 70 year of experience in the analysis of investment securities.
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