Vermilion Macro Vision: Sector Synopsis
STRATEGYOur outlook remains bullish and the significant end-of-year rally that we have been expecting since mid-October is in full swing. There is little to do besides continue to ride the trend higher following our 11/5/24 and 11/19/24 Compass reports which both had "Buy the Pullback" in the title. We also continue to expect to see support at the 20-day MAs, and possibly 50-day MAs on the Russell 2000 (IWM), S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) with small- and mid-caps likely to outperform. Ultimately, we will remain bullish as long as the S&P 500 is above 5850. This is a virtually identical setup to late-2023 where, in our November 7, 2023 Compass, we called for an end-of-year rally that would extend into the early part of 2024, and quite likely beyond. Of course, the rally lasted for all of 2024, and it is possible the same will be in store for 2025.
Aside from the objectively bullish price trends on the S&P 500, Russell 2000, and Nasdaq 100, additional market dynamics which support our
Vermilion Research delivers timely, actionable, and unique research inputs to professional investors. Our research strategists highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various proprietary technical indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. We believe our research methodology, which is not limited by industry sector or market capitalization, enables us to deliver superior investment recommendations.
Our process begins by organizing all actively traded stocks into coherent sectors, then into logical industry groups. We then apply our proprietary relative strength tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sectors or groups, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. Vermilion offers U.S. and global equity market research products. Vermilion’s research team, which has received numerous awards and accolades, has a combined 70 year of experience in the analysis of investment securities.
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