Analyst Pin-board Is inflation a risk for economic recovery?
Inflation is running hot globally Inflation is running hot in many countries from advanced economies to emerging markets, triggered by supply chain disruptions, improving demand and unprecedented stimulus packages. In the US, inflation hit 31-year high, surging by 6.2% yoy in Oct after rising by 5.4% in Sep. In the EU, annual inflation was 4.4% in Oct, up from 3.6% in Sep. In Asia, China’s inflation is much less pronounced but consumer prices are accelerating at fast pace, increasing by 1.5% in Oct compared to previous year, which was double the rate of the previous month. Notably, China’s producer price index hit 26-year high in Oct, jumping 13.5% yoy, which raised concerns about the passthrough from factory inflation to consumer prices. In ASEAN, except Philippines, inflation has been relatively benign, however, rising commodity prices have posed significant near-term risks to the region’s inflation. |
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