STK - Recycled yarn to alleviate the adverse impact of COVID-19
While the entire textile industry’s value chain is badly affected by the pandemic, STK is not an exception and the worst time, in our opinion, will be 2Q when many large markets enter the drastic phase of fighting the pandemic. Consumers' uncertainty about the economic prospects after the pandemic could lead to lower spending on some types of goods, including apparels. Low demand for apparels would indirectly affect yarn demand. However, we believe that STK can somewhat limit the impact of this trend thanks to (1) their production shift toward highly profitable recycled yarn (2) the relocation of textile production from China to Vietnam and other Asian countries and (3) the increasing trend of using domestically made yarn by Vietnamese garment companies to take advantage of EVFTA tariffs incentives.
Using methods of FCFF cash flow discount and P/E, we estimate STK’s fair value at VND 20,000 /share. With a cash dividend of VND 1,500/share in the next 12 months, the expected return is 25% compared to the closing price of May 18th, 2020. We maintain our BUY recommendation. The target price has been adjusted by 13% compared to what it was in the 2020 Strategic Report to reflect the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic
Century Synthetic Fiber Corporation (STK) is a Vietnam-based company operating in the textile industry. The Company is mainly engaged in the manufacture and commerce of synthetic yarns, with major products as draw textured yarns (DTY) and fully drawn yarns (FDY) made from polyester chips. The Company does not only distribute its products to local textile firms, but also supplied them to overseas clothing companies, such as Nike, Adidas, Uniqlo, Columbus and Guess, among others.
Viet Dragon Securities belongs to top 20 biggest securities companies in terms of chartered capital in Vietnam. With a qualified, dedicated and professional team, a widespread network, advanced technology, diversified products and services, and good relationship with local and foreign institutions, we provide a wide range of services and products to our clients both individuals and institutions, both local and foreign. We commit to provide our clients with promising investment opportunities and a comprehensive and professional financial investment services.
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