Real Estate Industry 2026 – Rebalancing after a period of misphased growth
• The residential real estate market is expected to enter a rebalancing phase from 2026, when legal bottlenecks are gradually removed and the project implementation environment gradually improves. The new supply is expected to be more evenly differentiated for the affordable – mid-end segments, with a clear shift to satellite areas around HCMC such as Binh Duong, Long An, Dong Nai and Ba Ria – Vung Tau.• On the demand side, market dynamics in the coming period are forecast to shift markedly from the factor of "interest rate incentives" to "real affordability" of buyers. In the context of the interest rate level in 2026 is forecast to increase.
• In terms of price, especially in Ho Chi Minh City. We expect to be more stable and sustainable when the presence of the affordable – mid-end segment is expected to contribute to pulling the price level to an appropriate level.
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