Report

TCB – 2Q25 Business Results Update and Analyst Meeting Notes

• In 2Q25, PBT reached VND 7.9 trillion (+1% YoY, +9% QoQ). For 6M25, cumulative PBT amounted to VND 15.1 trillion (-3% YoY), achieving 48% of the full-year forecast.
• Total operating income declined by 5% YoY, driven by a 4% YoY decrease in net interest income and a 14% YoY reduction in fee income. However, operating expenses and provisions for credit risks decreased by 3% YoY and 38% YoY, respectively, resulting in flat PBT for 2Q25 compared to the prior year.
• The NPL ratio slightly increased to 1.26% (1Q25: 1.17%) due to the impact of CIC adjustments. Excluding CIC effects, the NPL ratio remained stable at 1.05% QoQ.
• TCB demonstrated robust credit growth of 10.6% in 2Q25, leveraging its comprehensive ecosystem within the real estate value chain. However, the NIM still faced pressure, declining to 3.8% (-86 bps YoY). Having said that, NIM is expected to stabilize at current levels, supported by stronger credit demand in the second half of the year.
• BVPS at the end of 2Q25 was VND 22,310. At the closing price on July 23, 2025, TCB traded at a P/B ratio of 1.59x.
• PBT projections for 2025F and 2026F are VND 31.7 trillion (+15% YoY) and VND 38.9 trillion (+23% YoY), respectively. The target price for TCB (currently VND 34,000 per share) is under review and will be updated in the forthcoming report.
Provider
Viet Dragon Securities
Viet Dragon Securities

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Analysts
Tung Do

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