Report
Jeff Robertson

Value Creation Catalysts

Talos’s current valuation implies a steep discount to net asset value (NAV). Management estimates the company’s year-end 2022 pro forma proved reserves have a gross PV-10 value of ~$5.5 billion (~$4.8 billion net of asset retirement obligations [ARO]) based on oil and natural gas prices of $75/bbl and $3.50/Mcf. Adjusting for March 31, 2023, balance sheet items, leaves an estimated NAV of ~$3.6 billion, or $28.38/share. The shares are currently trading at a 51% discount to this NAV. Year-end 2022 pro forma proved reserves exclude any value from the unbooked reserves at the Zama located in shallow waters offshore Mexico. Talos has agreed to sell a 49.9% ownership stake in its Mexican subsidiary to a wholly owned subsidiary of Grupo Carso. The transaction establishes a base valuation for the Zama discovery between $250 million and $263 million, equating to ~$2 per Talos share...
Underlying
Talos Energy Inc.

Talos Energy is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company is an exploration and production company with operations in the United States Gulf of Mexico and offshore Mexico. The company's focus in the United States Gulf of Mexico is the acquisition of deep water assets with existing infrastructure and the exploration, exploitation and development of such assets in key geological trends.

Provider
Water Tower Research
Water Tower Research

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Analysts
Jeff Robertson

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