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​WaveTrack International provides bespoke intelligence for Asset Management Corporations, Pension Funds, Total/Absolute-Return/ Hedge Funds, Sovereign Wealth Funds, Corporate and Market-Making/Trading institutions. The ‘deterministic’ qualities of the methodology used often translates into results that are dynamic and – outside consensus estimates. This is suitable for individuals who seek unbiased market research which is ‘technical, quantitative and strategic’ for their investment decision making. WaveTrack’s analysis and research is especially relevant for medium/long-term investment strategies.


Regulatory Information

  • Regulatory Status: Regulated by Bafin (Bundesanstalt für Finanzdienstleistungsaufsicht) within Europe and has an advisory license providing services related to directional price movements.

Peter Goodburn
  • Peter Goodburn
EUR 270.00

EW-COMMODITIES OUTLOOK - March 2020 - Base Metals Heading for Major Lo...

In This Edition: This month’s Elliott Wave Commodities report updates the latest price developments for key benchmarks, Copper, Gold and Crude oil following steep declines during February’s stock market plunge. The coronavirus COVID-19 has spread from its epicentre in Wuhan city, China to other Asian regions with South Korea and Japan particularly effected with the former reporting cases of over 5,800, the largest outside of China. But Europe is now reporting an alarming increase of contagion. ...

03/06/20 March 6, 2020 37 EN
Peter Goodburn
  • Peter Goodburn
EUR 270.00

COMMODITIES OUTLOOK - December 2019 - Phase-One Trade Deal Lethargy! â...

The two key drivers for most commodities remain the direction/amplitude of the US$ dollar and the ongoing trade-tariff negotiations between the U.S. and China. For the most part, the US$ dollar index was identified last October as resuming its 7.8-year cycle downtrend which originated from the Jan.’17 peak of 103.82. Despite the market’s bullish interpretation from a phase-one trade deal, the outlook remains very bearish. So what does this suggest? – does the trade-deal collapse or does its effe...

12/02/19 December 2, 2019 33 EN
Peter Goodburn
  • Peter Goodburn
EUR 270.00

The EW-Navigator - December 2019 - Benchmark Indices set for Correctiv...

Bank of America/Merrill Lynch’s latest Global Fund Manager Survey identified a huge surge higher for stock market optimism during the last month. The survey noted that improving growth prospects, driven in part by lower interest rates and increasing optimism that the US and China are nearing a phase 1 trade deal have injected vitality into risky assets and an unwinding of safe-haven assets. The allocation to global equities climbed 20 percentage points month on month to net 21% overweight, the h...

11/20/19 November 20, 2019 34 EN
Peter Goodburn
  • Peter Goodburn
EUR 270.00

COMMODITIES OUTLOOK - November 2019 - Forget Up-Coming Recession, Its ...

In This Edition: The latest PMI (Purchasing Managers Index) data shows the global economy weakening again in September’s latest data release. The JPMorgan Global PMI which is compiled by HIS IHS Markit declined to 51.2, a three-year low. Manufacturing, Services and New Export Orders all show a familiar theme of declines since late-2010/early-2011. This period of stagnation followed a strong upside recovery in PMI’s from the financial-crisis lows of 30.0 – the peak into 2010/11 was 60.0. In fact,...

10/29/19 October 29, 2019 34 EN
Peter Goodburn
  • Peter Goodburn
EUR 270.00

The EW-Navigator - November 2019 - Downside risks in equities - defens...

The U.S./China trade war continues to hold investors/asset/fund managers back. Some positive news filtered through last week following the latest meetings in Washington but the outlook remains fragile. In its latest monthly Fund Manager Survey, Bank of America/Merrill Lynch said that over the past six months, money market funds attracted $322 billion of inflows, the largest flight to safe assets since the second half of 2008. In similar fashion to 2007 and 2008, investors raised their cash holdi...

10/21/19 October 21, 2019 36 EN
Peter Goodburn
  • Peter Goodburn
EUR 270.00

The NAVIGATOR - June 2019 - Stock Markets Set to Resume Lower – Some...

The U.S./China trade negotiations took a turn for the worse over the last couple of weeks which had obvious knock-on effects for global stock markets. May’s initial downswing in benchmark indices including the S&P 500 have developed into typical Elliott Wave impulse patterns, containing five wave structures. That means we can expect more downside continuity over the coming weeks. But just how far can these declines go? This month’s EW-Navigator answers this by measuring the initial decline with ...

05/21/19 May 21, 2019 1 EN
Peter Goodburn
  • Peter Goodburn
EUR 222.66
GG NEWMONT MINING
AM AMER BARRICK ... (+11)

COMMODITY OUTLOOK - Base Metals, Precious Metals Turn Lower for Next S...

In This Edition: This month’s report forecasts some important reversal-signatures in Base and Precious Metals. Some months ago, we highlighted the bearish divergences between the Metal Miners (XME) and the underlying Base Metals but have been waiting for Copper, Aluminium, Lead, Zinc and Nickel to realign by trading higher before completing five wave impulse patterns that began from last year’s grand ‘RE-SYNCHRONISATION’ lows. Recent gains have accomplished both pattern completion and upside lev...

GG NEWMONT MINING
AM AMER BARRICK
NEM GOLDCORP
CRB COPPER
XME LEAD
COPX ZINC
GDX ALUMINIUM
XAU GOLD
Copper SILVER
Aluminium CRUDE OIL
Lead BRENT OIL
09/27/17 September 27, 2017 27 EN
Peter Goodburn
  • Peter Goodburn
EUR 445.32
XLK XLK
XLY XLY ... (+10)

The Navigator - Eurostoxx Banks turn Positive! - Energy Sector on Watc...

Analysis begins with an overview of the main U.S. and European Stock Index trends and its location within the secular-bull uptrend. One interesting chart that has surfaced from our portfolio of comparison analogues is the positive-correlation between the EuroStoxx Banks index and the US10yr Treasury Yield. The former is identified as ending a horizontal flat (consolidation) pattern that began last May, so this is preparing its next stage of the medium-term uptrend. Such a bullish condition can b...

XLK XLK
XLY XLY
XLE XLP
XLF USD
XLP EUR
STLG STLG
USD YEN
EUR SP500
CAD NIKKEI
AUD SHANGHAI COMPOSITE
09/22/17 September 22, 2017 28 EN
Peter Goodburn
  • Peter Goodburn
EUR 212.10
XLK XLK Technology ...
XLY GOLD ... (+7)

NAVIGATOR - Gold/Platinum Ratio Forecasts Prolongation of Secular-Bull

In This Edition:         In this month’s edition of the Elliott Wave Navigator, we spearhead three main topics – first, an in-depth look at Professor Darien Huang’s work on the deterministic value of the Gold/Platinum ratio for predicting the trend of the stock market. We examine his findings plus we add some comparative analysis of our own to support the results of the analysis – second, we update the Buy/Sell/Hold/Neutral recommendations of 10 stock market sectors including Technology (XLK),...

XLK XLK TECHNOLOGY INDEX
XLY GOLD
XLE PLATINUM
XLF US DOLLAR INDEX
XLU XLU
XLP XLY
XLP
07/19/17 July 19, 2017 29 EN
Peter Goodburn
  • Peter Goodburn
EUR 212.10
XLU XLU UTILITIES
XLE XLY Consumer D... ... (+5)

THE NAVIGATOR - Technolgy (XLK) Stocks to Slide Again - Utilities (XLU...

In This Edition: In this month’s edition of the Elliott Wave Navigator, we focus on equity portfolio performance updating last month’s recommendations and what forecast changes are set to occur within the next month. We begin though by taking an overall look at the underlying trend of the major benchmarks, the S&P 500 and the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100. There’s been some important reversal-signatures triggered in the Nasdaq 100 and the Technology (XLK) index which creates a very complex outlook...

XLU XLU UTILITIES
XLE XLY CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY
XLY XLK TECHNOLOGY
XLK EUR
USD USD
06/20/17 June 20, 2017 19 EN
Peter Goodburn
  • Peter Goodburn
EUR 227.14
EURUSD S&P500
GBPUSD RUSSELL2000 ... (+13)

THE NAVIGATOR - Short-Term Correction for U.S. Indices - Emerging Mark...

Stock Indices – In this month’s edition of the Elliott Wave Navigator, we begin by taking a more in-depth look at the progress of the benchmark S&P 500 index. Its overall direction remains in focus, especially around the disbelief that this year’s uptrend will continue. Cycles also play a part in discerning the timing of major trends so we’ll be examining those too. In terms of Sector out/underperformance, the U.S. large/small-cap differential is updated along with Financial’s (XLF) pe...

EURUSD S&P500
GBPUSD RUSSELL2000
USDCAD EUROSTOXX50
USDAUD XLF FINANCIALS
USDZAR SMI
USDBRL USD
CAD
BRL
YEN
STLG
EUR
MXN
ZAR
03/21/17 March 21, 2017 38 EN
Peter Goodburn
  • Peter Goodburn
EUR 218.88

The NAVIGATOR - ‘RE-SYNCHRONISATION’

In This Edition: Stock Indices – In this month’s edition of the Elliott Wave Navigator, we take an in-depth look at the gains in U.S. indices both from the grand ‘RE-SYNCHRONISATION’ lows of Feb.’16 and from the post-Trump election lows of November ’16. Are recent advances into new record highs justified? We examine historical P/E ratios and factor in new inflationary pressures through the lens of the PCE (deflator) index. We also update U.S. GDP forecasts, its impact on the progress...

02/22/17 February 22, 2017 32 EN
Peter Goodburn
  • Peter Goodburn
EUR 217.16

CURRENCIES and INTEREST RATES OUTLOOK 2017

Our latest Video/Report analyses over 52 charts and cycles highlighting major trends, reversal levels together with Fibonacci-Price-Ratio projection levels of the major currency pairs/crosses and interest rates of the U.S., Europe and Japan. Don’t hesitate – this is the most thoroughly researched, accurate ELLIOTT WAVE ANALYSIS on the planet. We’ll be taking a look at currency trends over a 50+ year period and projecting these trends into the future – and if you want to see what U.S. int...

01/31/17 January 31, 2017 49 EN
Peter Goodburn
  • Peter Goodburn
EUR 397.68
GBPUSD MSCI Emerging M...
NIKKEI 225 ... (+10)

THE NAVIGATOR Stocks - ‘Re-Synchronisation’ | Life after Brexit - ...

STOCK INDICES - This month’s Elliott Wave Navigator takes a look at the progress of Developed and Emerging Markets since ‘Re-Synchronisation’ of the secular-bull uptrend occurred last February. Whilst benchmark indices such as the S&P 500 and the MSCI Emerging market index have since unfolded higher into five wave impulse patterns to confirm this renewed uptrend, some underperforming U.S. sectors, European and Asian indices has correspondingly unfolded into three wave counter-trend pattern...

GBPUSD MSCI EMERGING MARKETS
NIKKEI 225
EUROSTOXX 50
FTSE 100
S&P500
BRL
STLG
EUR
YEN
USD
08/17/16 August 17, 2016 28 EN
Peter Goodburn
  • Peter Goodburn
EUR 363.62

CURRENCY and INTEREST RATES Video Update - Post-Brexit!

Post-Brexit - Order resides in Chaos This mid-year video update is the third and final installment in the three-part series of Elliott Wave Forecasts. Part III takes a look at the developing trends of CURRENCIES & INTEREST RATES and comes just a couple of days following the U.K.’s referendum ‘Brexit’ vote. We take a look at the aftermath of the Brexit and attempt to answer whether there’s been any material change in the larger trends of global currency pairs and crosses that were already...

06/27/16 June 27, 2016 53 EN
Peter Goodburn
  • Peter Goodburn
EUR 270.00

EW-COMMODITIES OUTLOOK - March 2020 - Base Metals Heading for Major Lo...

In This Edition: This month’s Elliott Wave Commodities report updates the latest price developments for key benchmarks, Copper, Gold and Crude oil following steep declines during February’s stock market plunge. The coronavirus COVID-19 has spread from its epicentre in Wuhan city, China to other Asian regions with South Korea and Japan particularly effected with the former reporting cases of over 5,800, the largest outside of China. But Europe is now reporting an alarming increase of contagion. ...

03/06/20 March 6, 2020 37 EN
Peter Goodburn
  • Peter Goodburn
EUR 270.00

COMMODITIES OUTLOOK - December 2019 - Phase-One Trade Deal Lethargy! â...

The two key drivers for most commodities remain the direction/amplitude of the US$ dollar and the ongoing trade-tariff negotiations between the U.S. and China. For the most part, the US$ dollar index was identified last October as resuming its 7.8-year cycle downtrend which originated from the Jan.’17 peak of 103.82. Despite the market’s bullish interpretation from a phase-one trade deal, the outlook remains very bearish. So what does this suggest? – does the trade-deal collapse or does its effe...

12/02/19 December 2, 2019 33 EN
Peter Goodburn
  • Peter Goodburn
EUR 270.00

COMMODITIES OUTLOOK - November 2019 - Forget Up-Coming Recession, Its ...

In This Edition: The latest PMI (Purchasing Managers Index) data shows the global economy weakening again in September’s latest data release. The JPMorgan Global PMI which is compiled by HIS IHS Markit declined to 51.2, a three-year low. Manufacturing, Services and New Export Orders all show a familiar theme of declines since late-2010/early-2011. This period of stagnation followed a strong upside recovery in PMI’s from the financial-crisis lows of 30.0 – the peak into 2010/11 was 60.0. In fact,...

10/29/19 October 29, 2019 34 EN
Peter Goodburn
  • Peter Goodburn
EUR 270.00

The EW-Navigator - November 2019 - Downside risks in equities - defens...

The U.S./China trade war continues to hold investors/asset/fund managers back. Some positive news filtered through last week following the latest meetings in Washington but the outlook remains fragile. In its latest monthly Fund Manager Survey, Bank of America/Merrill Lynch said that over the past six months, money market funds attracted $322 billion of inflows, the largest flight to safe assets since the second half of 2008. In similar fashion to 2007 and 2008, investors raised their cash holdi...

10/21/19 October 21, 2019 36 EN
Peter Goodburn
  • Peter Goodburn
EUR 270.00

COMMODITIES OUTLOOK - October 2019 - Copper on course to finalise corr...

In This Edition: The dollar began its 7.8-year cycle downtrend in Jan.’17 completing its 1st wave decline in Feb.’18 which means the subsequent 2nd wave counter-trend rally to current levels is overdue for completion. Will the dollar stage a reversal-signature decline now? – and what impact will a declining US$ dollar have on commodities over the next several years? Elliott Wave and Cycle Analysis take an impartial look at the current set-up. It may seem obvious, but does a weakening dollar fit ...

09/30/19 September 30, 2019 33 EN
EUR 387.00

CURRENCIES & INTEREST RATES - OUTLOOK & FORECASTS FOR 2016

This month’s Elliott Wave Navigator publishes Part III of our annual update of price-forecasts for 2016 and beyond. This will also be available in video format sometime during the next few weeks – Parts I & II produced last January took a look at annual price-forecasts for Global Stock Indices (fig’s #1-36) and Commodities (fig’s 37-81) – in this edition, Part III (fig’s #82-123) updates many of the trends for Currencies & Interest Rates.    Contracts covered in this report: USD, ...

02/24/16 February 24, 2016 42 EN
Peter Goodburn
  • Peter Goodburn
EUR 484.78
UKX FTSE100
GBPUSD:CUR STLG/USD ... (+3)

BREXIT? U.K. REFERENDUM SPECIAL | JUNE 23rd 2016

​In this edition: Our attention is turned towards the U.K.’s June 23rd EU referendum vote. This SPECIAL EDITION OF THE ELLIOTT WAVE NAVIGATOR attempts to predict the outcome and the consequences that follow. We hone in on the LONDON FTSE-100 index, the EUROSTOXX BANKS index, STLG/US$ exchange rate and finally the UK10yr GILT YIELD.

UKX FTSE100
GBPUSD:CUR STLG/USD
GUKG10:IND UK 10YR YIELD
06/13/16 June 13, 2016 17 EN
Peter Goodburn
  • Peter Goodburn
EUR 224.90

U.S. PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION SPECIAL

U.S. PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION SPECIAL - FORECASTS FOR ALL MAJOR MARKETS ACROSS FOUR ASSET CLASSEStock Indices - Want to know how stock markets will react after the U.S. Presidential election results come in? Look no further than the narrative derived from the Elliott Wave Principle (EWP). How markets respond Tuesday night, Wednesday morning is already predetermined – the markets have already chosen the path they intend to follow – our task is to eliminate the impossible, and whatever remains, h...

11/05/16 November 5, 2016 21 EN
Peter Goodburn
  • Peter Goodburn
EUR 229.78
XLK XLK
XLY XLY ... (+9)

NAVIGATOR - Secular-Bull Uptrend Set to Continue to late-2019

In This Edition:         Following last month’s in-depth analysis of Professor Darien Huang’s academic paper on the deterministic value of the Gold/Platinum ratio for predicting the trend of the stock market, we examine the merit of renewed forecasts for an end to the secular-bull uptrend. We already know that Nobel Laureate winner Professor Robert Shiller is calling for a major stock market peak because the CAPE ratio has just equalled levels of those reached at the pre-crash highs of 1929. ...

XLK XLK
XLY XLY
XLP XLP
USD USD
EUR EUR
STLG STLG
YEN YEN
SP500 SP500
DowJones DOWJONES
08/16/17 August 16, 2017 25 EN

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