WOOD Flash – Aegean Airlines: 4Q25 – below both our and the consensus estimates
With its comfortable liquidity position and hedges for c.60% of anticipated fuel consumption in place, we do not expect Aegean to run into serious problems, unless the disruption to travel, from the war and the high level of fuel prices, becomes very protracted. However, it is too early to assess the impact on this year's earnings, which could be significant – among other things, we may see Aegean redeploying the capacity flying previously to the Middle East to elsewhere in its network (which would be likely to happen at lower yields). This could be exacerbated by other carriers, which may do the same, putting pressure on the overall seat supply in Europe, and pushing the RASK lower.Aegean Airlines is an airline carrier based in Greece. Co. is engaged in aviation transportation, providing services that concern the transportation of passengers and commodities in the sector of public aviation transportation inside and outside Greece, conducting scheduled and unscheduled flights. Co. provides full service, premium quality short and medium haul services. Co. maintains a network of 145 destinations, 111 international in 45 countries and 34 domestic destinations. Co. is a member of global airline network, the Star Alliance network.
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