Asseco Poland: profitability rebound slower than expected (downgraded to HOLD)
We have downgraded Asseco Poland (ACP) to HOLD (from Buy) and cut our price target (PT) to PLN 102.5 (from PLN 103.0), implying 12% upside potential. We take profit after ACP’s stock price has rallied 31% ytd, but we remain positive on the name and would take advantage of any price correction. We continue to believe that ACP should benefit from easing pressure on salaries, AI-powered tools application and EU funds inflows into Poland. However, the profitability improvement story is unfolding more slowly than we expected in our previous report; therefore, we have reduced our 2025-26E net profit expectations by c.14%. Despite this estimates reduction, ACP is trading at relatively attractive 2025-26E P/Es of 14.4-13.0x, on our estimates, at 7-2% discounts vs. its peers.Asseco Poland is a provider of proprietary information technology ("IT") solutions which is based in Poland. Co. is engaged in provision of consulting on IT infrastructure, security solutions, human resources solutions, outsourcing services as well as fully comprehensive IT support. Co.'s profile includes software and computer hardware consultancy, production of software as well as supply of software and hardware. This category includes analysing, developing, and programming ready-to-use IT systems. In addition to IT services, Co. also sells goods including mainly computer hardware.
WOOD & Company is the leading investment bank in Emerging Europe. Founded in 1991 and head-quartered in Prague, our footprint spans the region and touches investors around the globe.
A pioneer in Emerging Europe, WOOD executed many of the first CEE equity trades and landmark investment banking transactions. Our electronic trading platform was the first in the region, and remains the best. We are continually expanding our relevance and reach in these ever-evolving markets.
Our equity market share reflects our stature: 7% in Warsaw, 20% in Bucharest, 16% in Hungary, 40% in Prague and 5% in Vienna. Our distribution is unparalleled, with the largest salesforce in the region, servicing a uniquely diverse investor base.
We couple local expertise with a truly international perspective. With offices on the ground in the region, and in key financial hubs such as London and Milano, we are never far from our clients and we remain at the forefront of what’s afoot in the CEE emerging and frontier landscape.
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