Report
Research Team

WOOD Daily: MBK PW; EBS AV; MIL PW; OTKAR TI; TKFEN TI; GARAN TI; TUPRS TI; FROTO TI; TOASO TI; GEKTERNA GA; SNP RO; CAR PW; OMV AV; APR PW; SHO PW; EME Macro/Strategy – ESI; TR Macro; PZU PW; PKN PW; TEN PW; HTO GA; MGROS TI; BIMAS TI

HEADLINES:
• mBank: bottom-line miss due to costs, but opportunity to BUY NEGATIVE
• Erste Bank: books strong 1Q23 results, ahead of expectations, tweaks up FY23E guidance POSITIVE
• Bank Millennium: neutral 1Q23 results - profit reported, capital still needs time to recover NEUTRAL
• Otokar: 1Q23 results - miss on EBITDA and net income levels NEGATIVE
• Tekfen Holding: weak 1Q23 results, due to margin hit in chemicals and one-off tax charge NEGATIVE
• Garanti: 1Q23 highlights - better than expected, but the banks are losing earnings power
• Tupras: 1Q23 results, strong EBITDA generation
• Ford Otosan: 1Q23 results in line NEUTRAL
• Tofas: 1Q23 results - bottom line as expected, 2023E domestic sales volume guidance raised NEUTRAL
• GEK Terna: strong FY22 results, capital return of EUR 0.20/share
• OMV Petrom: 1Q23 clean CCS EBIT 7% above our estimate POSITIVE
• Inter Cars: 4Q22 net profit in line with preliminary guidance, EBITDA misses our forecast by 18% NEUTRAL
• OMV: 1Q23 results
• Auto Partner: 4Q22 earnings call - optimistic on the FY23E outlook, despite 1Q gross margin pressure NEUTRAL
• Shoper: post-1Q23 earnings call takeaways NEUTRAL
• EME Macro/Strategy: April ESI stagnates, but good signals on prices expectations
• Turkey macro: CBT extends the pause ahead of the elections
• PZU: MSSF 17 implementation triggers recalibration of strategic targets
• PKN Orlen: officially proposes PLN 5.5/share dividend for 2022
• Ten Square Games: management recommends a DPS of PLN 7.2 from the 2022 earnings, a yield of >8% POSITIVE
• Migros: 1Q23 earnings preview (due on 3 May) NEUTRAL
• OTE: 1Q23E results preview - soft quarter, with a 2% yoy adjusted EBITDA drop (due on 5 May)
• BIM: 1Q23E earnings preview (due on 8 May) NEUTRAL
• SOK Marketler Ticaret: 1Q23E earnings preview (due on 9 May) NEUTRAL
Underlyings
Auto Partner SA

Auto Partner SA is a Poland-based company engaged in the auto, truck and motorcycle parts industry. The Company is an importer and distributor of spare parts for cars and light commercial vehicles. Auto Partner SA is an enterprising entity with its headquarters as well as logistic and distribution centre located in Bierun near Tychy. The Company has approximately 60 branch offices across the domestic markets and some representative offices in neighboring countries, in the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Ukraine and Belarus, among others. Auto Partner SA distributes stabilizer links, steering rod end sets, steering rods, suspension arms, pins, rubber - metal parts, power steering pumps and steering gears, among others.

Bank Millennium SA

Bank Millennium provides various banking products and services to individual clients, small businesses, corporate, and public sector entities in Poland. Co. offers current account, custody account, and escrow account; standard deposits, negotiated deposits, millenet deposits, and automatic overnight deposits; debit and charge cards; funds management; professional cash services; and management of balances of current and auxiliary accounts. Co. also provides current account overdraft facility, real estate loans, revolving credits, working capital loans, investment loans, energy financing facility, sureties, line of guarantees, letters-of-credit, preferential loans, and bid bond guarantees.

BIM Birlesik Magazalar A.S.

Bim Birlesik Magazalar is engaged in operating retail stores through its retail shops throughout Turkey, which sell an assortment of approx. 600 items, including a number of private labels. Co.'s object is to offer consumers basic food items and consumer goods at discount prices with quality. Co.'s private labels provides its consumers with quality tasting sausage, salami and similar meat products while at the same time being suitable to the consumers family budget. Products include meat products, breakfast and dairy products, beverages, legumes and bakery, snacks and sweets, fruits and vegetables, frozen foods, and non-food items - cleaning supplies.

Erste Group Bank AG

Erste Group is a financial services provider based in Austria. As of Dec 31 2015, Co.'s total assets amounted to Euro199,743 million and the number of customers was approximately 16.5 million. Co.'s key business is the retail business, covering the entire spectrum from lending, deposit and investment products to current accounts and credit cards. In addition to providing financial services to private individuals, Co.'s core activities also include advisory services and support for corporate clients in financing, investment and access to international capital markets, public sector funding and interbank market operations.

Ford Otomotiv Sanayi A.S.

Ford Otomotiv Sanayi is an automobile manufacturing company based in Turkey. Co. operates as a joint venture between Ford Motor Company and the Koc Group of Companies. Co. is engaged in manufacturing, assembling and selling motor vehicles, primarily commercial vehicles, imports and sells passenger cars and manufactures and imports and sells spare parts of those vehicles. Co. has two plants located in Kocaeli and Eskisehir, has a spare part distribution warehouse in Kartal, Istanbul and a branch in Tubitak Marmara Research Centre, Gebze Campus Technological Free Zone (TEKSEB).

Gek Terna

GEK Terna Holding Real Estate Construction is a real estate development group based in Greece. Co.'s main activity is the development and management of investment property, the construction of any kind, the management of self-financed or co-financed projects, the construction and management of energy projects, as well as its participation in companies having similar activities. Co. has a significant and specialized presence in construction, energy as well as in the development, management and exploitation of investment property having a strong capital base. Co. is also active in construction and quarry, the industrial segment, metal constructions, and producing skids from armed concrete.

Hellenic Telecommunications Organization SA

Hellenic Telecommunications Organization is a full-service telecommunications group. Co. provides local, long-distance and international fixed-line telecommunications services in Greece and Romania, and mobile telephony services through its Cosmote subsidiary in Greece, as well as in Albania, Bulgaria, the Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia and Romania. Co. also provides internet access services and Internet Protocol (IP) -based telecommunications applications, as well as information technology application development and hosting services using IP technologies. Also, Co. provides several other telecommunications services, including value-added services and public telephone services.

Inter Cars S.A.

Inter Cars is an automotive spare parts distributor for passenger cars, commercial vehicles and trucks in Middle-Eastern Europe. The product range of Co. reaches over one million different automotive spare parts for passenger cars and trucks. No matter if the car is European or Asian one, Co.'s customers can find full range of products for their cars as well as all the necessary tools and garage equipment. Besides spare parts distribution, which is the core business of Co., Co. is also an exclusive distributor of legendary motorcycle brand “TRIUMPH” in Poland (via motorcycle distribution network, called Inter Motors) and distributor of spare parts and accessories for other motorcycle brands.

MBANK SA

mBank is a provider of comprehensive corporate banking services in Poland. Co. and its subsidiaries make up the mBank Group which is engaged in offering financial services. Co.'s service offering includes a comprehensive financial offer tailored to the needs of corporate clients, Private Banking clients, and retail clients. The business activities of Co. is conducted in the following business segments: Retail Banking and Corporates and Markets.

Migros Ticaret A.S

Migros Ticaret is a retailing group based in Turkey. Co. offers spacious stores in a wide range of formats and locations whose vast selection of stationery, glass and kitchenware, appliance, book, clothing, and other items along with groceries and other necessities. Co. maintains a store network of 1,004 national and international locations with a national presence in 70 provinces in Turkey's seven geographical regions. Store brand names include M, MM, MMM, 5M, MigroJet, Tansas, Macrocenter and Ramstores. Co. also provides customers alternatives such as internet, call centers, kiosks, catalogues, and mobile shopping networks.

OMV AG

OMV is an international energy company with activities in Exploration and Production (E&P), Refining and Marketing including petrochemicals (R&M), and Gas and Power (G&P). Co. explores and develops oil and gas resources and supply energy to over 100 million people. OMV has three operating segments: Exploration and Production (E&P), Refining and Marketing, including petrochemicals (R&M), and Gas and Power (G&P), as well as the segment Corporate and Other (Co&O).

Otokar Otomotiv ve Savunma Sanayi A.S.

Otokar Otomotive Ve Savunma Sanavi is engaged in the import, manufacture, assembly, sale and export of bodies, engines, and all other components of all kinds of land, sea and air defense vehicles, as well as security vehicles, commercial buses, trucks, minibuses, midibuses, panel vans, cross-country vehicles, etc. Co.'s primary focus is on the production of Land Rover 4x4 and minibuses.

Petrom S.A.

Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen Spolka Akcyjna

Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen is an insurance group based in Poland. Co. is engaged in offering a broad range of insurance and financial products. Co. pursues three main lines of business: Property and Casualty Insurance, offered by PZU; Life Insurance, offered by PZU Zycie; and Open-end Pension Funds, offered by PTE PZU, the manager of OFE PZU Zlota Jesien. Co. maintains a network of sales and service outlets including 500 outlets throughout Poland, including 243 shared outlets (common for PZU and PZU Zycie), 137 outlets of PZU Zycie and 120 outlets of PZU. Co.'s business is focused on the Polish market but it also conducts insurance business in the Lithuanian and Ukrainian markets.

SHOPER SA

Sok Marketler Ticaret AS

Sok Marketler Ticaret AS. Sok Marketler Ticaret AS, located in Istanbul, Turkey, owns and operates grocery stores. It sells Amigo, Crown, Deren, Evin, Karmen, Lio, Peki, Piyale and Tempo brands. The Company was founded in 1995.

Tekfen Holding

Tekfen Holding conducts its operations in four main business segments: Contracting, Agriculture, Real Estate and Other operations. Contracting group focuses on construction of petroleum and gas facilities, land and sea terminals, offshore platforms and tank farms. Agricultural group has operations in chemical fertilizer, ground and vegetable grain, production, distribution and trade of seedling and sapling. Real estate group operates in designing, constructing, renting, and sale of real estates such as residents, offices, shopping centers and hotels. Operations of other segment comprise of light-pulp trading, cotton yarn production and trading, insurance services and holding operations.

Ten Square Games

Ten Square Games SA is a Poland-based mobile games development company. The Company is focused on 3D simulation hobby games for people who seek outdoor experiences on their mobile devices, like fishing or hunting games. Its games are available on social platforms, a network of partner sites, as well as on Google Play, App Store and Microsoft Store.

Tofas Turk Otomobil Fabrikasi A.S.

Turkiye Garanti Bankasi Anonim Sirketi

Turkiye Garanti Bankasi is a private banking group based in Turkey. Co. operates as an integrated financial services group in every segment of the sector including corporate, commercial, SME, payment systems, retail, private and investment banking together with subsidiaries in pension and life insurance, leasing, factoring, brokerage, and asset management. Co. provides a range of financial services to 13 million customers through a distribution network of 994 domestic branches; 6 foreign branches in Cyprus, Luxembourg and Malta; 3 international representative offices in London, Dusseldorf and Shanghai with more than 4,152 ATMs, a Call Center and internet.

Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri A.S.

Turkiye Petrol Rafinerileri is an energy and refining company based in Turkey. Co. is engaged in providing and refining crude oil, the importing and exporting of oil products, and establishing and operating refineries in Turkey and foreign countries. Also, Co. is establishing and operating factories and facilities in the petrochemical industry. Co. is engaged in purchasing, selling, importing, exporting, storing, marketing and distributing (wholesale, retail, foreign and domestic) all kinds of petroleum products, LPG and natural gas. Co. runs its business through the refineries in Izmit, Izmir, Kirikkale and Batman.

Provider
Wood and Company
Wood and Company

WOOD & Company is the leading investment bank in Emerging Europe. Founded in 1991 and head-quartered in Prague, our footprint spans the region and touches investors around the globe.

A pioneer in Emerging Europe, WOOD executed many of the first CEE equity trades and landmark investment banking transactions. Our electronic trading platform was the first in the region, and remains the best. We are continually expanding our relevance and reach in these ever-evolving markets.

Our equity market share reflects our stature: 7% in Warsaw, 20% in Bucharest, 16% in Hungary, 40% in Prague and 5% in Vienna. Our distribution is unparalleled, with the largest salesforce in the region, servicing a uniquely diverse investor base.

We couple local expertise with a truly international perspective. With offices on the ground in the region, and in key financial hubs such as London and Milano, we are never far from our clients and we remain at the forefront of what’s afoot in the CEE emerging and frontier landscape.

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