Report
Research Team

Focus: Migros – 4Q18 EBITDA beat of 20%, 2019E EBITDA guidance 9% above our estimate; Ulker’s 4Q18 review – beat on EBITDA and net profit, but no dividend proposal spoils the party; Enka Insaat’s 4Q18 – NI beat overshadowed by weak EBITDA

HEADLINES:
• Migros: 4Q18 EBITDA beat of 20%, 2019E EBITDA guidance 9% above our estimate
• Ulker: 4Q18 review - beat on EBITDA and net profit, but no dividend proposal spoils the party NEUTRAL
• Enka Insaat: 4Q18 - NI beat overshadowed by weak EBITDA NEGATIVE
• Moscow Exchange: 4Q18 - total operating income in line, 8% beat on EBITDA on one-offs NEUTRAL
• Santander Bank Polska: management board to recommend hefty dividend POSITIVE
• Electrica: first look at 2019E budget shows another tough year ahead NEGATIVE
• KGHM: partially reverses impairment at Sierra Gorda NEUTRAL
• Lukoil: key takeaways from 4Q18 conference call
• Play Communications: key takeaways from 4Q18 earnings call NEUTRAL
• Aygaz: signs SPA with LPG company in Bangladesh NEUTRAL
• Romanian energy: regulated quantities for 2019E NEUTRAL
• Dino: 4Q18E preview - 32% EBITDA growth expected (due on 14 March) NEUTRAL
Underlyings
Aygaz A.S.

Aygaz is a liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) distribution company operating in a range of environments from cylinder production to marine transport operations. In its core business field, Co. distributes LPG as autogas, cylinder gas, and bulk gas, manufactures and sells LPG cylinders, tanks, valves and regulators, and also markets LPG-operated devices. Co. also sells and produces LPG devices and engaged in the maritime shipping of LPG. In the cylinder gas segment, Co. operates all over Turkey in points of sale under the brands of Aygaz, Mogaz and Lipetgaz. Co. has three segments: gas and petroleum products, electricity and other operations.

Dino Polska S.A.

Dino Polska is engaged in the business of retail sale in non-specialized stores with food, beverages and tobacco. In addition, Co. conducts processing of meats and the resulting products are dedicated, in the form of culinary meat, to external recipients within Co.'s retail chain. As of December 31, 2016, Co. operated a network of 628 Dino stores.

Enka Insaat ve Sanayi A.S.

Enka Insaat ve Sanayi is an engineering and construction company. Co. operates in the following geographical areas: in Turkey, Co. is engaged in a range of construction activities including construction of industrial and social buildings, motorways and construction and operation of natural gas fired electrical energy generation facilities; in Russian Federation, Georgia, Turkmenistan and Kazakhstan, Co. is engaged in construction activities and also in investment and development of real estate properties and shopping malls in Moscow, Russia; and in Europe, Co. is engaged in construction and trading activities in Romania, the Netherlands, Switzerland, Germany and Kosovo.

KGHM Polska Miedz S.A.

KGHM Polska Miedz is engaged in the mining of copper and non-ferrous metals ore; the excavation of gravel and sand; the production of copper, precious and non-ferrous metals; the production of salt; the casting of light and non-ferrous metals; the forging, pressing, stamping and roll forming of metal- powder metallurgy; waste management; wholesale based on direct payments or contracts; warehousing and storage of merchandise; holding management activities; geological and exploratory activities; general construction activities with respect to mining and production facilities; scheduled and non-scheduled air transport; telecommunication and IT services; and other activities.

Migros Ticaret A.S

Migros Ticaret is a retailing group based in Turkey. Co. offers spacious stores in a wide range of formats and locations whose vast selection of stationery, glass and kitchenware, appliance, book, clothing, and other items along with groceries and other necessities. Co. maintains a store network of 1,004 national and international locations with a national presence in 70 provinces in Turkey's seven geographical regions. Store brand names include M, MM, MMM, 5M, MigroJet, Tansas, Macrocenter and Ramstores. Co. also provides customers alternatives such as internet, call centers, kiosks, catalogues, and mobile shopping networks.

Moscow Exchange MICEX-RTS PJSC

Moskovskaya Birzha MMVB-RTS PAO. Moskovskaya Birzha MMVB-RTS PAO (MMVB-RTS OAO) is a Russia-based integrated stock exchange that provides electronic trade organization, clearing and settlements on trades, depository and information services. The Company provides trading and settlement services in such segments of the financial market as foreign exchange (FX) market, federal bonds market, market of derivative financial instruments, cash equities market, corporate and regional fixed income market, commodities market, as well as market for state and municipal orders. The Company was established as a result of the merger between MMVB ZAO and RTS OAO. It operates through six branches and three representative offices. As of February 27, 2013, the Company's major shareholder was the Central bank of the Russian Federation with a stake of 22.47%. In January 24, 2014, the Company sold its whole stake in MMVB-IT ZAO.

Oil company LUKOIL PJSC Sponsored ADR

Play Communications SA

Play Communications SA Formerly known as Play Holdings 2 SARL. Play Communications SA, formerly Play Holdings 2 SARL, is a Luxembourg-based provider of financial investment services. The Company is the owner of mobile operator P4 Sp z o o, that provides a wide range of mobile telecommunications services, including voice, data transmission services, messaging, video service (PLAY NOW), as well as Value Added Services and sales of handsets and other devices, to individual and business subscribers in Poland.

Santander Bank Polska SA

Bank Zachodni is a bank seated in Poland. Co. and its subsidiaries provide a range of banking services for individual and business customers and operate in domestic and interbank foreign markets. Additionally, Co. provides also the following services, including intermediation in trading securities, leasing, factoring, asset/ fund management, insurance services, trading in stock and shares of commercial companies, and brokerage activity. Operational activity of Co. and its subsidiaries has been divided into five segments: Retail Banking, Business and Corporate Banking, Global Banking and Markets, ALM (Assets and Liabilities Management) and Centre, as well as Santander Consumer.

Societatea Energetica Electrica

Societatea Nationala Nuclearelectrica SA

Ulker Biskuvi Sanayi A.S.

Ulker Biskuvi Sanayi is a manufacturer and marketer of biscuit, chocolate coated biscuit, wafer, cake and chocolate. Co.'s brands include Potibor, Cizi, Krispi, Haylayf, Mavi YePil, HanYmeller, Bebe BiskUvisi, Biskrem, Krim Kraker, Probis, Cokoprens, As Kraker, Bathak, Ykram, Canpare, Rondo, Altinbasak, Kat Tat, Halley, Kat Kat Tat, Cubuk Kraker, Alpella Ring, Hasat, Bolero, Saklykoy, Dore and Haylayf.

Provider
Wood and Company
Wood and Company

WOOD & Company is the leading investment bank in Emerging Europe. Founded in 1991 and head-quartered in Prague, our footprint spans the region and touches investors around the globe.

A pioneer in Emerging Europe, WOOD executed many of the first CEE equity trades and landmark investment banking transactions. Our electronic trading platform was the first in the region, and remains the best. We are continually expanding our relevance and reach in these ever-evolving markets.

Our equity market share reflects our stature: 7% in Warsaw, 20% in Bucharest, 16% in Hungary, 40% in Prague and 5% in Vienna. Our distribution is unparalleled, with the largest salesforce in the region, servicing a uniquely diverse investor base.

We couple local expertise with a truly international perspective. With offices on the ground in the region, and in key financial hubs such as London and Milano, we are never far from our clients and we remain at the forefront of what’s afoot in the CEE emerging and frontier landscape.

Analysts
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