Report
Research Team

Focus: Bank Millennium announces acquisition of SocGen’s consumer wing in Poland, Eurobank; MMK’s 3Q18 financial results – 5% ahead of consensus EBITDA, 4.4% quarterly dividend yield; Polish banks – PKO BP & Pekao’s EBA stress test results

HEADLINES:
• Bank Millennium: announces acquisition of SocGen's consumer wing in Poland, Eurobank POSITIVE
• MMK: 3Q18 financial results - 5% ahead of consensus EBITDA, 4.4% quarterly dividend yield POSITIVE
• Polish banks: PKO BP and Pekao's EBA stress test results prove strong capitalisation of both POSITIVE
• Austrian banks: still sensitive to adverse scenario, but capital stronger NEGATIVE
• OTP Bank: sensitive to adverse macro outlook, but hefty capitalisation more than covers the risk NEUTRAL
• EME Strategy: MSCI November 2018 SAIR predictions
• Turkish automotive: domestic LV sales down 76% yoy; next two months should be better NEUTRAL
• Benefit Systems: acquisition of ex-Calypso clubs NEUTRAL
• Famur: 3Q18E preview - another quarter of strong results expected (due out tomorrow) NEUTRAL
• Short News (MOEX) NEUTRAL
Underlyings
Bank Millennium SA

Bank Millennium provides various banking products and services to individual clients, small businesses, corporate, and public sector entities in Poland. Co. offers current account, custody account, and escrow account; standard deposits, negotiated deposits, millenet deposits, and automatic overnight deposits; debit and charge cards; funds management; professional cash services; and management of balances of current and auxiliary accounts. Co. also provides current account overdraft facility, real estate loans, revolving credits, working capital loans, investment loans, energy financing facility, sureties, line of guarantees, letters-of-credit, preferential loans, and bid bond guarantees.

BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA

Bank Polska Kasa Opieki (the Bank) is a commercial bank providing a range of banking services, mainly in Poland. The segments of the Bank are as follows: Retail banking, which comprises all banking activities related to retail customers and small and micro companies; Private banking, which comprises all banking activities related to the affluent individual customers; Corporate and Investment banking, which comprises all banking activities related to the companies, interbank market, debt securities and other instruments; and Assets and Liabilities Management and other, which is engaged in the supervision and monitoring of fund transfers, and other activities centrally managed.

Dogus Otomotiv Servis ve Ticaret A.S.

Dogus Otomotiv Servis Ve Ticaret is an automotive importer and distributor in Turkey. Co. represents 14 international brands each of which is engaged in the following sectors: Passenger cars, Light commercial vehicles, Heavy commercial vehicles, Industrial and marine engines, and Cooling systems.Co. provides its individual and corporate customers with a portfolio of more than 80 models. Co. competes in the industrial and marine engines market by representing the brand Scania Engines and in the cooling systems market representing Thermo King brand. Co.'s sales and service network is comprised of over 500 contact points.

Erste Group Bank AG

Erste Group is a financial services provider based in Austria. As of Dec 31 2015, Co.'s total assets amounted to Euro199,743 million and the number of customers was approximately 16.5 million. Co.'s key business is the retail business, covering the entire spectrum from lending, deposit and investment products to current accounts and credit cards. In addition to providing financial services to private individuals, Co.'s core activities also include advisory services and support for corporate clients in financing, investment and access to international capital markets, public sector funding and interbank market operations.

Famur SA

FAMUR SA is a Poland-based manufacturer of mining equipment and machinery. The main area of the Company's operations is manufacture of automated longwall systems enabling the exploitation of coal. The Company also specializes in design and production of equipment for underground mines and open pits, as well as bulk material handling equipment and machines for coal preparation plants. The Company's products portfolio includes electric and hydraulic shearers, roof support, hydraulic control system, conveyors and crushers. FAMUR SA is also engaged in the development of information technology solutions and management system for coal industry. The Company operates through subsidiaries, based in Poland, Germany and the Russian Federation. The Company's major shareholder was TDJ SA, with a stake 71.28%. On November 27, 2014 the Company acquired 76,69% of stake in FAMAK SA.

Ford Otomotiv Sanayi A.S.

Ford Otomotiv Sanayi is an automobile manufacturing company based in Turkey. Co. operates as a joint venture between Ford Motor Company and the Koc Group of Companies. Co. is engaged in manufacturing, assembling and selling motor vehicles, primarily commercial vehicles, imports and sells passenger cars and manufactures and imports and sells spare parts of those vehicles. Co. has two plants located in Kocaeli and Eskisehir, has a spare part distribution warehouse in Kartal, Istanbul and a branch in Tubitak Marmara Research Centre, Gebze Campus Technological Free Zone (TEKSEB).

Magnitogorsk Iron & Steel Works (GDR)

OTP Bank Nyrt

OTP Bank is a financial institution based in Hungary. Co. is engaged in retail banking (account management, bankcards and Electronic sevices - OTPdirekt) corporate banking and private banking. In Hungary traditional banking operations are performed by Co. while specialized services, including car leasing, investment funds and insurance are developed and offered by Co.'s subsidiaries. Co. expands its operations throughout the region via its foreign subsidiaries. As of Dec 31 2011, Co. had total assets of HUF10,200,527,000,000 and deposits of HUF6,398,853,000,000.

PKO Bank Polski S.A.

PKO Bank Polski is a universal commercial bank offering services to both domestic and foreign retail, corporate and other clients. Co. is licensed to hold foreign exchange and currencies and sell/buy them, as well as perform a full range of foreign exchange services; open and hold bank accounts abroad and to deposit foreign exchange in these accounts. In addition, Co. conducts activities relating to leasing, factoring, electronic settlements via payment cards, as well as renders other financial services. As of Dec 31 2009, Co. had total assets of Zl156,478,685,000 and total deposit of Zl124,628,562,000. Co. operates in the Republic of Poland, Ukraine and Sweden.

Raiffeisen Bank International AG

Raiffeisen Bank International is a universal bank focusing on corporate and retail customers in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) and on corporate customers in Austria. In CEE, Co. consists of a network of banks, leasing companies and financial service providers. In Austria, Co. is involved in corporate finance and export and trade finance banks. Co. provides services to customers in 2,800 branch offices. In the retail banking business, Co.'s product and service portfolio comprises inter alia credit services (mortgages, credit cards and personal loans), as well as payment transaction and current account package services. As of Dec 31 2014, Co.'s total assets amounted to Euro121.6 million

Tofas Turk Otomobil Fabrikasi A.S.

Provider
Wood and Company
Wood and Company

WOOD & Company is the leading investment bank in Emerging Europe. Founded in 1991 and head-quartered in Prague, our footprint spans the region and touches investors around the globe.

A pioneer in Emerging Europe, WOOD executed many of the first CEE equity trades and landmark investment banking transactions. Our electronic trading platform was the first in the region, and remains the best. We are continually expanding our relevance and reach in these ever-evolving markets.

Our equity market share reflects our stature: 7% in Warsaw, 20% in Bucharest, 16% in Hungary, 40% in Prague and 5% in Vienna. Our distribution is unparalleled, with the largest salesforce in the region, servicing a uniquely diverse investor base.

We couple local expertise with a truly international perspective. With offices on the ground in the region, and in key financial hubs such as London and Milano, we are never far from our clients and we remain at the forefront of what’s afoot in the CEE emerging and frontier landscape.

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