Report
Research Team

Focus: Sberbank’s 3Q19 results review – still underwhelming, management is more positive on 4Q; Turk Telekom’s 3Q19 earnings beat triggers guidance upgrade; Turkcell’s 3Q19 results – numbers in line, risk of new taxes in 2020

HEADLINES:
• Sberbank: 3Q19 results review - still underwhelming, management is more positive on 4Q NEUTRAL
• Turk Telekom: 3Q19 earnings beat triggers guidance upgrade
• Turkcell: 3Q19 results - numbers in line, risk of new taxes in 2020
• O2 Czech Republic: 3Q19 - lower-than-expected sales, but beat on EBITDA
• MMK: 3Q19 results - dividend beats our estimate by 60% on FCF beat
• Norilsk Nickel: 3Q19 trading update - well on track to meet guidance
• Ford Otosan: 3Q19 conference call takeaways NEUTRAL
• Tofas: 3Q19 conference call takeaways NEUTRAL
• Bank of Cyprus: completion of VRS
• Ciech: intends to divide its Sarzyna business NEUTRAL
• OPAP: 7.29% shareholder participation in the voluntary tender offer
• Migros: 3Q19E preview - 27% EBITDA growth expected (due on 5 November) NEUTRAL
• Polyus: 3Q19E - EBITDA up 15%, FCF +65% qoq on higher prices and volumes (due on 5 November)
• BRD-GSG: 3Q19E - another strong quarter expected (due on 6 November)
• SOK Marketler Ticaret: 3Q19E preview - 19% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 6 November) NEUTRAL
• BIM: 3Q19E preview - 29% EBITDA growth expected (due on 8 November) NEUTRAL
• Moscow Exchange: 3Q19E preview (due on 8 November) NEUTRAL
• Short news (PKP)
Underlyings
Bank of Cyprus PCL

BIM Birlesik Magazalar A.S.

Bim Birlesik Magazalar is engaged in operating retail stores through its retail shops throughout Turkey, which sell an assortment of approx. 600 items, including a number of private labels. Co.'s object is to offer consumers basic food items and consumer goods at discount prices with quality. Co.'s private labels provides its consumers with quality tasting sausage, salami and similar meat products while at the same time being suitable to the consumers family budget. Products include meat products, breakfast and dairy products, beverages, legumes and bakery, snacks and sweets, fruits and vegetables, frozen foods, and non-food items - cleaning supplies.

BRD-Groupe Societe Generale

Ciech S.A.

Ciech is engaged in the production, trade and distribution of chemicals as well as comprehensive service activities directed at the domestic and foreign market. The main products sold by Co. are soda ash, TDI, plastics, resins, chemical fertilizers, plant protection chemicals, glass blocks and glass packaging, salt and other chemicals.

Ford Otomotiv Sanayi A.S.

Ford Otomotiv Sanayi is an automobile manufacturing company based in Turkey. Co. operates as a joint venture between Ford Motor Company and the Koc Group of Companies. Co. is engaged in manufacturing, assembling and selling motor vehicles, primarily commercial vehicles, imports and sells passenger cars and manufactures and imports and sells spare parts of those vehicles. Co. has two plants located in Kocaeli and Eskisehir, has a spare part distribution warehouse in Kartal, Istanbul and a branch in Tubitak Marmara Research Centre, Gebze Campus Technological Free Zone (TEKSEB).

Greek Organisation of Football Prognostics SA

OPAP is engaged in the operating and management of numerical lottery and sports betting games as well as lottery games. Co. holds concession to operate and manage new sports betting games in Greece as well as a right of first refusal to operate and manage any new lottery games permitted by the Hellenic Republic. Co. operates six numerical lottery games, including Joker, Lotto, Proto, Extra 5, Super 3, and Kino; and three sports betting games consisting of Stihima, Propo, and Propo-goal. Co. is also engaged in designing new lottery games, including Bingo and Super 4. Co. distributes its games through an extensive on-line network of agents.

Magnitogorsk Iron & Steel Works (GDR)

Migros Ticaret A.S

Migros Ticaret is a retailing group based in Turkey. Co. offers spacious stores in a wide range of formats and locations whose vast selection of stationery, glass and kitchenware, appliance, book, clothing, and other items along with groceries and other necessities. Co. maintains a store network of 1,004 national and international locations with a national presence in 70 provinces in Turkey's seven geographical regions. Store brand names include M, MM, MMM, 5M, MigroJet, Tansas, Macrocenter and Ramstores. Co. also provides customers alternatives such as internet, call centers, kiosks, catalogues, and mobile shopping networks.

Moscow Exchange MICEX-RTS PJSC

Moskovskaya Birzha MMVB-RTS PAO. Moskovskaya Birzha MMVB-RTS PAO (MMVB-RTS OAO) is a Russia-based integrated stock exchange that provides electronic trade organization, clearing and settlements on trades, depository and information services. The Company provides trading and settlement services in such segments of the financial market as foreign exchange (FX) market, federal bonds market, market of derivative financial instruments, cash equities market, corporate and regional fixed income market, commodities market, as well as market for state and municipal orders. The Company was established as a result of the merger between MMVB ZAO and RTS OAO. It operates through six branches and three representative offices. As of February 27, 2013, the Company's major shareholder was the Central bank of the Russian Federation with a stake of 22.47%. In January 24, 2014, the Company sold its whole stake in MMVB-IT ZAO.

O2 Czech Republic a.s.

O2 Czech Republic is a provider of voice, data and other telecommunications services in the Czech Republic. Co. provides telephony services to business and residential customers, operates pay phones, provides cellular phone services, euroISDN, leased lines, Internet and data services (including internet online ISDN services which offer digital connection to the internet network), telephone equipment and other services. Co. comprises two main business segments: the Fixed segment which is telephone services using the fixed telephone network and the Mobile segment which is mobile telephone services provided by Telefonica O2 Slovakia.

Polyus (GDR)

Sberbank Russia PJSC

Sberbank Russia is an open joint stock commercial bank. Co.'s principal business activity is corporate and retail banking. This includes, but is not limited to, deposit taking and commercial lending in freely convertible currencies, local currencies of countries where the subsidiary banks operate and in Russian Roubles, support of clients' export/import transactions, foreign exchange, securities trading, and trading in derivative financial instruments. Co.'s operations are conducted in both Russian and international markets. As of Dec 31 2014, Co. had total assets of RUB25.20 trillion.

Sok Marketler Ticaret AS

Sok Marketler Ticaret AS. Sok Marketler Ticaret AS, located in Istanbul, Turkey, owns and operates grocery stores. It sells Amigo, Crown, Deren, Evin, Karmen, Lio, Peki, Piyale and Tempo brands. The Company was founded in 1995.

Tofas Turk Otomobil Fabrikasi A.S.

Turk Telekomunikasyon A.S.

Turk Telekomuniksayon is an integrated telecommunications company in Turkey. Co.'s principal activities include the provision of local, national, international and mobile telecommunication services, internet products and services, as well as call centre and customer relationship management, technology and information management. Co. has service network and product range in the fields of individual and corporate services. Co. provides services in all 81 cities of Turkey. Co. has two main segments; fixed line and mobile. As of Dec 31 2015, Co. had 12.9 million fixed access lines, 8.0 million broadband and 17.3 million mobile subscribers.

Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S.

Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri is a provider of mobile services in Turkey. Co. provides mobile voice, internet and other services over its mobile communications network. Subscribers can choose between postpaid and prepaid services. Postpaid subscribers sign a subscription contract, and receive monthly bills for services, while prepaid subscribers must purchase a starter pack which consists of a SIM card and inclusive airtime. GSM offers a range of services that include voice, circuit switched data, packet data and fax, in addition to standard service offerings such as call barring, call forwarding, call waiting and roaming into areas serviced by other GSM carriers.

Provider
Wood and Company
Wood and Company

WOOD & Company is the leading investment bank in Emerging Europe. Founded in 1991 and head-quartered in Prague, our footprint spans the region and touches investors around the globe.

A pioneer in Emerging Europe, WOOD executed many of the first CEE equity trades and landmark investment banking transactions. Our electronic trading platform was the first in the region, and remains the best. We are continually expanding our relevance and reach in these ever-evolving markets.

Our equity market share reflects our stature: 7% in Warsaw, 20% in Bucharest, 16% in Hungary, 40% in Prague and 5% in Vienna. Our distribution is unparalleled, with the largest salesforce in the region, servicing a uniquely diverse investor base.

We couple local expertise with a truly international perspective. With offices on the ground in the region, and in key financial hubs such as London and Milano, we are never far from our clients and we remain at the forefront of what’s afoot in the CEE emerging and frontier landscape.

Analysts
Research Team

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