Budimex: growth acceleration on the horizon (upgraded to BUY)
We are upgrading Budimex (BDX) to BUY, from Hold. Our new 12M price target (PT) of PLN 750 (vs. PLN 730 previously) offers 20% potential upside. Having reduced our 2025E forecasts by several percents, we highlight the problem of the delays seen in the market in 2024, rather than the long-term investment pipeline, which remains strong. This is also supported by the announced acceleration in military investments. After taking a pause this year (limited single-digit growth), we expect 2026-27E to mark a return to double-digit yoy growth in both revenues and the order backlog. We forecast a 3Y EBIT CAGR of a solid 14%. Premium growth prospects, balance sheet strength and above-average margins justify a demanding valuation vs. its foreign peers, in our view.Budimex S.A. is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. is engaged in building, assembly and erection works in the scope of general industrial and engineering construction, electrical power construction & assembly, environmental protection, road and highway construction, water and sewage system construction, the rendering of design services and technical and business consulting and real estate development. Co. maintains activities in strategic segments of the market, such as road and bridge construction, general construction works (office, hotel and institutes of higher education), and ecological/environment-related construction.
WOOD & Company is the leading investment bank in Emerging Europe. Founded in 1991 and head-quartered in Prague, our footprint spans the region and touches investors around the globe.
A pioneer in Emerging Europe, WOOD executed many of the first CEE equity trades and landmark investment banking transactions. Our electronic trading platform was the first in the region, and remains the best. We are continually expanding our relevance and reach in these ever-evolving markets.
Our equity market share reflects our stature: 7% in Warsaw, 20% in Bucharest, 16% in Hungary, 40% in Prague and 5% in Vienna. Our distribution is unparalleled, with the largest salesforce in the region, servicing a uniquely diverse investor base.
We couple local expertise with a truly international perspective. With offices on the ground in the region, and in key financial hubs such as London and Milano, we are never far from our clients and we remain at the forefront of what’s afoot in the CEE emerging and frontier landscape.
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