Budimex: stands out, but deserves a pause (downgraded to HOLD)
We have downgraded Budimex (BDX) to HOLD, from Buy, following the strong share price rally since July 2023. Our new 12M price target (PT) of PLN 730 (up 60%) offers a limited 7% potential upside. Since our initiation of coverage in July, the stock has grown by 65%, outperforming the WIG20 index by an impressive 51ppts. With our expectations of rather flat yoy 2024E earnings, we believe it is time for a well-deserved pause. In the mid-term, with support from EU funds in infrastructure projects, rising spending in the energy sector, and BDX’s growing exposure to foreign markets, we still see material space for growth and room for positive surprises vs. our estimates. For 2025E, we forecast EBIT growth of 18% yoy. Additionally, with its strong balance sheet, BDX remains well-positioned to benefit from potential new investment opportunities in RES, real estate and PPP, not included in our forecasts yet.Budimex S.A. is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. is engaged in building, assembly and erection works in the scope of general industrial and engineering construction, electrical power construction & assembly, environmental protection, road and highway construction, water and sewage system construction, the rendering of design services and technical and business consulting and real estate development. Co. maintains activities in strategic segments of the market, such as road and bridge construction, general construction works (office, hotel and institutes of higher education), and ecological/environment-related construction.
WOOD & Company is the leading investment bank in Emerging Europe. Founded in 1991 and head-quartered in Prague, our footprint spans the region and touches investors around the globe.
A pioneer in Emerging Europe, WOOD executed many of the first CEE equity trades and landmark investment banking transactions. Our electronic trading platform was the first in the region, and remains the best. We are continually expanding our relevance and reach in these ever-evolving markets.
Our equity market share reflects our stature: 7% in Warsaw, 20% in Bucharest, 16% in Hungary, 40% in Prague and 5% in Vienna. Our distribution is unparalleled, with the largest salesforce in the region, servicing a uniquely diverse investor base.
We couple local expertise with a truly international perspective. With offices on the ground in the region, and in key financial hubs such as London and Milano, we are never far from our clients and we remain at the forefront of what’s afoot in the CEE emerging and frontier landscape.
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