Report
Atinc Ozkan ...
  • Bram Buring, CFA
  • Ondrej Slama

Enerjisa Enerji: Bigger, better, faster, stronger (stays BUY)

We reiterate our BUY recommendation on Enerjisa Enerji, with a new 12M price target (PT) of TRY 14.9/share (from TRY 10.0/share), which implies 50% upside. We are well aware that the most important triggers are behind us: the new terms for this regulatory period and the reimbursements for the previous period are known, and the dividend has been paid. That said, after updating our model for the new regulatory structure, we still believe that Enerjisa remains too cheap to ignore. Following the recent weakness caused by the Turkish market sell-off, the stock is trading at 2021-23E EV/operational earnings of 2.5-3.1x, on our estimates, well below its peers and its own historical averages. Enerjisa has secured the financing for this and, partly, next year already, it generates hefty FCF, and it faces a double-digit earnings growth outlook in the coming years, on our estimates. Enerjisa remains one of our top picks, thanks to its attractive valuation, solid growth and generous dividends, but also its transparent ESG disclosure. Moreover, we still believe that Enerjisa, listed in 2018 and operating in a very complex regulatory environment, remains undiscovered by the international community. Over time, we believe that Enerjisa should be able to narrow the valuation gap vs. its foreign peers.
Underlying
Enerjisa Enerji

Enerjisa Enerji AS is a Turkey-based company engaged in the utilities sector. The Company, together with its subsidiaries, is primarily engaged in making investments in energy companies, and deals with the generation, sale, and distribution of electricity, as well as the trade of natural gas. The Company reports its business activities into two main segments: Electricity Distribution and Retail. The Electricity distribution segment includes the transmission of electricity over lines users through distribution networks and provides infrastructure investments in conformity with the energy market regulation authority (EMRA). The Retail segment conducts mainly retail sales of electricity to customers. Enerjisa Enerji AS operates through a number of subsidiaries, such as Baskent Edas, Ayedas and Toroslar Edas, among others.

Provider
Wood and Company
Wood and Company

WOOD & Company is the leading investment bank in Emerging Europe. Founded in 1991 and head-quartered in Prague, our footprint spans the region and touches investors around the globe.

A pioneer in Emerging Europe, WOOD executed many of the first CEE equity trades and landmark investment banking transactions. Our electronic trading platform was the first in the region, and remains the best. We are continually expanding our relevance and reach in these ever-evolving markets.

Our equity market share reflects our stature: 7% in Warsaw, 20% in Bucharest, 16% in Hungary, 40% in Prague and 5% in Vienna. Our distribution is unparalleled, with the largest salesforce in the region, servicing a uniquely diverse investor base.

We couple local expertise with a truly international perspective. With offices on the ground in the region, and in key financial hubs such as London and Milano, we are never far from our clients and we remain at the forefront of what’s afoot in the CEE emerging and frontier landscape.

Analysts
Atinc Ozkan

Bram Buring, CFA

Ondrej Slama

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