Due to a change in analyst responsibilities, we are discontinuing our coverage of Anadolu Efes, Aygaz, Enerjisa Enerji, Erdemir, Tekfen Holding and Vestel Beyaz with immediate effect. We caution against using the forecasts, ratings and price target guidance issued previously on these stocks.
EME Equity Market – May 2023 Market performance – in its election month and with talks of a return to investment grade starting to materialise, Greece outperformed, posting a stellar performance. The MSCI EM Europe Index gained 2.3% mom in EUR terms, but lost 1.4% mom in USD in May. The Greek ASE Index saw the biggest gains (+12.3% mom in EUR terms), followed by the Hungarian BUX Index (+6.2% mom in EUR terms) and the Turkish ISE 30 Index (+3.4% mom in EUR terms). The remaining geographies finis...
HEADLINES: • Mediterranean refiners: the morning after (Tupras stays BUY, HELLENIQ Energy and Motor Oil Hellas downgraded to HOLD) • Public Power Corporation: managing the margins (upgraded to BUY) • Raiffeisen Bank International: strong 1Q23, upgrades 2023E guidance POSITIVE • Dino: minor beat in 1Q23 results POSITIVE • Enerjisa Enerji: 1Q23 results - strong cash flow and FY guidance announced POSITIVE • Piraeus Bank: positive first read on the 1Q23 results and updated guidance POSITIVE • My...
HEADLINES: • Mytilineos: firing up the engines (stays BUY) • NLB Group: strong 4Q22 results, even stronger outlook • PKN Orlen: 4Q22 results - weak gas segment, strong refining • MedLife: integration of new acquisitions; rising rates push company into 4Q22 loss NEGATIVE • Enerjisa Enerji: 4Q22 - P&L beat, generous dividend proposed, no 2023E guidance provided • Nuclearelectrica: final preliminary FY22 numbers 8% above estimates released with the budget • OTE: 4Q22 results review - soft quar...
EME Equity Market – November 2022 Market performance – Turkey does it again, breezing past everyone else, once more, in November. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 11.6% mom in EUR terms and 16.7% mom in USD. The ISE30 index, again, boasted the best performance among our coverage, adding 18.6% mom in EUR terms and 23.9% mom in local currency (lcl) terms. Positive performances were also recorded in the WIG (+14.0% EU /13.0% lcl mom), the BUX (+12.6% EUR/12.0% lcl mom), the BET (+8.4% EUR/8.6% lcl...
HEADLINES: • Echo Investment: good projects, challenging backdrop (downgraded to HOLD) • GTC: taking profits, after relative outperformance (downgraded to SELL) • Enerjisa Enerji: 3Q22 results review - P&L beat, guidance hiked, FCF turns positive POSITIVE • Wizz Air: 2Q FY23 - headline figures in line, cash position strong NEUTRAL • Czech Republic macro: real GDP slows down sharply in 3Q • Turkish automotive: ADA releases October light vehicle sales data NEUTRAL • The Rear-View Mirror - EME m...
EME Equity Market – August 2022 Market performance – Turkey the biggest winner, in a predominantly bad month. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined 1.2% mom in EUR and 2.8% mom in USD terms. Turkey’s ISE index outperformed all other indices, adding 24.9% mom in EUR terms and 25.1% in local currency terms. Hungary’s benchmark, the BUX Index, added 1.1% mom and 0.2% mom in EUR and HUF terms, respectively. Greece’s ASE Index had a muted performance and added only 0.6% mom. All the other indices across ...
HEADLINES: • Migros: 2Q22 earnings above expectations, FY22E guidance increased POSITIVE • Magyar Telekom: solid 2Q22 results (9% beat vs. the consensus EBITDA), but harmed by special tax POSITIVE • Enerjisa Enerji: 2Q22 results review - solid beat, guidance hiked, but FCF remains negative POSITIVE • Kalekim: strong 2Q22 results POSITIVE • Alro: strong 2Q22 results, despite weak environment POSITIVE • Graphisoft Park: 2Q22 - a small beat, attractive valuation NEUTRAL • Erdemir: 2Q22 results revi...
EME Equity Market – April 2022 Market performance – regional benchmarks performance rather mixed in April. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 5.3% in EUR terms and by 9.9% in USD. The best-performing market was Turkey, whose equities gained 13.3% in EUR terms and 9.2% in local currency. Russia’s MOEX Index added 9.0% in EUR terms, but declined by 9.6% in local currency. In Greece, the ASE Index advanced by 4.9% in EUR terms, the last to end the month in the black; while Romania’s BET Index rec...
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: Russia can live (but not thrive) without EU gas payments • Erste Bank: strong start to 2022 with the 1Q22 delivery POSITIVE • Kruk: publishes detailed 1Q22 - solid trends, but supported by positive revaluations, as suspected NEUTRAL • Tekfen Holding: 1Q22 results - another major miss NEGATIVE • Turkcell: 1Q22 results in line, except a 10% NI miss; FY22E guidance maintained NEUTRAL • Enerjisa Enerji: 1Q22 results review - mixed, but FY guidance revised up NEUTRA...
The general evaluation of ENERJISA ENERJI (TR), a company active in the Multiutilities industry, has been upgraded by the independent financial analyst theScreener with the addition of a star. Its fundamental valuation now shows 4 out of 4 possible stars while its market behaviour can be considered as defensive. theScreener believes that the additional star(s) merits the upgrade of its general evaluation to Positive. As of the analysis date March 15, 2022, the closing price was TRY 14.34 and its...
EME Equity Market – February 2022 Market performance – Russia’s equities bled in February due to the country’s invasion of Ukraine. The MSCI EME Europe Index declined by 38.7% in EUR terms and 38.8% in USD terms. Russian stocks, represented by the MOEX Index, lost the most in February, declining by 34.6% in EUR terms and 30.0% in RUB terms. The Hungarian BUX Index lost 21.8% in EUR terms and 18.2% in HUF terms; while the Polish WIG20 Index declined by 11.7% in EUR and 9.5% in PLN. In Prague, the...
HEADLINES: • BRD-GSG: dividend bonanza; what next? (stays HOLD) • Enerjisa Enerji: 4Q21 results review - net income beat brings higher dividend POSITIVE • TBC Bank: 4Q21 highlights, before the call - decent quarter • Tofas: to distribute a DPS of TRY 6.40 POSITIVE • GTC: Optima may sell 15.7% stake in GTC to Icona Securitization Opportunities Group • Atrium: coverage discontinued • OTP Bank: 4Q21E preview (due on 4 March) • Short News (CAR)
In late-2020, the value of bonds trading with negative yields reached an all-time high value of USD 18trn. Since then, yields have started growing worldwide, and the sum halved to c.USD 9trn as of the end of January 2022. Although rising bonds yields do not usually favour high-dividend yielding stocks (HDY), we still believe that the latter may remain an attractive investment opportunity. As these equities usually tend to have strong balance sheets (low leverage, solid cash holdings), combined w...
HEADLINES: • Raiffeisen Bank International: strong 3Q21 delivery may increase consensus estimates further • mBank: 3Q21 results review - strong underlying results, erased by FX mortgage litigation risk charge NEUTRAL • Turk Telekom: 3Q21 results - EBITDA beat and one-off gains trigger another guidance upgrade • Enerjisa Enerji: 3Q21 results review - strong P&L, but weaker FCF generation NEUTRAL • CCC: preliminary 3Q21 results - all-time high sales, but high opex and net debt growth POSITIVE •...
EME Equity Market – August 2021 Market performance - The Hungarian BUX Index gained 9.8% in EUR terms. The MSCI EM Europe Index rose 5.1% in EUR terms and 4.6% in USD terms. The best-performing equity index was the BUX, which added 9.8% in EUR terms and 6.9% in the local currency (LCU). The ISE30 Index advanced 7.7% in EUR terms and 5.8% in LCU, while Prague’s PX Index gained 6.5% in EUR terms and 6.2% in LCU. The Polish benchmark WIG20 Index added 6.1% in EUR terms and 5.1% in LCU, followed by ...
HEADLINES: • Turkish Airlines: 2Q21 - strong cargo pricing the key driver of revenues, beat on EBIT and EBITDA POSITIVE • Isbank: 2Q21 highlights - quality disappoints • Enerjisa Enerji: 2Q21 results review - another strong quarter, 2021E guidance hiked POSITIVE • Magyar Telekom: strong 2Q21 results, with EBITDA up 6% yoy; 2021E EBITDAaL guidance upgrade POSITIVE • Aselsan: 2Q21 results - strong beat, driven by peaking EBITDA margins POSITIVE • Addiko Bank: 2Q21 results review - lower on Other...
HEADLINES: • Greece: a fresh comeback • EME Macro/Strategy: Greece - the state of play • Addiko Bank: 1Q21 results review - better than forecasts on the back of COR POSITIVE • Enerjisa Enerji: 1Q21 results review - a strong start to 2021 • CCC: preliminary 1Q21 - sales (almost) double yoy, EBITDA above pre-COVID-19 levels POSITIVE • LPP: preliminary 1Q21 - sales double yoy, EBIT back to pre-COVID-19 levels POSITIVE • Coca-Cola Icecek: 1Q21 results - another solid beat, on 18% volume growth, F...
Yesterday (4 May), after the market closed, Enerjisa reported a solid set of numbers. In 1Q21, the company posted underlying net profit of TRY 522m (+48% yoy) on operational earnings of TRY 1,628m (+28% yoy) and revenues of TRY 5,889m (+2% yoy). The revenues were in line with both our and the market’s estimates, but the operational earnings beat the estimates by 8% and 6%, leading to 9% and 6% beats on the underlying net profit, respectively. Accounting for the one-offs related to prior tariff p...
EME Equity Market – April 2021 Market performance – Greek and Polish equities the best performers in April. The MSCI EM Europe lost 0.7% in EUR terms, but advanced 1.7% in USD terms in April. The best-performing index was the WIG20 Index, +6.9% in EUR terms and 5.1% in PLN terms. The Greek ASE Index advanced by 5.2% in EUR terms; followed by the Czech benchmark, the PX Index (+1.8% in EUR terms and +0.9% in CZK). Romania’s BET Index added 1.2% in EUR terms and 1.4% in RON. On the other hand, Tur...
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