Report
Jonathan Lamb

WOOD Flash – European natural gas monthly: July 2020

In July, we believe that we started to see evidence that the market has bottomed out. The rate of inventory growth slowed to 7%, for a month that usually sees huge inventory builds, averaging at 22% in the past five years. The TTF gas prices fell just 3%, after rising 10% in the previous month, while central European prices actually rose marginally. LNG supply volumes stayed flat, at 8.0 BCM – the second month in a row that volumes were below those in 2019. Meanwhile, North African supplies have picked up for the first time in 2020, to 2.2 BCM, equalling last year. For the first five months of the year, the EU demand for gas from the power business was just 2.5% lower than last year and 7.2% above 2018, showing that the switch to gas is sustainable, despite the pandemic, in our view.
Underlyings
Gazprom (GDR)

MOL Nyrt

Naftna Industrija Srbije Nova Sad

OMV AG

OMV is an international energy company with activities in Exploration and Production (E&P), Refining and Marketing including petrochemicals (R&M), and Gas and Power (G&P). Co. explores and develops oil and gas resources and supply energy to over 100 million people. OMV has three operating segments: Exploration and Production (E&P), Refining and Marketing, including petrochemicals (R&M), and Gas and Power (G&P), as well as the segment Corporate and Other (Co&O).

Petrom S.A.

Polskie Gornictwo Naftowe i Gazownictwo SA

Polskie Gornictwo Naftowe I Gazownictwo SA Polish Oil & Gas Co (PGNiG) is an integrated natural gas company based in Poland. Co.'s core activity covers exploration and production of natural gas and crude oil as well as import, storage, trade and distribution of gas and liquid fuels. Co.'s scope of activity includes gas trading and commercial support, as well as operation, maintenance and expansion of its distribution system. Co.'s distribution networks comprises over 100 thousand kilometers of gas pipelines (high, upper-medium, medium and low pressure), which cover primarily industrialized and urbanized areas of the country.

Societatea Nationala De Gaze Naturale ROMGAZ SA

Provider
Wood and Company
Wood and Company

WOOD & Company is the leading investment bank in Emerging Europe. Founded in 1991 and head-quartered in Prague, our footprint spans the region and touches investors around the globe.

A pioneer in Emerging Europe, WOOD executed many of the first CEE equity trades and landmark investment banking transactions. Our electronic trading platform was the first in the region, and remains the best. We are continually expanding our relevance and reach in these ever-evolving markets.

Our equity market share reflects our stature: 7% in Warsaw, 20% in Bucharest, 16% in Hungary, 40% in Prague and 5% in Vienna. Our distribution is unparalleled, with the largest salesforce in the region, servicing a uniquely diverse investor base.

We couple local expertise with a truly international perspective. With offices on the ground in the region, and in key financial hubs such as London and Milano, we are never far from our clients and we remain at the forefront of what’s afoot in the CEE emerging and frontier landscape.

Analysts
Jonathan Lamb

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