Report
Alex Boulougouris, CFA ...
  • Fani Tzioukalia

Terna Energy: strategically positioned (stays BUY)

We have updated our model on Terna Energy, and we reiterate our BUY recommendation on the stock, with an updated 12M price target (PT) of EUR 22.4. The company continues to display strong profitability and consistent deleveraging, leaving room in the balance sheet to finance its heavy investments pipeline. In our view, Terna Energy is strategically positioned to capture the growth in the Greek RES industry, as demanding environmental policies call for a swift transition to green energy generation and consumption at the pan-European level. Despite the notable share price re-rating, on the acquisition speculation, we believe there is still room for investors to capture profits, as the company exhibits significant growth plans in the medium term, targeting capacity of more than 6.0GW by the end of 2029E. On our numbers, the stock is trading at a 2023E P/E of 17.5x and an EV/EBITDA of 12.7x, down notably from the 2022E multiples, on the incremental profitability from the commissioned projects, which are expected to become operational in 2023E. We remain BUYers.
Underlying
Terna Energy S.A.

Terna Energy is a vertically organized renewable energy sources group based in Greece. Co. is mainly engaged in the energy and construction sector. Co. is active in Wind Energy, as well as Hydroelectric Projects, Solar PV and Integrated Management of Waste to Energy and Biomass Projects. Co. is also engaged in the research for the operation and construction of projects related to other renewable energy sources (RES). Co. maintains a class 6 contractor certificate and its activity in the construction sector relates to the construction of private and public projects as a main contractor or subcontractor or through joint ventures.

Provider
Wood and Company
Wood and Company

WOOD & Company is the leading investment bank in Emerging Europe. Founded in 1991 and head-quartered in Prague, our footprint spans the region and touches investors around the globe.

A pioneer in Emerging Europe, WOOD executed many of the first CEE equity trades and landmark investment banking transactions. Our electronic trading platform was the first in the region, and remains the best. We are continually expanding our relevance and reach in these ever-evolving markets.

Our equity market share reflects our stature: 7% in Warsaw, 20% in Bucharest, 16% in Hungary, 40% in Prague and 5% in Vienna. Our distribution is unparalleled, with the largest salesforce in the region, servicing a uniquely diverse investor base.

We couple local expertise with a truly international perspective. With offices on the ground in the region, and in key financial hubs such as London and Milano, we are never far from our clients and we remain at the forefront of what’s afoot in the CEE emerging and frontier landscape.

Analysts
Alex Boulougouris, CFA

Fani Tzioukalia

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