A director at Terna Energy SA sold 1,965 shares at 19.720EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 53/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly ...
HEADLINES: • WAG Payment Solutions (Eurowag): migration season starts now (stays BUY) • OMV: the company and its Partners have been awarded a second CO2 storage licence in Norway • GEK Terna: agrees to sell Terna Energy to Masdar of Abu Dhabi • Terna Energy: coverage discontinued • Short News (WPL, MTELEKOM)
HEADLINES: • WAG Payment Solutions (Eurowag): migration season starts now (stays BUY) • OMV: the company and its Partners have been awarded a second CO2 storage licence in Norway • GEK Terna: agrees to sell Terna Energy to Masdar of Abu Dhabi • Terna Energy: coverage discontinued • Short News (WPL, MTELEKOM)
HEADLINES: • EME Strategy: Türkiye - inflation accounting - demystifying the enigma • Greek refiners: Finance Ministry to impose an unexpected windfall tax on refiners • GEK Terna: agrees to sell Terna Energy to Masdar of Abu Dhabi • LPP: the Prosecutor’s office has opened an investigation against Hindenburg Research • Uzbekistan macro: notes from our recent trip • Short news (MTELEKOM)
Masdar to obtain control of Terna Energy for €20/share – After more than two years of media buzz, the highly-anticipated deal for the sale of Terna Energy has been officially sealed. As per the announcement, the Abu Dhabi investment fund "Masdar" will acquire a combined stake of c65%, including GEK Terna's 36.6% and the stakes of other investors (incl. mgt) who have given irrevocable undertakings to sell their shares. The consideration settled at €20/share (on an ex-div basis). The deal values T...
Masdar to obtain control of Terna Energy for €20/share – After more than two years of media buzz, the highly-anticipated deal for the sale of Terna Energy has been officially sealed. As per the announcement, the Abu Dhabi investment fund "Masdar" will acquire a combined stake of c65%, including GEK Terna's 36.6% and the stakes of other investors (incl. mgt) who have given irrevocable undertakings to sell their shares. The consideration settled at €20/share (on an ex-div basis). The deal values T...
EME Equity Market – May 2024 Turkish equities lead, in the mostly green month of May. The MSCI EM Europe Index rose by 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 1.8% mom in LCU terms in May. The Turkish ISE30 index reported the strongest performance, adding 3.6% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET and the Czech PX (+2.7% and 2.1% mom in EUR terms, respectively). The Hungarian BUX index and the Polish WIG20 remained broadly flat (+0.4% and +0.2% mom in EUR terms, respectively); although, in LCU terms,...
HEADLINES: • Sok Marketler Ticaret: very weak results in 1Q24 NEGATIVE • Telecom Egypt: 1Q24 results review – EBITDA up 19% yoy, 3% above the consensus NEUTRAL • Bank of Georgia: 1Q24 highlights – first quarter with Ameria • Aselsan: 1Q24 results – strong backlog, execution on track POSITIVE • Terna Energy: strong set of 1Q24 results, as very much expected NEUTRAL • OPAP: 1Q24 earnings fall, expectedly, on increased opex, but outlook remains bright NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: earnings call takeaways...
M&A buzz tapering off; focus back to fundamentals – Since early 2022, Terna Energy’s investment case has been dominated by potential takeover interest, a theme which has at times overshadowed fundamentals. In recent months, headwinds for the RES sector internationally along with unfavorable weather conditions domestically and a waning M&A narrative have weighed on sentiment driving a c27% drop in the share price since the summer highs. Looking ahead, we expect the stock to move more in tandem wi...
M&A buzz tapering off; focus back to fundamentals – Since early 2022, Terna Energy’s investment case has been dominated by potential takeover interest, a theme which has at times overshadowed fundamentals. In recent months, headwinds for the RES sector internationally along with unfavorable weather conditions domestically and a waning M&A narrative have weighed on sentiment driving a c27% drop in the share price since the summer highs. Looking ahead, we expect the stock to move more in tandem wi...
EME Equity Market – April 2023 Market performance – in the black across all geographies, except for Turkey. The MSCI EM Europe Index gained 3.4% mom in EUR terms and 4.9% mom in USD in April. The Polish WIG20 Index saw the biggest gains (+11.5% mom in EUR terms), followed by the Hungarian BUX Index (+7.8% mom in EUR terms) and the Greek ASE Index (+2.9% mom in EUR terms). More muted performances were witnessed in the Czech PX Index and Romanian BET Index, both adding 1.7% mom in EUR terms for th...
HEADLINES: • Polish banks: staying positive (PKO BP, Bank Pekao, Santander BP, mBank, ING BSK, Bank Millennium, Alior Bank, Bank Handlowy) • Terna Energy: FY22 results review - steady cash flow streams drive yearly performance, in line • Cyfrowy Polsat: 4Q22 conference call takeaways • Dino: 1Q23E results preview - 29% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 4 May) NEUTRAL • Bank Handlowy: 1Q23E preview (due on 11 May) • ING BSK: 1Q23E preview (due on 11 May) • Eurocash: 1Q23E results preview - f...
2022: The comeback – Greek equities staged an impressive comeback in 2022, outpacing most international markets with a 7% total return vs a 2-digit drop suffered by other European indices (and the S&P in EUR terms). Underpinning the ASE was certainly the better macroeconomic backdrop, with the Greek economy expanding by >5% in 2022 compared with c3% for the EU. Light positioning, healthy corporate profitability and more attractive yield gaps than in other regions were additional supporting facto...
2022: The comeback – Greek equities staged an impressive comeback in 2022, outpacing most international markets with a 7% total return vs a 2-digit drop suffered by other European indices (and the S&P in EUR terms). Underpinning the ASE was certainly the better macroeconomic backdrop, with the Greek economy expanding by >5% in 2022 compared with c3% for the EU. Light positioning, healthy corporate profitability and more attractive yield gaps than in other regions were additional supporting facto...
Greece posted a solid 2022, with another year of strong GDP recovery (+5%), stable politics and a positive performance for the benchmark ASE Index (+4%), despite the negative global backdrop. Looking into 2023E, the key tailwinds are a stronger local macro outlook, a potential upgrade to investment grade status, the possible return of dividends from the banking sector, and continued earnings upgrades from corporates. The key headwinds are the volatility that could be created during a prolonged e...
HEADLINES: • Telecom Egypt: the jewel of the Nile (BUY - initiation of coverage) • KGHM: medium-term headwinds, followed by long-term strength (Hold - reinitiation of coverage) • Terna Energy: 9M22 review - strong performance on higher trading and load factors • CCC: final 3Q22 results a notch above the prelims; 29% yoy sales growth in November POSITIVE • Shoper: GMV growth over Black Friday-Cyber Monday decelerated to 10% yoy, 22ppt below 3Q22 NEGATIVE • Polish media: WP TV's audience share ...
EME Equity Market – November 2022 Market performance – Turkey does it again, breezing past everyone else, once more, in November. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 11.6% mom in EUR terms and 16.7% mom in USD. The ISE30 index, again, boasted the best performance among our coverage, adding 18.6% mom in EUR terms and 23.9% mom in local currency (lcl) terms. Positive performances were also recorded in the WIG (+14.0% EU /13.0% lcl mom), the BUX (+12.6% EUR/12.0% lcl mom), the BET (+8.4% EUR/8.6% lcl...
HEADLINES: • Elbit Systems: well-positioned global defence play (BUY - initiation of coverage) • EME Macro/Strategy: attention! Cycle signals and mega trends • Mytilineos: stronger than ever (BUY - transfer of coverage) • Allterco: strong results paving the way for expansion in 2023E (stays HOLD) • LiveChat Software: 2Q22-23 (calendar 3Q22) results - EBITDA up 19% yoy, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • 4iG: 3Q22 results review - quarterly results distorted by business transformation NEUT...
HEADLINES: • ADNOC Distribution: pumped for growth (BUY - initiation of coverage) • Bank of Cyprus: strong ROTE uplift on the cards already (stays BUY) • OPAP: 3Q22 review - solid set of results, driven by strong online presence • Public Power Corporation: 3Q keeps company on track to meet FY22E guidance NEUTRAL • Fourlis: 3Q22 review - decent quarter and gross margin recovery • Huuuge Games: adjusted 3Q22 EBITDA in line with the preliminary figure, supportive FY guidance NEUTRAL • Warsaw St...
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