Wizz Air: slower growth could help medium-term margins (stays BUY)
Following the recalibration of Wizz Air’s strategy, we have tried to capture some of the changes ahead, in our revised figures. The pivot towards slower growth and refocusing on CEE could support margins over the medium term. The near-term dynamics remain challenging, however. Wizz is still likely to grow 15-20% this winter, which, given seasonally-low demand, may pressure margins. The accelerated return of current engine option (ceo) aircraft to the lessors over the next two years could also elevate maintenance and depreciation costs. Meanwhile, management is targeting reactivation of the full fleet by summer 2027E. If the c.40 grounded aircraft return to service, utilisation and cost efficiency should benefit, although upfront investment in spare engines may weigh on results in the interim. Overall, we continue to see the risks as skewed to the upside from the current depressed levels, and maintain our BUY rating and 12M price target (PT) of GBP 15/share (unchanged). That said, we continue to expect weak near-term earnings and see downside risks to consensus for F26E.Wizz Air Holding is a European airline. As of Mar 31 2017, Co. provided more than 500 routes from 28 bases, connecting 141 destinations across 42 countries. Co. has two reportable segments: the airline and the tour operator business units, marketed under the Wizz Air and Wizz Tours brand names, respectively. Wizz Air sells flight tickets and related services to external customers and, to an extent, to Wizz Tours. Wizz Tours sells travel packages to external customers covering the network of Wizz Air.
WOOD & Company is the leading investment bank in Emerging Europe. Founded in 1991 and head-quartered in Prague, our footprint spans the region and touches investors around the globe.
A pioneer in Emerging Europe, WOOD executed many of the first CEE equity trades and landmark investment banking transactions. Our electronic trading platform was the first in the region, and remains the best. We are continually expanding our relevance and reach in these ever-evolving markets.
Our equity market share reflects our stature: 7% in Warsaw, 20% in Bucharest, 16% in Hungary, 40% in Prague and 5% in Vienna. Our distribution is unparalleled, with the largest salesforce in the region, servicing a uniquely diverse investor base.
We couple local expertise with a truly international perspective. With offices on the ground in the region, and in key financial hubs such as London and Milano, we are never far from our clients and we remain at the forefront of what’s afoot in the CEE emerging and frontier landscape.
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