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Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+4)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Guy Sips ... (+8)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Hoste

Morning Notes : ACKB BB, COLR BB, DSFIR NA, FAGR BB, HYL BB, SEQUA BB,...

: ACKB BB, COLR BB, DSFIR NA, FAGR BB, HYL BB, SEQUA BB, TWEKA NA, DEME BB

Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

DSM-Firmenich Lowering target price on vitamin normalization and peers...

After BASF has gradually lifted Force Majeure status on its vitamin operations in the past few months, vitamin prices have normalized quickly and the temporary pricing benefit dsm-firmenich enjoyed is now about to come to an end. As we were previously still banking on a more gradual normalization and still a bit of benefit in 2026, we have now adjusted our forecasts. We expect dsm-firmenich to still announce an ANH divestment in the near term and bank on a deal value of c. € 4bn. Taking into acc...

Jacob Mekhael ... (+4)
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Cementir Holding Solid as a rock

We initiate coverage on Cementir with a BUY rating and € 18 target price. Cementir's diversified footprint with some key regional strongholds like Denmark and Belgium along with a deeply vertically integrated model in those regions allows to realize solid profitability, as witnessed by a 24% group EBITDA margin and 17% ROCE in 2024. A sizeable net cash position gives Cementir significant firepower for acquisitions in a still fragmented cement industry whilst the presence of a reference sharehold...

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : BREB BB, OPTI BB, EXM BB, SOLB BB, WDP BB, DEME BB, JD...

: BREB BB, OPTI BB, EXM BB, SOLB BB, WDP BB, DEME BB, JDEP NA, ENRGY BB

Guy Sips ... (+4)
  • Guy Sips
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Wim Hoste
Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Belysse 1H adjusted EBITDA down on Europe but market bottoming out?

1H adjusted EBITDA dropped by c. 20% which was below our expectations. Belysse. The decline is entirely due to Europe, as the US business held up very well and even increased adjusted EBITDA y/y, on stable volumes and higher unitary margins. After the weaker than expected 1H performance, we have lowered our FY25/26 adjusted EBITDA forecasts by c. 9%. Nevertheless, European volumes appear to be bottoming out and any volume rebound might have a significant positive effect on margins. Valuation con...

Guy Sips ... (+8)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update September: Adding AB InBev and Exor

In this September update we added 2 stocks to the KBC Securities Dynamic Top Pick List : We added AB InBev after the share price weakened post-2Q results. ABI's 2Q volumes fell 1.9% organically, below expectations, mainly due to a 9% drop in Brazil where a price hike led to temporary market share loss. However, strong revenue per hl growth (+4.9%) drove a 6.5% organic EBITDA increase, with 1H growth at +7.2%, near the top of FY guidance (+4–8%). AB InBev, the world's largest brewer, generates ...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+7)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste

Morning Notes : CRBN NA, DIE BB, DSFIR NA, UCB BB, EKOP BB, CTPNV NA, ...

: CRBN NA, DIE BB, DSFIR NA, UCB BB, EKOP BB, CTPNV NA, JDEP NA

Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Recticel Conference call feedback & model update

Recticel has posted solid double digit top line growth in 1H25 with a flattish adj EBITDA margin. The € 27.7m adj EBITDA figure was c. 8% below our forecast and 7% below consensus. The fresh FY25 adjusted EBITDA guidance calls for c. 10% growth which was below our and consensus forecasts (of c. +24%). Positive is that building permit levels are starting to pick up in some geographies. The strategic growth projects in the US (Insulated Panels Plant) and Belgium (Recycling plant) are progressing a...

Guy Sips ... (+7)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : ACKB BB, HAL NA, NEXTA BB, RECT BB, RET BB, UCB BB, BT...

: ACKB BB, HAL NA, NEXTA BB, RECT BB, RET BB, UCB BB, BTLS BB, ECMPA NA

Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Recticel FIRST LOOK: 1H adj.EBITDA +10%, FY EBITDA growth guidance of ...

Recticel has posted solid double digit top line growth in 1H25 with a flattish adj EBITDA margin. The € 27.7m adj EBITDA figure was c. 8% below our forecast and 7% below consensus. The fresh FY25 adjusted EBITDA guidance calls for c. 10% growth which is below our and consensus forecasts (of c. +24%). Positive is that building permit levels are starting to pick up in some geographies. The strategic growth projects in the US (Insulated Panels Plant) and Belgium (Recycling plant) are progressing ac...

Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Tessenderlo Feedback 1H results conference call

Below are the highlights from the conference call. Tessenderlo's 1H results positively surprised, with adj EBITDA up 8% y/y to 163.4m, which was 19% better than our forecast and 12% above consensus. The company reiterated its broad FY25 guidance range, with consensus currently at the midpoint of the range whilst KBCS estimates are at the low end of the guidance range (and will be upped somewhat). The company is using its solid balance sheet and FCF to buy back own shares. We consider valuation t...

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Tessenderlo FIRST LOOK: 1H adj EBITDA +8%, FY guidance maintained

Tessenderlo's 1H results positively surprised, with adj EBITDA up 8% y/y to 163.4m, which was 19% better than our forecast and 12% above consensus. The company reiterated its broad FY25 guidance range, with consensus currently at the midpoint of the range whilst KBCS estimates are at the low end of the guidance range (and will be upped somewhat). The company is using its solid balance sheet and FCF to buy back own shares. We consider valuation to be attractive enough from maintaining our Accumul...

Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Deceuninck Feedback analyst meeting

Deceuninck reported a 16% drop in 1H adj EBITDA, about 6% below our forecast and 5% below consensus. The environment is expected to remain challenging in Turkiye, with the US showing some early signs of improvement. We will probably revise our estimates slightly downwards. While acknowledging the cyclical character of Deceuninck, we expect support from the EU Green Deal in the coming years while also Recycling activities still have significant structural growth potential. Valuation is clearly at...

Guy Sips ... (+7)
  • Guy Sips
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Deceuninck FIRST LOOK: 1H25 adj EBITDA -16%, no precise guidance

Deceuninck reported a 16% drop in 1H adj EBITDA, about 6% below our forecast and 5% below consensus. The environment is expected to remain challenging in Turkiye, with the US showing some early signs of improvement. We will probably revise our estimates slightly downwards. While acknowledging the cyclical character of Deceuninck, we expect support from the EU Green Deal in the coming years while also Recycling activities still have significant structural growth potential. Valuation is clearly at...

Jacob Mekhael ... (+3)
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
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