reports
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Kristof Samoy
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- Wim Hoste
DSM-Firmenich FIRST LOOK: Sale of ANH to CVC for EV of up to € 2.2bn
Dsm-firmenich announced the divestment of its ANH business to CVC, while it will retain a 20% minority stake for now. The deal value (EV of up to € 2.2bn for 100%; implying a c. 7x EV/normalized adjusted EBITDA multiple) is in line with recent market rumours although below our € 3bn forecast, while also other elements in the deal structure are a bit disappointing (price tag included €0.5bn earn-out, a loan & liquidity facility will be provided). Despite the lower than expected ANH deal metrics, ...
- Guy Sips
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Livio Luyten
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
Dynamic Top Pick List Update February 2026: Removing ASMi; Adding UCB
After today's changes (ASMi out, UCB in), we maintain a balanced approach in our Dynamic Top Pick List, with a particular emphasis on value stocks that have been overlooked. Our defensive holdings are overweight, including real estate, which stands to benefit from lower interest rates. We remove ASMi from our Dynamic Top Pick List as the recent share price performance has driven the valuation meaningfully ahead of fundamentals. Since early December, FY27 diluted EPS expectations have risen by a...
EVS EVS BROADCAST EQUIPMENT SA
UCB UCB S.A.
DIE D'IETEREN SA
SOF SOFINA SA
IBAB ION BEAM APPLICATIONS SA
ROYAL VOPAK NV
AED AEDIFICA SA
CSM CORBION NV
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
ARGX ARGEN-X SE
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
DEME DEME GROUP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Guy Sips
- Jacob Mekhael
- Mathijs Geerts Danau
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- Wim Hoste
Akzo Nobel Uninspiring 4Q & FY26 outlook, while Axalta merger can beco...
Akzo's 4Q25 results were roughly in line with previous quarters, with weak volumes and negative FX leading to a slight decline in adjusted EBITDA, despite sizeable efficiency improvement initiatives. 2026 is expected to bring more of the same, with Akzo forecasting flat volumes and an FY26 adjusted EBITDA that is guided to be up at least 2% (or at least 7% excluding negative FX and scope effects). With current efficiency improvement initiatives expected to have mostly run their course in 2027, t...
- Guy Sips
- Jacob Mekhael
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- Wim Hoste
Akzo Nobel FIRST LOOK: 4Q EBITDA -4%, FY26 guidance slightly below exp...
4Q adjusted EBITDA dropped by 4% y/y and was in line with our forecast while being 2% below consensus. Akzo guides for a FY26 adj EBITDA at or above € 1.47bn, which is at the low end 2% below our forecast and 4% below consensus. The merger with Axalta is expected to close in late 2026 or early 2027. Taking into account the volatile track record and low structural growth, we maintain our Hold rating and € 65 target price.
- Wim Hoste
Titan Completion of acquisition of Vracs de L'Estuaire
Titan has completed the earlier announced acquisition of the cementitious business of Vracs de l'Estuaire. The acquisition complements Titan's European footprint and also fits well within TITAN's Forward 2029 Strategic plan which was presented in November 2025, and which targets to grow EBITDA by 62% to € 1bn by 2029 on a combination of organic growth initiatives and M&A in regions where the company has an established footprint and acquisitions offer sizeable synergies potential. Overall, TITAN ...
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Hoste
- Livio Luyten
- Michiel Declercq
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Hoste
Solvay Taking a more cautious stance, lowering target price
Increased pressure in the soda ash market prompts us to take a more conservative approach with regards to contract terms for the coming years, resulting in a reduction of our group EBITDA forecasts for 2026-2028 by between 6-11%. The dividend policy of a stable to increasing dividend from a € 2.43 base looks increasingly generous as servicing the dividend representing the vast majority of current FCF generation, limiting the group's ability to pursue other growth initiatives. Despite the attract...
- Wim Hoste
Bekaert FIRST LOOK:Acquiring Bridgestone Chinese/Thai tire cord activi...
Bekaert's € 60m acquisition of Bridgestone's captive tire cord business in Thailand and China fits within a long track record of similar acquisitions and further strengthens Bekaert's relationship with Bridgestone, one of the leading global tire makers. With a net debt/EBITDA of only 0.7x, Bekaert can easily fund this acquisition. In general, management has been looking at M&A to accelerate growth, although sizeable M&A is having a tough time to compete against share buybacks in terms of attract...
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Livio Luyten
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- Jacob Mekhael
- Livio Luyten
- Mathijs Geerts Danau
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Hoste
Ontex FIRST LOOK: Acceleration of CEO transition and launch of strateg...
Ontex decided to accelerate its earlier announced CEO transition plan with Mr Nielly, President of Ontex Europe, to become the new CEO immediately. Ontex announced the launch of a strategic review, which seems mainly directed to enhancing the company's performance at this stage. We still see larger strategic moves like a combination with a US-focused peer as an eventual end game for Ontex, given the limited structural growth of its industry and the limitations to operational improvements. Despit...
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Mathijs Geerts Danau
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- Wim Hoste
Titan Titan America acquires Keystone Cement Company for c. $ 310m
Titan America announced an agreement to acquire Keystone for $310m, which will further expand its US operations and provides an attractive fit with the existing US footprint. The acquisition also fits well within TITAN's Forward 2029 Strategic plan which was presented in November 2025, and which targets to grow EBITDA by 62% to € 1bn by 2029 on a combination of organic growth initiatives and M&A in regions where the company has an established footprint and acquisitions offer sizeable synergies p...
- Jacob Mekhael
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Mathijs Geerts Danau
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Livio Luyten
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
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