iFlytek reported its 2023 and 1Q24 results. 2023 revenue grew 4% yoy, below expectations, while net profit rose 17% yoy to Rmb657m, 12% lower than consensus estimates. Meanwhile, 1Q24 revenue grew 26.3% yoy to Rmb3.65b, in line with consensus expectations. Net profit came in at Rmb300m, below consensus forecasts by 73%. Adjusted net loss expanded 30% yoy to Rmb441m. Downgrade to HOLD with a lower target price of Rmb40.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy China And Hong Kong Property A comparison between H-REITs and C-REITs. Results China Tourism Group Duty Free (601888 CH/BUY/Rmb71.72/Target: Rmb106.20) 1Q24: Core profit grew 0.2% yoy; inventories improving; expect further gross margin expansion. iFlytek (002230 CH/HOLD/Rmb41.97/Target: Rmb40.00) FY23 and 1Q24: Earnings missed; dividend of Rmb1.00 for every 10 shares. Jonjee Hi-Tech Industrial & Commercial (600872 CH/BUY/Rmb27.55/Target: Rmb36.10) 1Q24: Results abov...
GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property A comparison between H-REITs and C-REITs. Results China Tourism Group Duty Free (601888 CH/BUY/Rmb71.72/Target: Rmb106.20) 1Q24: Core profit grew 0.2% yoy; inventories improving; expect further gross margin expansion. iFlytek (002230 CH/HOLD/Rmb41.97/Target: Rmb40.00) FY23 and 1Q24: Earnings missed; dividend of Rmb1.00 for every 10 shares. Jonjee Hi-Tech Industrial & C...
We see the strong travel booking momentum continuing into 2Q24, with: a) the Qingming festival recording resilient travel growth; and b) robust bookings for the coming Labour Day Holiday, amid travel consumption upgrade and unfolding demand for outbound travel. We expect the travel enthusiasm to continue despite the high base in 2023. We still prefer TCOM as it is well-positioned to seize travel demand emerging from international and outbound travel. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
GREATER CHINA Sector Online Travel Agencies: Robust Qingming festival travel momentum continues into Labour Day. Results Dian Diagnostics (300244 CH/BUY/Rmb14.36/Target: Rmb18.50): 2023: Results in line; smooth progress in developing esoteric testing business. EVE Energy (300014 CH/SELL/Rmb35.00/Target: Rmb20.00): 4Q23: Earnings miss on margins. Maintain SELL. Cut target price from Rmb24.00 to Rmb20.00. Huizhou Desay SV Automotive Co (002920 CH/BUY/Rmb118.01/Target: Rmb145.00): 1Q24: Earnings mi...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Online Travel Agencies Robust Qingming festival travel momentum continues into Labour Day. Results Dian Diagnostics (300244 CH/BUY/Rmb14.36/Target: Rmb18.50) 2023: Results in line; smooth progress in developing esoteric testing business. EVE Energy (300014 CH/SELL/Rmb35.00/Target: Rmb20.00) 4Q23: Earnings miss on margins. Maintain SELL. Cut target price from Rmb24.00 to Rmb20.00. Huizhou Desay SV Automotive Co (002920 CH/BUY/Rmb118.01/Target: Rmb145.00) 1Q24: Earnin...
JD’s top-line growth is expected to be 6% yoy for 1Q24, while GMV growth is projected be exceed China’s 1Q24 retail growth of 4.7% yoy. In 2024, JD will have a clean base after reorganisation and targets to achieve high single-digit normalised GMV growth. Meanwhile, margin is expected to remain stable yoy due to ramped up investment in three major strategies including content ecosystem, open ecosystem and on-demand services. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$127.00 (US$34.00).
GREATER CHINA Sector Insurance: Value buy or value trap? Initiate Coverage Crystal International (2232 HK/BUY/HK$3.39/Target: HK$4.42): Well-positioned for market share gains from sportswear brand customers. Update Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$81.60/Target: HK$109.60): Satisfactory 1Q24 sales performances; high-quality growth remains intact. JD.com (9618 HK/BUY/HK$98.85/Target: HK$127.00): 1Q24 results preview: Focusing on three core strategies to revitalise user growth. INDONESIA Sector Mining:...
Alibaba saw solid consumption momentum in Jan-Feb 24 on its platform and slight moderation in March with its continuous focus on user needs. We expect revenue to grow 6% yoy for 4QFY24, fuelled by better CMR growth. For FY25, Alibaba will continue to focus on user experience and investment in AIDC to foster revenue growth amid a highly competitive environment. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$92.00 (US$92.00).
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector IT Hardware AI Hardware: Elevated investment to bolster investor confidence. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Update Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$70.50/Target: HK$92.00) 4QFY24 preview: Solid CMR and AIDC growth; lacklustre profitability. TRADERS’ CORNER Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK): Trading Buy range: HK$3.48-3.58 China Gas Holdings Limited (384 HK): Trading Buy range: HK$7.90-8.00
GREATER CHINA Sector IT Hardware: AI Hardware: Elevated investment to bolster investor confidence. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Update Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$70.50/Target: HK$92.00): 4QFY24 preview: Solid CMR and AIDC growth; lacklustre profitability. SINGAPORE Update Marco Polo Marine (MPM SP/BUY/S$0.067/Target:S$0.086): Virtual call takeaways: Thriving on upswing in offshore industry. THAILAND Update Energy Absolute (EA TB/BUY/Bt35.25/Target: Bt70.00): Looking for new growth opportunities fro...
Given the stabilising revenue growth and abundant cash on hand, mega-cap internet companies have been focusing on offering generous shareholder returns. For 2024, we expect consumption behaviour to switch to service and experience, which will continue to benefit OTA players. We believe other China internet names will outperform with overseas expansion and SFV players will continue to gain market shares with potential for take rate increases. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet: Rewarding shareholders in 2023; emerging strategic growth prospects in 2024. MALAYSIA Update Maxis (MAXIS MK/BUY/RM3.55/Target: RM4.20): Compelling risk-reward as Maxis focuses on driving its core business and delivering three-year earnings CAGR of 8%. Upgrade to BUY with a higher target price of RM4.20. SINGAPORE Strategy Higher-for-a-lot-longer Interest Rates: Some companies to suffer, some to benefit.
Weimob’s 2H23 results came in below expectations. Revenue grew 8% yoy to Rmb1b due to solid revenue growth from key accounts merchants. Gross margin rose 13ppt yoy to 65.5%. Adjusted net loss narrowed to Rmb134m yoy, lower than the street’s estimate of a Rmb114m loss. Weimob expects to achieve profitability at the operating level in 2024, and is poised to capture growth opportunities emerging from the AI wave. Downgrade to SELL with a lower target price of HK$1.60.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics PMI First expansion in six months. Sector Aviation Airlines: Expecting a turnaround in profitability in 2024 with moderate international travel recovery. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Macau Gaming Mar 24 GGR up 6% mom; May 24 Golden Week a potential catalyst. Results China Feihe (6186 HK/BUY/HK$3.68/Target: HK$4.43) 2023: Results in line; healthy channel inventory and improved operating efficiency to drive growth. Upgrade to BUY. China Longyuan Power (916 HK/BUY/HK$5.4...
Meituan delivered solid 4Q23 results. Total revenue grew 23% yoy to Rmb73.7b, in line with consensus estimate. Non-IFRS net profit was Rmb4.4b, which translated to a non- GAAP net profit margin of 6%, well above consensus estimate. For 2024, we think the key concerns remain the competition in ISHT and moderating food delivery AOV, mainly dampened by the weak macro environment and stiff competition. Maintain HOLD with a higher target price of HK$80.00.
GREATER CHINA Results Longfor (960 HK/BUY/HK$10.18/Target: HK$12.71): 2023: Better earnings mix and debt structure; continues to optimise development model in 2024. Meituan (3690 HK/HOLD/HK$88.25/Target: HK$80.00): 4Q23: In line; margins pressured by lacklustre AOV and competition in in-store business. Orient Overseas (International) (316 HK/HOLD/HK$99.70/Target: HK$107.70): 2023: Results missed on margin pressure; share price more fairly valued after a sharp 16.7% decline post results. Upgrade ...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Longfor (960 HK/BUY/HK$10.18/Target: HK$12.71) 2023: Better earnings mix and debt structure; continues to optimise development model in 2024. Meituan (3690 HK/HOLD/HK$88.25/Target: HK$80.00) 4Q23: In line; margins pressured by lacklustre AOV and competition in in-store business. Orient Overseas (International) (316 HK/HOLD/HK$99.70/Target: HK$107.70) 2023: Results missed on margin pressure; share price more fairly valued after a sharp 16.7% decline post results. Upgra...
Tencent’s 4Q23 results came in slightly below our expectation. Revenue grew 7.1% yoy to Rmb155.2b, in line with consensus estimate. Gross margin expanded 3ppt yoy to 50%, better than consensus forecast. Non-GAAP operating margin recovered to Rmb52b, while non-GAAP operating margin rose to 34.2%, beating our estimate. Non- IFRS net profit increased 43.7% yoy, 3% above consensus estimate on a positive revenue mix shift. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$382.00.
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