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Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

China Automobile Weekly: January EV Sales Weakness Offset By ICE Sales...

CPCA estimates January China passenger NEV wholesale sales at 900,000 units (+1% yoy/-42% mom), with front-loaded purchases ahead of the reduced purchase tax and delayed local subsidies weighing on volumes. Automakers with ICE-car exposure, such as Geely Auto and Great Wall Motor, saw relatively resilient January sales. We expect China’s auto sales to recover after Chinese New Year, with local subsidies in place. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Ganfeng Lithium, Minth and Geely. Top SELL:...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+5)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Curtis Yeung
  • Ken Lee
  • Sunny Chen

Greater China Daily: Friday, February 6, 2026

Top Stories Sector Update | Automobile CPCA estimates January China passenger NEV wholesale sales at 900,000 units (+1% yoy/-42% mom), with front-loaded purchases ahead of the reduced purchase tax and delayed local subsidies weighing on volumes. Automakers with ICE-car exposure, such as Geely Auto and Great Wall Motor, saw relatively resilient January sales. We expect China’s auto sales to recover after Chinese New Year, with local subsidies in place. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Gan...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+12)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • HIFZHAN RAZIQ BIN HARIS FADZLAN
  • Ken Lee
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, February 06, 2026

Greater China Sector Update | Automobile CPCA estimates January China passenger NEV wholesale sales at 900,000 units (+1% yoy/-42% mom), with front-loaded purchases ahead of the reduced purchase tax and delayed local subsidies weighing on volumes. Automakers with ICE-car exposure, such as Geely Auto and Great Wall Motor, saw relatively resilient January sales. We expect China’s auto sales to recover after Chinese New Year, with the local subsidies in place. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: ...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

Pony AI Inc (PONY US): 2025 Results Preview And 2026 Outlook.

Preliminary 2025 net loss narrowed to US$126m-143m, driven by investment gains, implying a 4Q25 bottom line turnaround to US$14m-31m. Full-year 2025 adjusted net loss was in line with our expectation. We expect earnings to be driven by fleet expansion, hardware cost reduction, and increasing operation efficiency. We maintain our 2025-27 net loss forecasts of US$195m/US$189m/US$143m respectively. We expect bottom line to turn around in 2028. Maintain BUY; keep target price at US$26.10 for US stoc...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+5)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Curtis Yeung
  • Ken Lee
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Daily: Thursday, February 5, 2026

Top Stories Company Results | Yum China Holdings, Inc (9987 HK/NOT RATED/HK$392.40) In 4Q25, YUMC’s total revenue reached US$2,823m, up 9% yoy. Total system sales grew 7% yoy, with a 3% increase in same-store sales. Operating profit rose 25% yoy to US$187m, with operating margin at 6.6% (+80bp). For 1Q26, management targets positive SSS. It aims to maintain flat yoy restaurant margin and operating profit margin on a high base. For 2026, it expects to open more than 1,900 net new stores, with 40...

Andrew Agita Buntoro ... (+11)
  • Andrew Agita Buntoro
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Ken Lee
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Krit Tanarattananon
  • Philip Wong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, February 05, 2026

Greater China Company Results | Yum China Holdings, Inc (9987 HK/NOT RATED/HK$392.40) In 4Q25, YUMC’s total revenue reached US$2,823m, up 9% yoy. Total system sales grew 7% yoy, with a 3% increase in same-store sales. Operating profit rose 25% yoy to US$187m, with operating margin at 6.6% (+80bp). For 1Q26, management targets positive SSS. It aims to maintain flat yoy restaurant margin and operating profit margin on a high base. For 2026, it expects to open more than 1,900 net new stores, wi...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

Great Wall Motor (2333 HK): 2025 Profit Alert: 22% yoy earnings declin...

Highlights  GWM posted preliminary 2025 net profit of Rmb9,912m (-22% yoy), below our estimate of Rmb10.69b and consensus estimate of Rmb12.23b.  The earnings decline was due to the initial costs for the establishment of direct sales networks and R&D for the new tech platforms. We expect earnings recovery in 2026, based on the decline in the initial cost for direct sales networks and the ramp-up of the new products’ sales.  To factor in higher R&D costs, we cut our 2026-27 net profit forecast...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+8)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Curtis Yeung
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tham Mun Hon

Greater China Daily: Monday, February 2, 2026

Top Stories Economics | PMI January PMI was below Bloomberg’s consensus, as the manufacturing PMI dipped to 49.2 (-0.9pt mom). The manufacturing output sub-index stayed marginally expansionary, while the new orders and new export orders sub-indices weakened. The purchase prices sub-index surged, pointing to higher cost pressure for manufacturers. The non-manufacturing PMI also fell to 49.4 (-0.8pt mom), mainly driven by a sharp contraction in the construction industry index. Large enterprise su...

Alden Gabriel Lam ... (+13)
  • Alden Gabriel Lam
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, February 02, 2026

Greater China Economics | PMI January PMI was below Bloomberg’s consensus, as the manufacturing PMI dipped to 49.2 (-0.9pt mom). The manufacturing output sub-index stayed marginally expansionary, while the new orders and new export orders sub-indices weakened. The purchase prices sub-index surged, pointing to higher cost pressure for manufacturers. The non-manufacturing PMI also fell to 49.4 (-0.8pt mom), mainly driven by a sharp contraction in the construction industry index. Large enterpri...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+5)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Sunny Chen

Greater China Daily: Friday, 30 January 2026

Top Stories Sector Update | Automobile Chinese EVs are gaining share in the global auto market, due to China’s integrated supply chain dominance and favourable trade policies. Established incumbents like BYD are facing increasing competition from fellow Chinese auto OEMs and some western brands like VW. Lower-export OEMs (Geely, XPeng) hold greater upside than high-export leaders (BYD, GWM). China’s EV export hub status benefits suppliers as foreign OEMs leverage local production. Maintain MARKE...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+2)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Ken Lee

Automobile - Weekly: Chinese Auto OEMs’ Strategic Pivot To Internation...

Chinese EVs are gaining share in the global auto market, due to China’s integrated supply chain dominance and favourable trade policies. Established incumbents like BYD are facing increasing competition from fellow Chinese auto OEMs and some western brands like VW. Lower-export OEMs (Geely, XPeng) hold greater upside than high-export leaders (BYD, GWM). China’s EV export hub status benefits suppliers as foreign OEMs leverage local production. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Ganfeng Lithi...

Audrey Celia ... (+14)
  • Audrey Celia
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Ken Lee
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Sunny Chen
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn
  • Wei Xiang Ku
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, January 30, 2026

Greater China Sector Update | Automobile Chinese EVs are gaining share in the global auto market, due to China’s integrated supply chain dominance and favourable trade policies. Established incumbents like BYD are facing increasing competition from fellow Chinese auto OEMs and some western brands like VW. Lower-export OEMs (Geely, XPeng) hold greater upside than high-export leaders (BYD, GWM). China’s EV export hub status benefits suppliers as foreign OEMs leverage local production. Maintain MAR...

Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man

Foxconn Industrial Internet (601138 CH): Quick Note On 4Q25 Profit Gui...

FII announced its 4Q25/2025 profit guidance range. 4Q25 reported net profit is guided to grow 56-63% yoy to Rmb12.6b- 13.2b, which is 4-9% above our and consensus forecast of Rmb12.1b. Core net profit on the other hand is expected to increase 43-50% yoy to Rmb12.4b-13.0b, largely in line. The company attributed the strong growth to CSP orders, particularly AI servers and high-speed network switches. Maintain BUY and keep target price at Rmb89.50.

Curtis Yeung ... (+5)
  • Curtis Yeung
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao

Greater China Daily: Thursday, January 29, 2026

Top Stories Company Results | New Oriental Education (EDU US/BUY/US$58.95/Target: US$68.00) EDU delivered a solid 2QFY26 results beat. Revenue grew 15% yoy to US$1,191m, 3% higher than our and consensus estimates. Non-GAAP net profit came in at US$73m, beating our and consensus estimates by 27-30% due to ongoing prudent cost control, while net margin expanded 2ppt yoy to 6% for 2QFY26. EDU expects 3QFY26 revenue to grow at an intact 11-14% yoy to US$1,313.2m-1,348.7m, in line with consensus for...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+14)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Alden Gabriel Lam
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Damon Shen
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, January 29, 2026

Greater China Company Results | New Oriental Education (EDU US/BUY/US$58.95/Target: US$68.00) EDU delivered a solid 2QFY26 results beat. Revenue grew 15% yoy to US$1,191m, 3% higher than our and consensus estimates. Non-GAAP net profit came in at US$73m, beating our and consensus estimates by 27-30% due to ongoing prudent cost control, while net margin expanded 2ppt yoy to 6% for 2QFY26. EDU expects 3QFY26 revenue to grow at an intact 11-14% yoy to US$1,313.2m-1,348.7m, in line with consensus fo...

Audrey Celia ... (+10)
  • Audrey Celia
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Joyce Chu
  • Kate Luang
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Lester Siew
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, January 28, 2026

Greater China Company Update | NAURA Technology Group (002371 CH/BUY/Rmb497.68/Target: Rmb571.70) We see multiple upside risks to our assumption about NAURA for 2026-27. Domestic foundries and memory IDMs are likely to further raise their capex plans for advanced nodes given robust downstream demand and capacity shortage, while the mature node capex may end up better than feared thanks to overflow demand from global Tier 1 foundries. On the other hand, localisation efforts are accelerating signi...

Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man

NAURA Technology Group (002371 CH): Multiple Catalysts From 2026 Onwar...

We see multiple upside risks to our assumption about NAURA for 2026-27. Domestic foundries and memory IDMs are likely to further raise their capex plans for advanced nodes given robust downstream demand and capacity shortage, while the mature node capex may end up better than feared thanks to overflow demand from global Tier 1 foundries. On the other hand, localisation efforts are accelerating significantly with NAURA making solid progress in several new platforms. Maintain BUY. Target price: Rm...

Curtis Yeung ... (+5)
  • Curtis Yeung
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Joyce Chu
  • Kate Luang

Greater China Daily: Wednesday, January 28, 2026

Top Stories Company Update | NAURA Technology Group (002371 CH/BUY/Rmb497.68/Target: Rmb571.70) We see multiple upside risks to our assumption about NAURA for 2026-27. Domestic foundries and memory IDMs are likely to further raise their capex plans for advanced nodes given robust downstream demand and capacity shortage, while the mature node capex may end up better than feared thanks to overflow demand from global Tier 1 foundries. On the other hand, localisation efforts are accelerating signif...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+6)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Damon Shen
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Joyce Chu
  • Ken Lee

Greater China Daily: Friday, January 23, 2026

Top Stories Sector Update | Automobile 12 Chinese automakers set ambitious targets for 2026. Despite weak sales from 1-18 January, we maintain our PV sales forecast of 30.4m units (+3% yoy), driven by exports and EVs. Policy shifts in the EU and Canada are creating a more favourable environment for Chinese EV exports, supporting overseas growth. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Ganfeng Lithium, Minth and Geely. Top SELL: Li Auto. Company Update | Longfor Group Holdings (960 HK/BUY/HK$9....

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