Upgrading Consumer Discretionary (XLY) to Overweight A weak 20-year note auction last Wednesday sparked the first semi-meaningful pullback since this lockout rally began on April 22nd, which is when we turned short-term bullish (4/22/25 Compass) as the SPX was testing 5100-5120 support. We will be watching the 10- and 30-year Treasury yields closely, as both are approaching important resistance levels (more on that below). Unsurprisingly, SPX only tested short-term gap support on the pullback a...
Upgrading Consumer Staples to Overweight Our intermediate-term outlook remains bearish/cautious, and we continue to believe a prolonged downturn is likely, which has been the case since our 4/1/25 Compass. We will remain cautious and we will continue to favor defensives as long as the S&P 500 is below its 200-day MA (currently 5750) or 5785 level. There have been substantial trading opportunities in both directions, and we expect that to continue; we discussed in our 4/8/25 Compass that a logic...
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) today downgraded Dollar General Corporation's ("Dollar General") senior unsecured notes ratings to Baa3 from Baa2 and short-term commercial paper program rating to Prime-3 from Prime-2. The outlook changed to stable from negative. The downgrade reflects Dollar General's r...
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
A director at Dollar General Corp sold 6,000 shares at 75.268USD and the significance rating of the trade was 56/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clea...
Bull Trap Still Brewing? The S&P 500 (SPX) continues to hold below 5783, which is the upper-end of an important target/resistance area (5670-5783) we have discussed since our 8/13/24 Compass, just after the SPX hit our 5100-5191 "expected pullback zone." 5670 was the prior all-time high set in July, while 5783 is 2% above 5670. The current "breakout" above 5670 is an extraordinarily weak one, which usually suggests a false breakout/bull trap is brewing; the SPX has spent nearly three weeks abov...
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