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Nicolas David
  • Nicolas David

ODDO : Iberian Forum – Day 1

We host our 4th ODDO BHF Iberian Forum on the 1st and 2nd of October 2024 virtually. In total, 63 companies will be presenting. In the following note, we provide some initial feedback of the company on day 1. - >Acciona (=) : Confidence in Non-energy business steady, Acciona Energía stake sparks intense scrutiny - Acciona Energia (=/-) : A trajectory beyond 2024 to be explained at the 9 months results - Acerinox (=/-): Softness persists in Europe and US - Amadeus (=/+): sol...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 26 SEPTIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ECOENER, GREENING, GRIFOLS, TELEFÓNICA. EUROPA: BASF, UNICREDIT. Freno al optimismo en bolsa Jornada negativa en Europa después de las ganancias de las últimas sesiones que habían lanzado al Ibex por encima de los 11.800 puntos y máximos de 2015. Así, en el STOXX 600 los mejores sectores fueron B. Consumo y Hogar frente a Energía y Autos que sufrieron las mayores caídas. Por el lado macro, en EE.UU. la venta de viviendas nuevas cayó menos de lo prev...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

ODDO : A gradual weaning

‘Soft landing’... the term is in vogue and we think it aptly describes the current situation in the energy market. After a period of “excess profits”, the fundamentals are back in favour and prompt us to revise down our estimates for energy prices. - Alongside renewable energies, pockets of sustainable value creation are emerging for players capable of capitalising on the structural growth in volatility on the electricity markets but which are nonetheless trading at a discount In ...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

ODDO : Un sevrage dans la douceur

“Soft landing”… le terme est à la mode et nous pensons qu’il caractérise bien la situation du marché de l’énergie aujourd’hui. Après une parenthèse de « surprofits », les fondamentaux reprennent leur droit et nous conduisent à réviser en baisse nos hypothèses de prix de l’énergie. A côté du renouvelable, des poches pérennes de création de valeur apparaissent pour les acteurs capables de profiter de la croissance structurelle de la volatilité des marchés électriques et qui souffre...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 20 SEPTIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: GRIFOLS, MINOR HOTELS, VISCOFAN. EUROPA: MERCEDES BENZ GROUP, VOLKSWAGEN El mercado, y sobre todo los cíclicos, celebran la decisión de la Fed Las bolsas europeas subieron con fuerza el jueves a pesar de la apreciación del euro, con la confianza de que la Fed logrará un aterrizaje “suave” de la economía estadounidense. En el STOXX 600 los mejores fueron cíclicos muy castigados recientemente como Tecnología y R. Básicos mientras que Utilities y Telec...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 20 SEPTEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: GRIFOLS, MINOR HOTELS, VISCOFAN. The market and mainly cyclical stocks welcome the Fed’s decision European stock markets climbed significantly yesterday despite the appreciation of the euro, remaining confident that the Fed will enable a soft landing of the US economy. Thus, in the STOXX 600 cyclical stocks severely and recently hit such as Technology and Basic Resources were the best performers whereas Utilities and Telecoms posted the biggest drops. On the macro side, in the UK...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 17 SEPTEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: COLONIAL, IBERDROLA. The ECB is more cautious European stock markets ended with corrections, with more cautious comments from the ECB. Thus, in the STOXX 600 Retail and Household led gains, whereas Technology and Autos posted the biggest drops. On the macro side, in the euro zone, the 2Q’24 labour costs and wages moderated to 4.7% and 4.5%, respectively (from 5.0% and 5.2% previously). From the ECB, the chief economist P. Lane was in favour of gradually easing the monetary restric...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 16 SEPTEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: GRIFOLS, IAG, NATURGY. Stock markets rallied last week Stock markets ended with gains on both sides of the Atlantic last week, recovering part of the latest corrections and trying to return to the highs hit thanks to cyclical and growth sectors. The Ibex35 led gains last week, hitting new annual highs above 11,500 points. Thus, in the STOXX 600 most sectors closed with gains, led by Technology and Retail, with Autos and Consumer Goods being the only sectors ending in negative terr...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 16 SEPTIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: GRIFOLS, IAG, NATURGY. EUROPA: ENI. Semana de rebote en las bolsas Las bolsas europeas terminaron la semana pasada con avances a ambos lados del Atlántico, recuperando parte de las últimas caídas y buscando volver a su zona de máximos de la mano de los cíclicos y el growth. El Ibex 35 lideró las subidas de la semana, marcando nuevos máximos anuales por encima de los 11.500 puntos. Así, en el STOXX 600 mayoría de ganancias en los sectores, lideradas ...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thijs Berkelder

ODDO : IEA report: a surplus in 2025 that is acting as a drag on price...

>Growth in demand slowing due to China - The IEA has just published its monthly report in which it has revised further down its demand growth estimates by 70kb/d to +900 kb/d for 2024 and by 30 kb/d to +950 kb/d for 2025. This level compares with +1.2 Mb/d pre-Covid and a record of +2.1 Mb/d in 2023, an exceptional year marked by a catch-up effect. This decline is mainly due to the slowdown in China, which contributes to the tune of ~60% to growth in global demand....

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thijs Berkelder

ODDO : Rapport AIE : un surplus en 2025 qui pèse sur les cours. Scénar...

>La croissance de la demande ralentit à cause de la Chine - L’AIE vient de publier son rapport mensuel et révise une nouvelle fois en baisse ses estimations de croissance de la demande de 70 kb/j à +900 kb/j pour 2024 et de 30 kb/j à +950 kb/j pour 2025. Ce niveau se compare à +1.2 Mb/j avant le COVID et un record de +2.1 Mb/j en 2023, une année exceptionnelle marquée par un effet rattrapage. Cette baisse s’explique pour l’essentiel par le ralentissement en Chine, ...

Repsol S.A. - June 2024 (LTM): Peer Snapshot

Compares key performance metrics against industry peers.

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 05 SEPTEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: ACCIONA, FCC, GRIFOLS, INDRA, SACYR. The correction continues in Europe European stock markets saw new corrections, given the contagion effect from the US market and doubts about growth Thus, in the STOXX 600, Real Estate and Telecoms led the gains vs. Technology (hit by NVIDIA’s correction) and Consumer Goods (following the weak Chinese manufacturing data) posted the biggest drops. On the macro side, in the euro zone, August’s final services PMI was cut by Germany. In Spain, even...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 05 SEPTIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA, FCC, GRIFOLS, INDRA, SACYR. Se mantiene el castigo en Europa Las bolsas europeas sufrieron una nueva sesión de caídas, contagiadas por el mercado estadounidense y las dudas sobre el crecimiento. En el STOXX 600 sobresalieron las ganancias de Inmobiliario y Telecomunicaciones frente a Tecnología (contagiado por las caídas de NVIDIA) y B. Consumo (tras los débiles datos del manufacturero chino), que sufrieron las mayores pérdidas. Por el lado...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thijs Berkelder

ODDO : Oil impacted by bearish sentiment – scenario slightly revised d...

>Oil prices impacted by bearish sentiment on oversupply - Brent prices fell yesterday by almost 5% to $ 73/b amid bearish sentiment. This is mainly due to news that i/ OPEC+ could start a planned gradual easing of the cut in October by 180 kb/d per month, ii/ weak economic data from China, the largest crude importer and iii/ news that Libya may soon resume production after a shutdown of 0.7 Mb/d out of its 1.2 Mb/d production.The market is expected to swing to...

Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Ahmed Ben Salem

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 04/09/2024

We host the 15th edition of the Corporate Conference in cooperation with Commerzbank on September 3rd & 4th 2024 in Frankfurt am Main. This year we are welcoming 90 German small, mid and large cap companies. - ...

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