reports
- Chris Hoare
Softbank Corp (Buy, TP: ¥2,500, +33%) Q4 23 Quick Take: Bottom-line b...
Softbank delivered a strong beat on EBITDA and net profit this quarter, with mobile accelerating as the benefits of financial integration into mobile plans continued to flow through. Guidance was mixed however, impacted by the ¥150bn investments going into generative AI. As a result, compared to a scenario without these investments, the guided EBIT was lower by ¥30bn/year for FY24 and FY25, but in line with previous figures.
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
LY Corp (Buy, TP: ¥585, +43%) Q4 FY23 Quick Take: Better than expecte...
LY delivered yet another strong EBITDA beat, ahead of consensus by 16%. Against consensus expectations, FY24 guidance was in line for revenue while ahead on EBITDA. Encouragingly, the company has also laid out a bullish EPS target of more than ¥20 for FY25 (vs. ¥18.7 previously) which reflects the company’s focus on efficiency and profitability, and would be positive if the company can achieve it.
- Chris Hoare
Asia Telco Tour Feedback, Improving growth, ROCE and shareholder remun...
We ran our Asia Telco tour last week. This time we met 12 companies in 3 countries (Korea, Japan, Thailand). Telco share prices in all 3 of these countries have been pretty strong recently as telcos continue to benefit from generally positive themes: growth, return on capital and shareholder remuneration are all typically improving.
- Chris Hoare
Japanese Telcos Q3 FY23 review: Gearing up for a strong Q4
Service revenue trend was softer on slower non-mobile this quarter. Collectively, mobile revenue trend (Consumer + Enterprise) maintained its second consecutive of growth and operators are implying a strong Q4. For instance, Softbank is expecting Consumer MSR to rebound this year (at flat YTD); NTT implying a strong Q4 EBIT on cost reductions and streamlining of non-core assets like Real Estate.
- Chris Hoare
Japanese Telcos What if Japan introduces Spectrum Auctions? Could it ...
Wireless spectrum is one of the most valuable commodities in the telecoms market. Japanese telcos have previously been issued spectrum for free. But what if it starts to be auctioned? In this note, we use our new proprietary SpectrumHub Global Database to calculate the likely cost of mmWave spectrum in Japan. We also look at the total value of all spectrum held by the incumbents, to address the implications if Japan were to move to auction for all spectrum.
- Chris Hoare
- Pelham Smithers
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
Japanese Telcos At a MAJOR inflection as Fintech integration drives A...
Something significant has shifted in Japan. The telcos, and especially KDDI and SB Corp are now using their strength in financial services to drive customers towards unlimited offers. The result is likely to be an acceleration of ARPU recovery, and suggests we are at an important inflection point. We lift ARPU forecasts and price targets. SoftBank Corp is our new top pick, PT ¥2,500, from ¥2,200.
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
- David Lopes
Japanese Telcos Q2 FY23 review: Better all around, driven by ARPU inf...
Japanese telcos delivered better service revenue growth in Q2, driven by an inflection in mobile and non-mobile segments. Mobile performance for KDDI and Softbank were very encouraging, with the former hitting inflection on both mobile revenue (expected) and ARPU growth (earlier than expected) while Softbank witnessed an earlier than expected bottoming of MSR and upgraded its full year ARPU guidance from ¥3,680 to ¥3,720. Across the board, EBITDA trend was also better.
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
Softbank Corp (Buy, TP: ¥2,200, +30%) Q2 23 Quick Take: Strong quarte...
Softbank Corp recorded a strong EBIT beat again, driven by strong numbers across the board. Group revenue was slightly ahead of expectations, with mobile service revenue flat for the first time and bottoming earlier than expected.
- Pelham Smithers
VMW VMWARE INC. CLASS A
PEP PEPSICO INC.
ARM ARM CEMENT LTD
TSLA TESLA INC
PG PROCTER & GAMBLE COMPANY
ORCL ORACLE CORPORATION
NVDA NVIDIA CORPORATION
MCD MCDONALD'S CORPORATION
LRCX LAM RESEARCH CORPORATION
FB FACEBOOK INC. CLASS A
AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC.
TSCON TESCO PLC
NFLX NETFLIX INC.
MRVL MARVELL TECHNOLOGY GROUP LTD.
OCDO OCADO GROUP PLC
PGHL PROCTER & GAMBLE HEALTH
7735 SCREEN HOLDINGS CO. LTD
JE. JUST EAT PLC
6501 HITACHI LTD.
4217 HITACHI CHEMICAL COMPANY LTD.
6920 LASERTEC CORP.
6723 RENESAS ELECTRONICS CORPORATION
6701 NEC CORP.
2340 OPTO TECH CORP.
9984 SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
6857 ADVANTEST CORP.
8035 TOKYO ELECTRON LTD.
SNAP SNAP INC. CLASS A
SAP SAP SE
WMT WALMART INC.
SOW SOFTWARE AG
TKWY JUST EAT TAKEAWAY.COM N.V.
AMZN AMAZON.COM INC.
AMD ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INC.
AAPL APPLE INC.
MSFT MICROSOFT CORPORATION
AVGO BROADCOM INC.
UBER UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC.
9434 SOFTBANK CORP.
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
1469157D AUTOSTORE
1250307D DARKTRACE LTD
1036057D GINKGO BIOWORKS INC
3IN 3I INFRASTRUCTURE PLC
QCOM/O QUALCOMM INCORPORATED
SNOW SNOWFLAKE INC. CLASS A
AI C3 AI
SHOP SHOPIFY INC. (SHOP)
ROO DELIVEROO PLC
GFS GLOBALFOUNDRIES INC
TSE: 2980 SRE HOLDINGS CORP
4169 JT ENECHANGE LIMITED
- Chris Hoare
- David Lopes
- Chris Hoare
Softbank Corp (Buy, TP: ¥2,200, +44%) Q4 22 Quick Take: ¥100bn share ...
Softbank Corp reported in-line Q4 revenue and a 2% EBITDA beat. The slowdown in revenue was driven by a decline in Consumer business associated with mobile ARPU decline (-5%) despite being marginally better against last quarter’s decline (-5.2%).
- Thao Nguyen
- Kirk Boodry
- Chris Hoare
- David Lopes
Japanese Telcos Mobile ARPU: Set for a V shaped recovery
Japanese telcos have seen declining mobile ARPU since the introduction of cheaper price plans two years ago. However, in Q2, ARPU inflected as upselling – 4G to 5G and featurephone to 4G started to offset migration to cheaper brands. In this important note, we have estimated cohort ARPU by brand and usage and from migration trends can calculate the likely direction of ARPU. Instead of the L-shaped recovery as projected by consensus, our work suggests that mobile ARPU is set to inflect rapidly an...
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Report is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.