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Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: Strong top-line growth and margins further hurt in 2H2...

China’s internet companies reported intact 2Q25 top-line with mixed earnings results. The key focuses are on the latest quick commerce war and AI cloud and agent development. In 2Q25, we saw meaningful AI monetisation visibility contributing to incremental top-line growth, and expect this momentum to continue into 2H25. On the profitability front, margins will remain under pressure from heightened investments to fend off the intensifying competition in on-demand delivery. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK): 2Q25: Earnings beat our expectatio...

TT reported intact 2Q25 results, with revenue growing 10% yoy to Rmb4.7b, in line with the consensus estimate. Adjusted net profit rose 18% yoy to Rmb775m, 3-6% above our and consensus estimates and above the previous guidance of Rmb700m- 750m. Non-IFRS net margin inched up 1ppt yoy in 2Q25. 3Q25 revenue is guided to grow 7-12% yoy, while adjusted net profit is guided at Rmb1b-1.05b for 3Q25, 2% ahead of consensus. Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of HK$25.00.

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+12)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kate Luang
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Tuesday, August 19, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Small-Mid Cap Monthly Keeping an eye on JBM Healthcare’s upcoming marketing campaigns in 2H25. Results China Resources Building Materials Technology (1313 HK/BUY/HK$1.92/Target: HK$2.30) CR Bldg Mat’s 1H25 earnings rose 85% yoy to Rmb306.7m, in line with expectations. Gross margin increased to 18.5% (+3.5ppt) on firmer cement ASP and cheaper coal. Cement volumes fell 12.6% yoy as pricing discipline took priority. Concrete sales rose 36% yoy on supply chain integration...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+19)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kate Luang
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Ming San Soong
  • Philip Wong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Willinoy Sitorus
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, August 19, 2025

GREATER CHINA Strategy Small-Mid Cap Monthly: Keeping an eye on JBM Healthcare’s upcoming marketing campaigns in 2H25. Results China Resources Building Materials Technology (1313 HK/BUY/HK$1.92/Target: HK$2.30): 1H25: In line; cement margins rebound, concrete delivers growth. Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group Company (3692 HK/BUY/HK$37.06/Target: HK$50.00): 1H25: Results beat; increases revenue growth guidance to high double-digit. Sino Biopharmaceutical (1177 HK/BUY/HK$7.91/Target: HK$10.50): 1H25: R...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK): 1Q25: Earnings beat; well on track...

TT reported intact 1Q25 results, with revenue growing 13.2% yoy to Rmb4.4b, in line with the consensus estimate. Adjusted net profit rose 41% yoy to Rmb788m, beating the consensus estimate by 7.0% and above the previously guided Rmb700m-750m. Non-IFRS net margin was largely flattish yoy at 15.6% in 1Q25. 2Q25 revenue is guided to grow 7.0-12% yoy, while adjusted net profit is guided at Rmb700m-750m for 2Q25. Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of HK$25.00.

Ejann Hiew ... (+6)
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Daily: Monday, May 26, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Miniso (MNSO US/BUY/US$18.29/US$26.60) Miniso's 1Q25 revenue beat management’s guidance but margin was under pressure due to ongoing investments in DTC stores and higher revenue contribution from lower-margin DTC stores. Management expects 2Q25 revenue to grow 18-21% and remains confident about achieving accelerated revenue growth in 2025, thanks to continued SSS recovery. However, uncertainties still remain on the margin side, due to the rapid expansion of DTC stores in...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+13)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Ming San Soong
  • Philip Wong
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes - Monday, May 26, 2025

GREATER CHINA Results Miniso (MNSO US/BUY/US$18.29/US$26.60): 1Q25: Revenue beats guidance but margin under pressure; expect DTC store expansion to be a near-term headwind on margin. Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK/BUY/HK$20.50/Target: HK$25.00): 1Q25: Earnings beat; well on track for margin improvement in 2025. INDONESIA Update Indofood CBP (ICBP IJ/BUY/Rp10,825/Target: Rp13,800): Remains a solid defensive stock with undemanding valuation. MALAYSIA Results Oriental Kopi Holdings (KOPI MK/BU...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Online Travel Agencies: Travel data preview: Expecting a vibrant...

We saw continuous vitality in cultural and tourism consumption based on 1Q25 travel data and Labour Day travel data projections. Key travellers’ preference trends during Labour Day 2025 will be long-haul travel, inbound tourism and county-level travel. With favourable policy support such as the implementation of "instant tax refunds" for outbound travel, we expect to see promising revenue and earnings growth from OTA companies in 1H25. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: Navigating headwinds and uncovering opportunities upon...

Chinese internet companies’ share prices have dropped 10-30% mtd following the implementation of incremental tariffs from the US. Chinese internet companies have limited business exposure to the US except for PDD’s Temu. However, the 34% tariffs announced by China on all US imports could have potential implications for China mega-caps’ AI capex in relation to US chip imports. We prefer domestic-focused plays which stand to benefit from domestic policy stimuli, with Southbound inflow to be a key ...

Jo Yee Ng ... (+9)
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Ming San Soong
  • Paula Ruth
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Thailand Research Team

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, April 09, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Internet Navigating headwinds and uncovering opportunities upon tariff pressures. INDONESIA Update Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ/BUY/Rp348/Target: Rp480) Iphone 16 series to be available in 2Q25. Maintain BUY. MALAYSIA Update Matrix Concepts Holdings (MCH MK/BUY/RM1.27/Target: RM1.66) We view the RPT deal as fair and strategic as the acquisition allows Matrix to see faster ro...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK): 4Q24: Solid earnings beat and top-...

TT reported resilient 4Q24 results, with revenue growing 34.8% yoy to Rmb4.2b, 5% above consensus estimate. Adjusted net profit rose 36.8% yoy to Rmb660m, beating consensus estimate by 7% and above the previous guidance of Rmb580m-630m. Non- IFRS net margin was 15.6% in 4Q24 vs 15.3% in 4Q23. 1Q25 revenue is expected to grow 11-15% yoy, in line with consensus forecast. Adjusted net profit is guided at Rmb700m- 750m for 1Q25. Maintain BUY with a slightly lower target price of HK$22.00.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+12)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Colin Lee
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kate Luang
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Ming San Soong
  • Sunny Chen

Greater China Daily: Friday, March 21, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results AAC Technologies (2018 HK/BUY/HK$52.05/Target: HK$57.70) AAC’s 2H24’s earnings grew 114% yoy which exceeded expectations, thanks to a solid beat in the precision mechanics business, although this was partially offset by weaker margins from the optics and MEMs businesses. Nevertheless, we continue to expect solid revenue growth and margin expansion in 2025, driven by increasing exposure from the automotive acoustics business and edge AI-related components. Upgrade to BUY ...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+17)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Colin Lee
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kate Luang
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Ming San Soong
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Sunny Chen
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Notes - Friday, March 21, 2025

GREATER CHINA Results AAC Technologies (2018 HK/BUY/HK$52.05/Target: HK$57.70): 2H24: Revenue and earnings beat; expect growth from auto and edge AI themes. Upgrade to BUY. Crystal International (2232 HK/BUY/HK$5.36/Target: HK$6.18): 2024: Record-high dividend payout; long-term wallet share gains intact. Geely Auto (175 HK/BUY/HK$18.24/Target: HK$29.00): 2024: Core earnings up 50% yoy, beating estimates. Maintain BUY. PDD Holdings (PDD US/BUY/US$125.92/Target: US$140.00): 4Q24: Earnings largely ...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: Online Travel Agencies -- Spring Festival 2025 propell...

We saw resilient enthusiasm for travel during the Spring Festival 2025, with a 6% yoy growth in the number of trips bolstered by domestic and cross border travel demand. We expect OTA companies’ earnings growth in 2025 to be anchored by cost optimisation with AIGC integration and lower-tier cities penetration, but offset by normalising airfare trends coupled with moderating hotel ADR (yoy decline). Maintain OVERWEIGHT.

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: 1H25 outlook shaped by implications of fiscal stimuli ...

We saw largely in-line top-line growth across companies in 3Q24, mainly pressured by a lukewarm macro environment, but with earnings beat thanks to enhanced efficiency from AI integration. Alongside pending visibility on further domestic supportive policies, we believe the key 2025 highlights are: a) re-acceleration of e-commerce GMV growth, b) potential upside in ad take rate monetisation, c) rejuvenation of online games grossing, and d) sustained travel enthusiasm. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK): 3Q24: Earnings beat; poised for be...

TT reported resilient 3Q24 results, with revenue growing 51.3% yoy to Rmb4.2b, 3% above consensus estimate. Adjusted net profit rose 46.6% yoy to Rmb910m, beating consensus estimate by 11% and above the previous guidance of Rmb800m-850m. Non- IFRS net margin was 18.2% in 3Q24 vs 18.8% in 3Q23. 4Q24 revenue is expected to grow 25-30% yoy, 5% above consensus forecast. Adjusted net profit is guided at Rmb580m-630m for 4Q24. Upgrade to BUY with a higher target price of HK$20.00.

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+12)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Ken Lee
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Ming San Soong
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, November 20, 2024

GREATER CHINA Results Kingsoft Corp (3888 HK/BUY/HK$29.20/Target: HK$40.00) 3Q24: Revenue and earnings beat; positive outlook for online games growth. Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK/BUY/HK$17.70/Target: HK$20.00) 3Q24: Earnings beat; poised for better margin outlook in 2025. Upgrade to BUY. Trip.com (9961 HK/BUY/HK$505.00/Target: HK$640.00) 3Q24: Solid earnings beat; stepped up investment for interntational market share expansion. XPeng Inc...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+5)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong

Greater China Daily: Wednesday, November 20, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Kingsoft Corp (3888 HK/BUY/HK$29.20/Target: HK$40.00) Kingsoft delivered strong 3Q24 results, beating estimates. Revenue grew 17.8% yoy to Rmb2.9b, exceeding consensus estimate. Gross margin grew 3ppt yoy to 84.2%, in line with consensus expectation. Non-IFRS operating profit came in at Rmb1.2b while operating margin jumped 20ppt yoy to 41% on robust revenue growth. Net profit came in at Rmb413m, with net margin expanding 14ppt yoy to 18.4%. Maintain BUY with a slightly ...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: Key takeaways from marketing trip.

The key concerns of investors include the sustainability of the recent rally and potential fundamental changes upon policy rollout. We think a valuation repair is underway with the upcoming 11.11 campaign and 3Q/4Q24 results release as a critical juncture. Investors are also becoming increasingly optimistic on mega-cap names such as Tencent, Meituan, Alibaba and JD in view of a favourable regulatory backdrop and stabilised competitive environment. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: Government policy rollout to boost consumption and dri...

In view of a stronger-than-expected government policy rollout, we reckon that the improved consumption sentiment will benefit e-commerce, local life services and OTA companies. In 2H24, we expect the undemanding valuations of internet companies to be repaired by shareholder returns, cross-border expansion and easing competition. Meanwhile, we believe monetisation momentum will be fuelled by AIGC development and adtech upgrades. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

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