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Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: GSPARK HB (stays BUY); OMV AV; SNP RO; WPL PW; Polish tele...

HEADLINES: • Graphisoft Park: still great value (stays BUY) • OMV: 3Q24 trading statement NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: 3Q24 trading statement NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: real users in September 2024 NEGATIVE • Polish telecoms: mobile number portability in 3Q24 NEUTRAL • EME macro/strategy: macro all-in-one (30 September-6 October)

Jean-François Granjon
  • Jean-François Granjon

Verallia : The bottle is half empty...or half full... – New target pri...

>Still recovering - As we mentioned at end-July following a road show with management, the weakness in volumes is due to lower demand (see comments from beverages and spirits companies, etc.) and also a destocking phenomenon after the post-Covid upturn. The improvement in stocks in the chain is difficult to gauge. Following a company contact, we understand that the improvement is gradual. The destocking trend is gradually diminishing. Volumes should gradually return t...

Jean-François Granjon
  • Jean-François Granjon

Verallia : La bouteille à moitié vide… ou à moitié pleine… – Nouvel OC...

>Toujours en convalescence - Comme nous le mentionnons fin juillet au terme d’un Road-Show avec le management, la faiblesse des volumes est imputable à une moindre demande (cf. les commentaires des sociétés de boissons et spiritueux…) et également à un phénomène de déstockage après l’embellie connue post-covid. L’appréciation des stocks dans la chaine est difficile à appréhender. Suite à un contact avec la société, nous comprenons que l’amélioration est progressive. L...

Zumtobel Ag: 1 director

A director at Zumtobel Ag bought 10,000 shares at 5.873EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 56/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly sh...

Mihaly Gajda
  • Mihaly Gajda

Petrom slightly exceeded expectations in Q2 2024

Key Message  The company reported a clean CCS operating profit of RON 1,379 mn, marking a 15% decline YoY and a 11% decrease quarter-over-quarter.  The decline was primarily driven by the weak performance of the Gas & Power segment due to lower sales, higher gas storage obligations, and a decreased refining indicator margin in the R&M segment, partially offset by higher hydrocarbon prices, increased refined product sales, and higher retail and commercial margins in R&M.

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Greek ASE – best performer in July

EME Equity Market – July 2024 Greece the biggest winner, while Poland the clear loser in July. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 1.1% in EUR terms and 0.3% in USD terms in July. The Greek ASE Index posted the best performance for the month, advancing by 5.3% mom in EUR terms. There was a broadly similar performance in Hungary, Czechia and Romania (+ 2.9%, 2.7% and 2.1% mom in EUR terms, respectively). The Turkish ISE30 Index declined by 1.6% mom in EUR terms, but the clear loser was the Polis...

EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
KRU KRUK S.A.
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
CEZ CEZ AS
KRKG KRKA D.D.
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ALK ALKALOID AD SKOPJE
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNP PETROM S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
M MED LIFE
NLBR NLB GROUP
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
KSPI KASPI KZ
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
AROBS AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
SHO SHOPER SA
BOROUGE BOROUGE
7203 ELM CO
NOVAL NOVAL PROPERTY
Jean-François Granjon
  • Jean-François Granjon

Verallia : On track for a gradual recovery

>Market environment under pressure - At a road show, management (CEO, CFO, HIR) explained in great detail the reasons why it chose to lower its guidance. Market conditions are behind the fall in volumes seen since the end of Q3 2023. This decline is due to lower demand (e.g. beer and spirits markets, etc.) and destocking after a very strong recovery in the post-Covid market. The European glass market dropped 12% in 2023, after sharp increases in 2021-22 vs a 10-year a...

Research Team
  • Research Team
OMV OMV AG
CCC CCC SA ... (+6)

WOOD Daily: ARCLK TI; GARAN TI; OMV AV; BOROUGE UH; SNP RO; HU Macro; ...

HEADLINES: • Arcelik: weak set of results in 2Q24 NEGATIVE • Garanti Bank: 2Q24 highlights – good margin management, guidance intact • OMV: 2Q24 results NEGATIVE • Borouge: 2Q24 results – sales growth drives profit increase POSITIVE • OMV Petrom: 2Q24 results – in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • Hungary macro: materially weaker than expected • Czech Republic macro: GDP picks up pace in 2Q, no surprises • CCC: 2Q24E prelims preview – 61% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 7 August) NEUTRAL • VI...

Jean-François Granjon
  • Jean-François Granjon

Verallia : Vers un redressement progressif

>Un environnement de marché sous contrainte - Pendant le roadshow, le management (CEO, CFO, HIR) est largement revu sur les raisons de la révision en baisse des guidances. Les conditions de marché justifient la baisse des volumes constatée depuis la fin du 3ème trimestre 2023. Cette baisse s’explique par une moindre demande (cf. marché de la bière, des spiritueux…) mais aussi pas un effet de déstockage après une très forte reprise du marché post-COVID. Le marché europ...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau
IPS IPSOS
AC ACCOR SA ... (+22)

Credit Morning 07/25/2024

Eurofins : H1 24: Material adj. EBITDA margin expansion Fnac Darty: Unsurprising interim results, first buds of improvement in Q2 Kering: EBIT forecasts downgraded further and possible risk to rating>...

Jean-François Granjon
  • Jean-François Granjon

Verallia : Performance stabilisation expected in H2

>Interim results in line with our forecasts - Verallia has published unsurprising half-year results showing a clear deterioration in performance. H1 revenues amounted to € 1,764.6m (€ 1,717.5m est., consensus € 1,742m) down 17.6% and -10.4% organically (o/w -12.7% in Q1 and -8.1% in Q2). H1 EBITDA amounted to € 431.3m (€ 437.2m, consensus € 456.2m) down 34.5%, representing an EBITDA margin of 24.4% (25.5% est., consensus 26.2%) vs 30.8% (-640bp). Q1 EBITDA was down 3...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau
IPS IPSOS
AC ACCOR SA ... (+22)

Morning Crédit 25/07/2024

Eurofins : H1 24 call notes: Management confident also on H2 24 Kering : Prévisions d'EBIT de nouveau très dégradées et possible risque sur le ratingFnac Darty : Des résultats S1 sans surprise, premiers signes d’amélioration observés au T2>...

Jean-François Granjon
  • Jean-François Granjon

Verallia : Une stabilisation des performances attendue au S2

>Résultats semestriels en ligne avec nos attentes - Verallia publie des résultats semestriels sans surprise affichant une nette dégradation des performances. Le CA S1 ressort à 1764.6 M€ (1717.5 M€ estimés, 1742 M€ pour le css) en repli de 17.6% et de -10.4% en organique (o/w -12.7% au T1 et -8.1% au T2). L’EBITDA S1 ressort à 431.3 M€ (437.2 M€ estimés, 456.2 M€ pour le css) en baisse de 34.5% soit une marge d’EBITDA de 24.4% (25.5% estimés, 26.2% pour le css) vs 30...

 PRESS RELEASE

Résultats du premier semestre 2024 : Reprise confirmée de l’activité m...

PARIS--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Regulatory News: Verallia (Paris:VRLA) : FAITS MARQUANTS Chiffre d'affaires en recul à 1 765 M€ au S1 2024, soit -17,6 % par rapport au S1 2023 (-10,4 % à taux de change et périmètre constants)1 EBITDA ajusté2 à 431 M€ (marge de 24,4 %, en ligne avec le T1 2024) contre 659 M€ au S1 2023 (marge de 30,8 %) Reprise progressive des volumes au T2 2024, qui reste cependant plus lente qu’anticipé Hausse du ratio d’endettement net à 1,9x l'EBITDA ajusté des 12 derniers mois, contre 1,2x au 31 décembre 2023 et 1,3x au 30 juin 2023 Succès de la 9ème offre d’ac...

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