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Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 01/29/2025

Equipment manufacturers call for greater protection from the European Union|LVMH: improved activity at year-end but disappointing margins|The Italian competition authority extends its investigation into glass packagers|Conti FY 24 pre-close call notes; weak Q1 25 volumes expected|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 29/01/2025

Les équipementiers demandent plus de protection à l’Union Européenne|LVMH : amélioration de l’activité en fin d’année mais marges décevantes|L’autorité de la concurrence italienne prolonge son enquête sur les packageurs|Conti FY 24 pre-close call notes; weak Q1 25 volumes expected|

Jonathan Lamb
  • Jonathan Lamb
MOL MOL NYRT
OMV OMV AG ... (+5)

WOOD Flash – Global oil and gas: uh-oh, Canada – the oil markets and p...

This weekend (1-2 February), the US government may impose 25% tariffs on all Canadian goods entering the US. It may seem of little consequence from our perspective, but we believe that it could have a significant impact on the global oil and refining markets. Canada produces 5m barrels of oil per day and exports 80% to the US. About 25% of all crude oil processed in the US is from Canada. The trade was worth approximately USD 100bn in 2024. The oil is too heavy for most global refineries and the...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: Türkiye macro; Uzbekistan macro; PGE PW; BFT PW; PGE PW

HEADLINES: • Türkiye macro: CBT cuts again, signalling potentially deeper reductions • Uzbekistan macro: CBU keeps the policy rate unchanged at 13.5% • PGE: PLN 7.5bn write-down in conventional generation to be recognised in the FY24 results NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: new bond issue programme of up to PLN 1bn; first tranche considered in 1H25 NEUTRAL • PGE: potentially buying 100% of PAK CCGT and a 50% stake in PGE PAK Energia Jądrowa from ZE PAK NEGATIVE • Short News (CDR)

Julian Dobrovolschi
  • Julian Dobrovolschi
AKE ARKEMA
NDX1 NORDEX SE
IFX INFINEON TECHNOLOGIES AG
IPS IPSOS
SCHP SECHE ENVIRONNEMENT
LHA DEUTSCHE LUFTHANSA AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
FP TOTAL SE
AC ACCOR SA
ENX EURONEXT NV
GET GETLINK SE
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
FRA FRAPORT AG
EDEN EDENRED SA
IPN IPSEN SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
ELIOR ELIOR GROUP SA
DG VINCI SA
WCH WACKER CHEMIE AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
BVI BUREAU VERITAS SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
ADP AEROPORTS DE PARIS SA
NK IMERYS SA
DB1 DEUTSCHE BOERSE AG
BN DANONE SA
RNO RENAULT SA
G1A GEA GROUP AG
APAML APERAM SA
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
MTX MTU AERO ENGINES AG
ORA ORANGE SA
EO FAURECIA SA
VCT VICAT-CIMENTS VICAT SA
VAC PIERRE & VACANCES SA
HO THALES SA
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FGR EIFFAGE SA
DAI DAIMLER AG
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
MF WENDEL SE
EN BOUYGUES SA
CEN GROUPE CRIT SA
IDL ID LOGISTICS GROUP
GBF BILFINGER SE
SDG SYNERGIE SA
TFI TELEVISION FRANCAISE 1 SA
DBG DERICHEBOURG SA
KORI KORIAN SA
STF STEF
INF INFOTEL SA
AFX CARL ZEISS MEDITEC AG
SCR SCOR SE
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
DEC JCDECAUX SA
ITP INTERPARFUMS
ASY ASSYSTEM SA
BEN BENETEAU SA
BLC BASTIDE LE CONFORT MEDICAL SA
TEP TELEPERFORMANCE SE
SWP SWORD GROUP SE
IAG INTERNATIONAL CONSOLIDATED AIRLINES GROUP SA
PSM PROSIEBENSAT.1 MEDIA SE
COLR ETABLISSEMENTEN FRANZ COLRUYT N.V.
ITRK INTERTEK GROUP PLC
AUB AUBAY SA
VETO VETOQUINOL SA
MRN MERSEN SA
MTU MANITOU BF SA
FII LISI SA
LSS LECTRA SA
LNA LNA SANTE SA
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
JCQ JACQUET METALS SA
GOE GROUPE GORGE SA
GLO GL EVENTS SA
RF EURAZEO SA
CDA COMPAGNIE DES ALPES SA
HOT HOCHTIEF AG
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
RAND RANDSTAD NV
SDF K+S AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
EBRO EBRO FOODS SA
ZAL ZALANDO SE
TRI TRIGANO SA
A1XA4J CARBIOS SA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
BB SOCIETE BIC SA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
RWE RWE AG
SAF SAFRAN S.A.
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
NEX NEXANS SA
ERA ERAMET SA
HEN3 HENKEL AG & CO. KGAA PREF
EZJ EASYJET PLC
QDT QUADIENT SA
ELIS ELIS SA
ICAD ICADE SA
IMPN IMPLENIA AG
REP REPSOL SA
FIE FIELMANN AG
DEZ DEUTZ AG
SOI SOITEC SA
COR CORTICEIRA AMORIM SGPS SA
SIX2 SIXT SE
AIXA AIXTRON SE
NDA AURUBIS AG
KRN KRONES AG
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
ACKB ACKERMANS & VAN HAAREN NV
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
RAA RATIONAL AG
DOKA DORMAKABA HOLDING AG
DLG DE'LONGHI S.P.A.
SESL SES-IMAGOTAG SA
CIE CIE AUTOMOTIVE S.A.
AALB AALBERTS N.V.
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
AMS AMADEUS IT GROUP SA CLASS A
EVK EVONIK INDUSTRIES AG
EDR EDREAMS ODIGEO SA
ONTEX ONTEX GROUP N.V.
WAF SILTRONIC AG
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
NVG NAVIGATOR COMPANY SA
REC RECORDATI INDUSTRIA CHIMICA E FARMACEUTICA S.P.A.
IBE IBERDROLA SA
ROVI LABORATORIOS FARMACEUTICOS ROVI S.A.
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
CSM CORBION NV
COFA COFACE SA
VLTSA VOLTALIA
SPIE SPIE SA
HBH HORNBACH HOLDING AG & CO. KGAA
MEL MELIA HOTELS INTERNATIONAL S.A.
SLR SOLARIA ENERGIA Y MEDIO AMBIENTE S.A.
IDR INDRA SISTEMAS S.A. CLASS A
AD KONINKLIJKE AHOLD DELHAIZE N.V.
FTG111 FLATEXDEGIRO AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
RUI RUBIS SCA
BP. BP P.L.C.
BIM BIOMERIEUX SA
DUE DURR AG
BFSA BEFESA SA
REY REPLY S.P.A.
TFF TFF GROUP
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
VOS VOSSLOH AG
GEST GESTAMP AUTOMOCION S.A.
CAF CONSTRUCCIONES Y AUXILIAR DE FERROCARRILES S.A.
WOLF SOCIETE LDC SOCIETE ANONYME
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
RBO ROCHE BOBOIS INTERNATIONAL SAS
JEN JENOPTIK AG
WAVE WAVESTONE SA
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
THEP THERMADOR HOLDING SA
VRLA VERALLIA SAS
FDJ LA FRANCAISE DES JEUX SA
8TRA TRATON SE
HAG HENSOLDT AG
VK VALLOUREC SA
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
SFQ SAF-HOLLAND SE
BAR BARCO NV
FAST FASTNED
INPST INPOST S.A.
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
FPE3 FUCHS PETROLUB SE
ALAFY AFYREN
AM DASSAULT AVIATION
OVH OVH GROUPE
ALLFG ALLFUNDS (UK) LTD
WAGA WAGA ENERGY SA
SPAC 468 SPAC I SE
CTPNV CTP NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
EAPI EUROAPI
DEME DEME GROUP NV
LHYFE LHYFE S.A.
FLE PEGASUS ENTREPRENEURIAL ACQUISITION CO EURO BV
STM STABILUS SE
IOS IONOS GROUP SE
TUI TUI AG
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
AF AIR FRANCE - KLM
SCHOTT PHARMA AG
R3NK RENK GROUP AG
SYENS SYENSQO
PLX PLUXEE NV
ORP ORPEA
PLNW PLANISWARE
EXENS EXOSENS
VIRI VIRIDIEN
SHA SCHAEFFLER AG
CAN CANAL+

Verallia : Feedback Crédit Forum du 9 et 10 janvier 2025

Notre 28ième Forum vient de se dérouler (9 et 10 janvier) à Lyon. Il a réuni 207 sociétés, originaire à ~47% de France, à 26% d’Allemagne et 28% du reste de l’Europe. L’édition 2025 de notre Forum a accueilli 481 investisseurs (dont 64% français), travaillant pour 206 institutions de 15 pays. Nous avons ainsi organisé l’équivalent de 5 258 investors meetings dont 287 portant uniquement sur la RSE ou l’ESG. Ce document synthétise nos feed-back concernant les émetteurs obligataires présents.

Verallia : Credit feedback – ODDO BHF Forum, 9 to 10 January 2025

Our 28th Forum has just taken place (9 and 10 January) in Lyon. It was attended by 207 companies, ~47% from France, 26% from Germany and 28% from the rest of Europe. The 2025 edition of our Forum welcomed 481 investors (64% of whom were French), working for 206 institutions in 15 countries. We organised the equivalent of 5,258 investor meetings, 287 of which related solely to CSR and ESG. This document summarizes our feedback on the bond issuers attending this forum.

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: CCOLA TI; OMV AV; SNP RO; MBR PW; EME Macro/Strategy Weekl...

HEADLINES: • Coca-Cola Icecek: announces 4Q24 volume data and 2025E guidance POSITIVE • OMV: 4Q24 trading statement NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: 4Q24 trading statement NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: interview with the CEO NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (6-12 January)

Bruno Cavalier ... (+3)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Jerôme Bodin
  • Stephane Houri
Bruno Cavalier ... (+2)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Stephane Houri
Stephane Houri
  • Stephane Houri
AKE ARKEMA
IPS IPSOS ... (+58)

ODDO : 28th ODDO BHF Forum – Feedback Day 2

We hosted our 28th ODDO BHF Forum in Lyon on 9 and 10 January 2025. In total, 210 companies made presentations over the two days. In addition to day 1 feedback (Link to the feedback of the first day), in the following note, we provide some initial feedback from the companies for the second day. The full final feedback, including sector conclusions, will be published later this week. As was the case for the first day, analysts judged that a majority of the companies had a rather neutral tone. Ou...

 PRESS RELEASE

Bilan semestriel de mise en œuvre du contrat de liquidité de Verallia

PARIS--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Regulatory News: Conformément aux dispositions de la décision de l'Autorité des marchés financiers n°2021-01 du 22 juin 2021 renouvelant l’instauration des contrats de liquidité sur titres de capital au titre de pratique de marché admise, Verallia (Euronext Paris : VRLA) informe le public du bilan de la mise en œuvre, au titre du 2nd semestre 2024, du contrat de liquidité conclu avec Rothschild Martin Maurel en date du 20 décembre 2019 et entré en vigueur le 6 janvier 2020 : Moyens disponibles au 31 décembre 2024 : - 28 500 titres - 3 927 579 euros Nombre de...

Research Team
  • Research Team
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS ... (+38)

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: positive performances from all ind...

EME Equity Market – December 2024 A green December. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 2.9% in EUR terms and 0.8% in USD terms in December. The Greek ASE Index (+5.5% mom in EUR terms) was the best performer, followed closely by the Czech PX Index (+5.0% mom in EUR terms). Solid performances were also reported by the BET (+2.4% mom), BUX (+2.2% mom) and ISE 30 (+1.5% mom) indices (all in EUR terms). The Polish WIG 20 Index (+0.4% mom in EUR terms) reported a muted performance.

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: CDR PW; LPP PW; Enea/PGE

HEADLINES: • CD Projekt: unveils a six-minute cinematic reveal trailer for The Witcher IV POSITIVE • LPP: key takeaways from the 3Q24 call NEUTRAL • Enea/PGE: results of the 2029 capacity market auction NEUTRAL

Zumtobel Group AG : 1 director

A director at Zumtobel Group AG bought 5,000 shares at 5.000EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clea...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: BCG LN; KTY PW; CDR PW; 11B PW; BFT PW; BDX PW; OPL PW; PG...

HEADLINES: • Baltic Classifieds Group: strong FY 1H25 financial results; conference call takeaways POSITIVE • Kety: Roman Przybylski (current deputy CEO) to become new CEO NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: update on the US class action lawsuit regarding the technical solutions used by GOG NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: starts marketing campaign for Moonlighter 2 publishing project NEUTRAL • WOOD's Winter Wonderland EME Conference 2024 • 11 bit studios: postcard from Prague • Benefit Systems: postcard from Prague...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: RO Macro; PL Macro; PGE PW; HU Macro; TL Macro; ACP PW; TX...

HEADLINES: • Romania macro: important comments ahead of the second round of elections • Poland macro: NBP extends the pause • PGE: CEO comments on strategy, coal assets and nuclear power plant NEUTRAL • Hungary macro: Magyar aims to unlock EU funds and enter the Eurozone • Türkiye macro: November inflation shows key challenge remains in food prices • WOOD's Winter Wonderland EME Conference 2024 • Asseco Poland: postcard from Prague • Text: postcard from Prague • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: postca...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PL Utilities; GPP PW; PZU PW; HU Macro; 4IG HB; CPS PW; WP...

HEADLINES: • Polish utilities: with coal, through thick and thin (Enea (HOLD), PGE (SELL) and Tauron (HOLD) - transfer of coverage) • Grupa Pracuj: volume rebound expected in 2025E (upgraded to BUY) • PZU: strong profits and attractive shareholder returns implied by 2025-27E strategy update POSITIVE • Hungary macro: MNB nominations and opinion polls swings • 4iG: 3Q24 conference call takeaways NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat/Wirtualna Polska: CPS audience share at 22.26%, while WP TV at 0.69% in Novemb...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Turkiye rebounds, Romania declines

EME Equity Market – November 2024 Rebound in Türkiye, Romania hammered. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 3.8% in EUR terms and 1.0% in USD terms in November. The Turkish ISE30 recouped the losses of the previous month, adding 10.4% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX added 4.3% mom in EUR terms, followed by the PX (+2.9% mom), the ASE (+0.8% mom) and the WIG (+0.8% mom) (all in EUR terms). Following the first round of presidential elections, and the polemic and uncertainty that ensued, the BET ...

EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
OTKAR OTOKAR OTOMOTIV VE SAVUNMA SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
ETEL TELECOM EGYPT
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
R22 R22
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
NLBR NLB GROUP
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ILRA-R-A ILIRIJA D.D.
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
CTPNV KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
ONE CTP NV
GPP ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
KLKIM GRUPA PRACUJ DA
GIG KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
2381 GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
9526 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
ELPE JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
4071 HELLENIQ ENERGY
7203 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
AQ ELM CO
TRESTATES AQUILA PART PROD COM
AIRA TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
GEV AIR ASTANA JSC
BOCHGR GEVORKYAN A.S.
BANK OF CYPRUS
Bram Buring ... (+3)
  • Bram Buring
  • CFA
  • Jakub Bronicki

Polish Utilities: with coal, through thick and thin (Enea (HOLD), PGE ...

Following a change in analyst responsibilities, we transfer coverage, and update our forecasts and outlook, of the Polish utilities, due to the recent (non) development of the coal carve out. In view of: 1) Enea’s recent strategy update, assuming coal generation within the group until 2035E; 2) Tauron’s comments on “being prepared” for no carve out; and 3) with no dedicated funds in the 2025 budget to finance the plan, we do not see a carve out happening soon. While we do not rule it out, the ch...

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