reports
- Greater China Research Team
- Tham Mun Hon
Greater China Market Strategy: 2026 Year Ahead: Global easing continue...
Highlights We expect global liquidity cycle to remain strong for at least 1H26, following the Fed’s return to policy easing in Sep 25, benefitting emerging market assets and commodities. Chinese equities are likely to rally further, and our index target for MSCI China index target is at 104 pts based on 16.3x 12-month forward PE and 6% EPS growth assumption. We prefer exposure to growth industries like AI/semiconductors, automation/robotics, ADAS and innovative drugs and liquidity proxies ...
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
00388 HONG KONG EXCHANGES & CLEARING LTD.
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
2318 PING AN INSURANCE (GROUP) COMPANY OF CHINA LTD. CLASS H
2899 ZIJIN MINING GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
TCOM TRIP.COM GROUP LTD. SPONSORED ADR
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
02208 XINJIANG GOLDWIND SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS H
06160 BEIGENE LTD.
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
3750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY (3750 HK)
002371 CH NAURA TECHNOLOGY GROUP CO LTD
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China And Hong Kong Property: China To Expand C-REITs For POEs; Major ...
On 10 November, the State Council vowed to expand C-REITs for POEs. However, demand stays weak: home sales from 1-10 November in 28 mainland cities fell 45% yoy, with prices trending down. In Hong Kong, the potential supply of private homes rose 1% qoq, yet property prices and rents showed improving fundamentals. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT; favour mainland developers with strong retail portfolios (CR Land, Longfor); in Hong Kong, favour SHKP and Kerry Properties.
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
Hong Kong Property: Striking A New Equilibrium
The IPO revival proves Hong Kong is re-emerging as a key hub for talent and capital amid geopolitical risks, benefitting the property market. Hong Kong’s repositioning is expected to shape the property industry’s new equilibrium over the next 2-3 years. As the market prepares for a new cycle, this report analyses the key factors driving industry fundamentals. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on Hong Kong developers and landlords.
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Andrew Agita Buntoro
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Damon Shen
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Gigi Cheuk
- Jieqi Liu
- Jo Yee Ng
- Jonathan Koh
- Joyce Chu
- Kate Luang
- Ken Lee
- Malaysia Research Team
- Sunny Chen
- Suryaputra Wijaksana
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
- Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, October 24, 2025
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile The escalating China-US trade tensions have triggered a dual crisis in chips and rare earth, potentially disrupting the global auto supply chain like that seen in 2021-22. China's auto sector sees short-term gains from domestic prioritisation but long-term risks. Chinese auto part companies may see a revenue loss in 4Q25 if the issue is not resolved in a month. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Sector Upda...
300014 EVE ENERGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
KKP KIATNAKIN BANK
00683 KERRY PROPERTIES LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
00823 LINK REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
BBL BANGKOK BANK PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
KTB KRUNG THAI BANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
TOP THAI OIL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
TISCO TISCO FINANCIAL GROUP
GFPT GFPT
00014 HYSAN DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
TMB TMB BANK PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
KBANK KASIKORNBANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
EGH EUREKA GROUP HOLDINGS
M3I MINTH GROUP LIMITED
002340 GEM CO. LTD. CLASS A
5Z0 ZHONGSHENG GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
01316 NEXTEER AUTOMOTIVE GROUP LIMITED
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
002709 GUANGZHOU TINCI MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY CO LTD CLASS A
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
01585 YADEA GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
2333 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS H
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
2338 WEICHAI POWER CO. LTD. CLASS H
01997 WHARF REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT CO. LTD.
02238 GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
T TELEKOM MALAYSIA BHD
ECW ECO WORLD DEVELOPMENT GROUP
1833 PING AN HEALTHCARE AND TECHNOLOGY COMPANY LIMITED
02232 CRYSTAL INTERNATIONAL GROUP
1772 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
3606 FUYAO GLASS INDUSTRY GROUP CO LTD-H
603305 NINGBO XUSHENG AUTO TECHNOLOGY (A)
00017 NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
SCB SCB X PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
Z29 029 GROUP SE
02015 LI AUTO INC
300244 DIAN DIAGNOSTICS GROUP CO
600699 JOYSON ELECTRONICS CORP
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
Hong Kong Property: Striking a new equilibrium. MARKET WEIGHT
Highlights Repositioning of Hong Kong driving new sector equilibrium in next 2-3 years. Catalysts: More rate cuts than expected, policy support and tourism recovery. Risks: Fewer rate cuts, massive collateral liquidation by banks, more defaults. Analysis Repositioning of Hong Kong driving new property market equilibrium. With geopolitical tensions being the new norm, Hong Kong is remerging as a key hub for capital and talent, as evidenced by the IPO market’s revival which has benefitted...
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China and Hong Kong Property: Takeaways From Visit To Jinling Residenc...
Jinling Residence’s strong sell-out highlights resilient end-user demand despite weaker investment sentiment, while major cities’ October data showed yoy declines in both new and secondary home sales. We maintain MARKET WEIGHT. We upgrade Kerry Properties to BUY after the recent correction, with an unchanged target price of HK$22.80.
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Audrey Celia
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Chong Lee Len
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Kong Ho Meng
- Lester Siew
- Ming San Soong
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, October 15, 2025
Greater China Sector Update | Property Jinling Residence’s strong sell-out highlights resilient end-user demand despite weaker investment sentiment, while major cities’ October data showed yoy declines in both new and secondary home sales. We maintain MARKET WEIGHT. We upgrade Kerry Properties to BUY after the recent correction, with an unchanged target price of HK$22.80. Company Update | Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$155.20/Target: HK$203.00) We expect solid 2QFY26 results, despite marg...
FR FIRST INDUSTRIAL REALTY TRUST INC.
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
00683 KERRY PROPERTIES LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
TISCO TISCO FINANCIAL GROUP
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
JPFA JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
3816 MISC BHD
5347 TENAGA NASIONAL BHD
BN4 KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED
MLK MALAKOFF CORP BHD
KCE KCE ELECTRONICS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
GMB GAS MALAYSIA BHD
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09618 JD.COM INC. CLASS A
00017 NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
SVI SVI PCL
DELTA DELTA CORP
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China and Hong Kong Property: Update Of Key Data And Trends During 202...
Golden Week new-home sales varied, with sales in Tier 1 cities growing 18.1% yoy on average, while sales in Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities declined. In Hong Kong, second-hand transactions from 2024-25 projects, like SHKP's Cullinan Sky, achieved better capital gains, boosting investor sentiment. Tourism data was mixed: mainland tourist growth slowed, other regions’ visitors surged, and northbound travel stayed strong. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on China and Hong Kong property/landlord sectors.
00683 KERRY PROPERTIES LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
00823 LINK REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
00014 HYSAN DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
01997 WHARF REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT CO. LTD.
00017 NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
Hong Kong Property: 2025 Policy Address: Positive On Residential Marke...
The 2025 Policy Address expands the new CIES to include HK$30m-50m worth of residential properties, moderates land supply targets and suspends the Kau Yi Chau project. The North Metropolis needs to accelerate development with innovative measures. Population growth and tourism remain the key policy focus, though local spending lacks direct support. Our pecking order of positive impact on each segment: residential>retail>office. SHKP and Hysan are our top picks, while NWD is downgraded to SELL due...
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
Sun Hung Kai Properties (16 HK): FY25: Earnings stabilise; mixed segme...
SHKP reported a 0.5% increase in FY25 underlying net profit, driven by strong China DP margin and lower finance costs, despite weaker Hong Kong DP margins. Investment properties (IP) showed mixed results, with Hong Kong offices outperforming the market. The IGC in Hong Kong and ITC in Shanghai will complete and open in FY26, supporting recurring income growth. Management is committed to a 50% payout ratio. Maintain BUY. Target price of HK$103.00 implies a 4.0% FY26 yield.
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Damon Shen
- Greater China Research Team
- Jieqi Liu
- Ken Lee
Greater China Daily: Friday, September 5, 2025
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile The price war took its toll on Chinese auto companies in 2Q25, causing a margin squeeze along the supply chain. Price wars are inevitable, despite the state’s anti-involution campaign. Large OEMs like Geely, BYD and GWM will survive the industry consolidation. For young companies, we expect XPeng, Leapmotor and Aito to thrive. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Results Sun Hung Kai Properties (16 HK/BUY/HK$91.40/Tar...
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Damon Shen
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jieqi Liu
- Ken Lee
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, September 5, 2025
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: The price war took its toll in 2Q25, and it is coming back. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Results Sun Hung Kai Properties (16 HK/BUY/HK$91.40/Target: HK$103.00): FY25: Earnings stabilise; mixed segment performance. New IPs to drive growth from FY26. SINGAPORE Update BRC Asia (BRC SP/BUY/S$4.05/Target: S$4.69): Good proxy to rising construction activity. Upgrade to BUY. THAILAND Sector Hotel: ...
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China & Hong Kong Property Strategy: CR Land’s acquisition of Shanghai...
The 30 Jul Politburo meeting emphasised strict controls on hidden government debt and high-quality/prudent urban renewal. CR Land’s acquisition of two prime residential projects in Shanghai (Rmb24.5b) highlights opportunities for SOE developers as LGFVs divest assets under stricter oversight. While Tier 1 and 2 cities show further sales weakness, Hong Kong is progressing with destocking, with potential changes to ease capital transfers for mainland talents. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on both sectors...
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China & Hong Kong Property & Property Management Strategy: Mainland ma...
Mainland property sales continued to weaken in July, which may weigh on the recovery of land sales. Potential policy support in 2H25 could be a positive catalyst. The Hong Kong property market showed signs of stabilisation: CCL index has turned positive ytd, while inventory of primary private residential units decreased 3.8% qoq in 2Q25. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on both sectors, favouring CR Land in China for its resilient performance. We also highlight our other top pick, CR Mixc, for its attract...
00683 KERRY PROPERTIES LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
02669 CHINA OVERSEAS PROPERTY HOLDINGS LIMITED
06098 COUNTRY GARDEN SERVICES HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
6049 POLY PROPERTY SERVICES CO LTD
00017 NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
01209 CHINA RESOURCES MIXC LIFESTYLE SERVICES (RED CHIP)
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Audrey Celia
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Benyamin Mikael
- Damon Shen
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jack Lai Yuan Khai
- Jieqi Liu
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Philip Wong
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Wei Xiang Ku
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, July 29, 2025
GREATER CHINA Strategy China & Hong Kong Property & Property Management Mainland market continues to weaken, while the Hong Kong residential market progresses with destocking; we highlight CR Land and CR Mixc as top picks. INDONESIA Initiate Coverage Archi Indonesia (ARCI IJ/BUY/Rp770/Target: Rp1,280) Well-timed turnaround with true potential waiting to be unlocked. Results Cisarua Mountain Dairy (CMRY IJ/BUY/Rp4,750/Target: Rp6,000) 1H25: ...
00683 KERRY PROPERTIES LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
AIY IFAST
PLANB PLAN B MEDIA
PTTEP PTT EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION PLC
02669 CHINA OVERSEAS PROPERTY HOLDINGS LIMITED
ROTH BRITISH AMERICAN TOBACCO BHD
RFMD RAFFLES MEDICAL GROUP LTD
06098 COUNTRY GARDEN SERVICES HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
6049 POLY PROPERTY SERVICES CO LTD
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
OR PTT OIL AND RETAIL BUSINESS PUBLIC CO LIMITED
00017 NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
01209 CHINA RESOURCES MIXC LIFESTYLE SERVICES (RED CHIP)
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
STM SEATRIUM LTD
DELTA DELTA ELECTRONICS
0303 ALPHA IVF GROUP
ECOSHOP MK ECO-SHOP MARKETING BHD
ARCI IJ ARCHI INDONESIA (ARCI IJ)
OXB MK OXFORD INNOTECH BHD (OXB MK)
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China and Hong Kong Property Strategy: Weakening sales in China has ra...
For China’s property sector, Jun 25 preliminary data pointed to weakening sales, while the land market saw a clearer divergence. Weakened fundamentals may raise hopes of policy support in the July Politburo meeting. In Hong Kong, with the rental index in May 25 only 2.4% lower than the peak in Aug 19, we see signs of a stabilisation of property prices. However, a rebound in HIBOR may test the strength of sales recovery. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT for both sectors with a preference for China property...
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Damon Shen
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- Jack Lai Yuan Khai
- Jieqi Liu
- Jo Yee Ng
- Kasemsun Koonnara
- Kong Ho Meng
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Singapore Research Team
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, June 30, 2025
GREATER CHINA Strategy Property Weakening sales in China has raised hopes of policy support in July; rebound in HIBOR will test the strength of recovery in Hong Kong property sales. INDONESIA Update Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ/BUY/Rp5,025/Target: Rp6,000) 5M25: Steady earnings amid NIM pressure. MALAYSIA Sector Oil & Gas ...
OU8 CENTURION
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
00683 KERRY PROPERTIES LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
5218 SAPURA ENERGY BHD
AIY IFAST
558 UMS HOLDINGS LIMITED
3816 MISC BHD
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
7113 TOP GLOVE CORPORATION BHD.
AP AP THAILAND
5243 VELESTO ENERGY
UZMA UZMA BHD
YNS YINSON HOLDINGS BHD
NETLINK NETLINK NBN TRUST
SIE SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD
GAM GAMUDA BHD
BAB BUMI ARMADA BERHAD
SPOST SINGAPORE POST LTD
DLG DIALOG GROUP BHD
MMHE MALAYSIA MARINE AND HEAVY EN
SSG SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD
RFMD RAFFLES MEDICAL GROUP LTD
ECW ECO WORLD DEVELOPMENT GROUP
DLUM DELEUM BERHAD
RSTON RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS LTD
00017 NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
PETGAS PETRONAS GAS BHD
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
Hong Kong Property: Takeaways from channel check at The Southside.
We visited Deep Water Pavilia and LA MONTAGNE, both of which have seen encouraging sales in 2025, especially for entry-level units, which now yield 3.2-3.7%. The successful sale of Deep Water Pavilia is also attributable to a higher supply of entry-level units and conservative pricing on larger ones. We see positive destocking progress in Hong Kong, and if this trend continues, The Southside may be among the first areas to stabilise and recover price. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top pick: SHKP.
- Benyamin Mikael
- Damon Shen
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- Jack Lai Yuan Khai
- Jieqi Liu
- Jonathan Koh
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Philip Wong
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, June 18, 2025
GREATER CHINA Sector Property Takeaways from channel check at The Southside. INDONESIA Strategy Higher Oil Prices Bode Well For Some Participants Beneficiaries of higher oil prices. Takeaways From Our Marketing Trip To Kuala Lumpur Cautious but engaged. MALAYSIA Sector Construction Sector resists tensions from global uncerta...
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
AKRA PT AKR CORPORINDO TBK
ANTM PT ANEKA TAMBANG TBK
BBRI PT BANK RAKYAT INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
ERAA ERAJAYA SWASEMBADA
5226 GABUNGAN AQRS
TRUE TRUE CORP. PUBLIC CO. LTD.
GAM GAMUDA BHD
ROTH BRITISH AMERICAN TOBACCO BHD
SCGB SUNWAY CONSTRUCTION GROUP BH
IJM IJM CORP BHD
FNH FRASER & NEAVE HOLDINGS BHD
HEIM HEINEKEN MALAYSIA BHD
CAB CARLSBERG BREWERY MALAYSIA B
MRC MALAYSIAN RESOURCES CORP BHD
ICBP INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR T
KPG KERJAYA PROSPEK GROUP BHD
NESZ NESTLE (MALAYSIA) BERHAD
QLG QL RESOURCES BHD
WCTHG WCT HOLDINGS BHD
MRDIY MR DIY GROUP M BHD
00017 NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
FFB FARM FRESH BHD
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
99SMART 99 SPEED MART RETAIL HOLDINGS BHD
KOPI MK ORIENTAL KOPI HOLDINGS BHD
ECOSHOP MK ECO-SHOP MARKETING BHD
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China & Hong Kong Property, Hong Kong Landlord Strategy: Manageable pr...
In May 25, data from 28 cities and the top 100 developers’ sales point to a mom increase but yoy fall in new home sales. Secondary transactions in 12 cities continued to see a yoy hike. Homebuyers’ sentiments remain weak and divergent among cities, but better supply-demand dynamics lower the urge to introduce strong policies. For Hong Kong, the gentle yoy decline in retail sales and stronger tourist numbers growth are positive developments. Maintain sector ratings. Top picks: CR Land, SHKP and L...
00683 KERRY PROPERTIES LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
00823 LINK REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
00014 HYSAN DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
01997 WHARF REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT CO. LTD.
00017 NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
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