A director at Raiffeisen Bank International AG sold 3,475 shares at 36.467EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 60/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last t...
Despite its return to favour this year (+90% YTD vs SX7E +75%), we think the stock has re-rating potential that is still overlooked regarding RBI’s increasingly credible capacity to’ function’ decently without Russia, (the group’s key engine until 2022). Its solid outlook for profitability (ROE ~12% sur 2025-2028e, +7 pts vs 2024), and shareholder returns (dividend yield of ~6%, potential increase in the payout) and low valuation multiples (20% discount vs sector on P/E 2026e). We initiate cover...
En dépit d’un retour en grâce amorcé (+90% YTD vs SX7E +75%), il existe, selon nous, un potentiel de rerating encore mal identifié sur la capacité de plus en plus crédible de RBI à ‘fonctionner’ décemment sans la Russie (véritable locomotive du groupe jusqu’en 2022). Ses perspectives sont solides en matière de rentabilité (ROE ~12% sur 2025/28e, +7 pts vs 2024), et de retour à l’actionnaire (rendement dividende ~6%, potentielle hausse du payout)… le tout sur des multiples de valorisation bas (dé...
We reinitiate the coverage of Raiffeisen Bank International with a Buy recommendation. Our 2026 year-end ex-dividend target price is EUR 38.5, which implies an upside potential of approximately 21%. Our base case valuation excludes the Russian operation (zero P/BV). For 2025, we forecast a dividend of EUR 1.45 per share, corresponding to a payout ratio of roughly 30%. At current levels, the stock trades at 0.85× P/TBV, 6.9× 2025 ex-litigation P/E, and 7.0× 2026 ex-litigation P/E, underscoring th...
Erste shares have re-rated on the back of a strong growth, profitability, and capital trajectory between Q1 andQ3 2025, particularly since the announcement in May of the takeover of the third-largest bank in Poland. Despite continued solid sentiment, we think that our 2027 forecasts, enhanced by the Polish acquisition, are already reflected in the current share price, which, together with upside of less than 10%, warrants a downgrade from Outperform to Neutral.
Erste beat both the analyst consensus (EUR 836 mn) and our estimate (EUR 864 mn), reporting a net profit of EUR 901 mn. The outperformance was driven by strong NII and NFCI, further supported by a positive surprise in other results. The latter included an EUR 77 mn one-off gain in Romania, which offset banking levies. Asset growth remained healthy across both loans and deposits. Impairments were slightly higher than consensus. Guidance was upgraded for NII and CIR based on an improved earni...
Raiffeisen beat both the analyst consensus of EUR 424mn and our estimate of EUR 366 mn on net profit to shareholders excluding Russia, posting EUR 349 mn. The bank outperformed expectations across nearly all key items, most notably in net interest margin, operating expenses, and provisions. An upward revision to the consensus for full-year consolidated profit now appears highly likely, provided there is no exceptionally high provision booking in Q4. Management provided a conservative estim...
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