Today, we are publishing the Industrial section our 25th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. Industrial semi revenues were again below seasonality in 3Q24, and most companies have guided for a further decline in 4Q24. Visibility on a 2025 recovery remains limited, although Analog Devices remains p...
Adsure Services 20.50p £2.17m (AQSE:ADS) The specialist and diversified business assurance provider reports Interims to September. It operates across the Housing, Healthcare, Government, Education, Charities offering a wide range of services. There are two operational divisions, Risk & Assurance and the long-established Risk & Advisory. The Interims show a 19% increase in Revenue to £5.1m, its EBITDA jumped to £0.55m against £0.16m, with PBT of £0.33m from a £0.3m loss. This is evidence of th...
The growth in China’s PV insurance registrations accelerated to 33.9% yoy in 2-8 Dec 24, beating expectations on upbeat ICE-car sales. Tesla was the best-performing EV brand last week with regard to mom/wow sales growth due to price cuts, and it will probably launch a new compact sedan, facelifted Model Y and Cybertruck in China’s market in 2025. CATL is partnering Stellantis to build a battery plant in Spain. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao, and Desay SV.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales up 16% yoy last week, beating estimates. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao and Desay. INDONESIA Update Vale Indonesia (INCO IJ/HOLD/Rp3,640/Target: Rp3,800) Unlocking its true potential. MALAYSIA Sector Consumer Sector is trading at -1SD to it...
GREATER CHINA Results Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK/BUY/HK$52.55/Target: HK$67.00) 3Q24: Results in line; lukewarm revenue growth expected in 4Q24. INDONESIA Update Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ/BUY/Rp10,075/Target: Rp12,000) Solid performance across the board in 10M24. MALAYSIA Results Hap Seng Plantations (HAPL MK/BUY/RM2.07/Target: RM2.25) 9M24: Within expectations; expect stronger contribution in 4Q24. My EG Services (MYEG MK/BUY/RM0.88/Ta...
Feature article: “ROOM” (Running Out of Money) risk, How managing liquidity risk can sustain corporate value and maintain shareholder confidence As we come close to the end of a very challenging year for many UK entrepreneurs, as well as a frustrating period for shareholders, it is time to address one elephant in the ROOM! ROOM stands for “Running Out of Money”. The risk of doing so, or the perception that it could occur, can destroy corporate values and prematurely paralyse a business. While ...
GREATER CHINA Sector Consumer Golden Week: Tourism and home appliances the bright spots; refocus on China theme. Internet Government policy rollout to boost consumption and drive valuation repair. Update Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/HOLD/HK$340.80/Target: HK$355.00) Further valuation re-rating requires more sustainable AD...
When the BoJ raised rates in March, it had been 17 years since it had last done so, though the world was very different then. While the July rate hike was unlikely to move the economic needle, the question now is what else might follow the subsequent financial market maelstrom. Pelham Smithers discusses the outlook for Japan’s macro environment, what new fiscal policies the new PM might introduce, how the BoJ might react and the all-important trend in corporate earnings. This then leads us to...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales down 4.8% yoy, missing estimates. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Desay SV, and Geely. Top SELL: GAC. INDONESIA Update Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ/BUY/Rp10,850/Target: Rp12,000) Strong loan growth continues; asset quality remains solid. MALAYSIA Update SD Guthrie (SDG MK/HOLD/RM4.88/Target: RM4.75) Plantatio...
Positive Outlook Priced In; Focus On Quality Laggards The sector posted a muted 2Q24 PPOP growth of 3% yoy (down 2% qoq). With the sector trading at 1.0SD above its historical mean P/B and earnings growth lagging the KLCI, much of the favourable macro-outlook appears to be priced in. Although stock prices are likely to continue trending upwards with sustained foreign inflows, we maintain MARKET WEIGHT and recommend shifting to high-quality laggards with Public Bank and Hong Leong Bank as our pre...
GREATER CHINA Economics Inflation Deflationary pressures rising. Sector Construction Building on the positive development of macroeconomic policies in 2H24-2025. Internet 2Q24 results wrap-up: Overall earnings beat; 2H24 outlook remains promising. INDONESIA Small...
After Powell’s Jackson Hole speech on 23 August, we see a turning point starting with a US Fed rate cut in Sep 24 and lower rates heading into 2025. In the Singapore market, REITs and the property sector should benefit, as should highly-geared companies and those looking to recycle capital. Our current forecasts have incorporated lower NIMs for banks which we believe are protected by their high dividend yields.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Crystal International (2232 HK/BUY/HK$3.54/Target: HK$4.92) Crystal’s 1H24 net profit grew 14.1% yoy to US$84m, representing 44% of our full-year estimate. Interim DPS almost tripled to 13.8 HK cents and interim payout ratio reached 60%. Management has turned more positive on 2024-25 as it almost doubled its 2024 labour addition target, and is confident on registering a 20% gross margin in the coming years. We raise dividend payout forecast to 60% in 2024-26 and expect...
GREATER CHINA Results Nexteer (1316 HK/SELL/HK$2.89/Target: HK$1.50) 1H24: Earnings miss estimates on revenue. Maintain SELL. Cut target price from HK$2.20 to HK$1.50. Tencent Holdings (700 HK/BUY/HK$373.80/Target: HK$490.00) 2Q24: Solid margin expansion; reaccelerated online games revenue growth. Update Foxconn Industrial Internet (601138 CH/BUY/Rmb21.38/Target: Rmb30.00) AI business continues to accelerate, GB200 scheduled to ship i...
GREATER CHINA Results KE Holdings Inc (2423 HK/BUY/HK$35.85/Target: HK$53.00) 2Q24: Solid earnings beat; new home recovery and pressured margins in 3Q24. Q Technology Group (1478 HK/BUY/HK$4.05/Target: HK$6.00) 1H24: Earnings at midpoint of profit alert; handset business recovering gradually. INDONESIA Results Dayamitra Telekomunikasi (MTEL IJ/BUY/Rp675/Target: Rp790) 2Q24: Core profit up 29% yoy; accelerating the expansion of fibre optic n...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: August Conviction Calls We expect stimulus to be announced in August and add COSCO Shipping Ports, Haier Smart Home, and KE Holdings to our BUY list and add SELL call on WuXi Bio, and XPeng. Small-Mid Cap Monthly Reiterate BUY on Crystal amid share price pullback; eyes on interim dividend surprise. Sector Automobile ...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Kasikorn Bank (KBANK TB/BUY/Bt128.00/Target: Bt162.00) 2Q24: Results in line; healthy asset quality maintained. Kiatnakin Phatra Bank (KKP TB/HOLD/Bt41.00/Target: Bt45.00) 2Q24: Negative surprise results; revises financial targets for 2024. Krung Thai Bank (KTB TB/BUY/Bt17.10/Target: Bt20.50) 2Q24: Results exceed expectations; healthy asset quality. Krungthai Card (KTC TB/BUY/Bt39.50/Target: Bt48.00) ...
Data Centre Frenzy And Record High FDI To Spur The Sector In 2H24, we expect the outperformance momentum to continue on: a) government policies like NIMP30 and data centre investment incentives boosting land sales for the industrial segment; b) new infrastructure projects (RTS, Penang LRT) enhancing connectivity and investment opportunities; and c) increasing FDI driving growth and demand for industrial and residential properties. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Top picks: Lagenda, IOIPG and Mah Sing.
The UK industrial sector continues to strengthen with June output and order books increasing for a second consecutive month, albeit at a slightly slower pace than in May. We think it is too soon to declare conclusively a turnaround, but recent industrial and economic data have been reassuring, as inflation returned to the BoE’s 2% target and sentiment remained positive.
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