1H25 net profit of S$403m (+19.7% yoy) was in line with our expectations, at 49.5% of our full-year forecast. DPS operating profit outperformed our expectations, driven by better-than-expected margins, while USS missed, as Satcom continues to face near-term challenges. We expect STE to remain on an upbeat growth track, backed by a recordhigh level orderbook. While valuation does not appear cheap, we do not foresee any derating catalysts. Maintain HOLD. Target price: S$8.56 (rolled over).
A director at Singapore Telecommunications Ltd bought 100,000 shares at 4.050SGD and the significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the las...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results City Developments (CIT SP/BUY/S$6.80/Target: S$8.50): 1H25: Strong divestment momentum offsets operational headwinds. Upgrade to BUY with higher target price of S$8.50. Singapore Telecommunications (ST SP/BUY/S$4.06/Target: S$4.58): 1QFY26: Robust results on the back of EBIT improvement from Optus and NCS while Airtel and AIS lifted regional earnings. UMS Integration (UMSH SP/BUY/S$1.48/Target:S$1.73): 2Q25: Strong core earnings growth and positive outlook; exploring bo...
GREATER CHINA Economics Money Supply Credit demand remains weak, though money supply improved. Results Nexteer Automotive Group (1316 HK/BUY/HK$6.92/Target: HK$10.00) 1H25: Earnings beat estimates on margins. Upgrade from HOLD to BUY. Raise target price to HK$10.00 Tencent Holdings (700 HK/BUY/HK$586.00/Target: HK$736.00) 2Q25: Resilient results; unfolding AI monetisation in online games...
Singtel’s 1QFY26 underlying net profit grew by 14% yoy, driven by EBIT improvement from Optus and NCS and stronger Airtel and AIS contribution. Optus and NCS EBITDA rose 9% yoy and 15% yoy on a constant currency basis. Management is on track to achieve double-digit ROIC and deliver its Singtel28 growth plan. Digital Infraco is expected to deliver stronger earnings with the eventual completion of data centre in Thailand and Singapore. Maintain BUY with an SOTP-based target price of S$4.58.
TRUE reported a net profit of Bt2.0b for 2Q25, in line with our forecasts but below consensus by 11%. The stronger net profit was supported by: a) a higher gross profit margin, b) lower-than-expected SG&A-to-sales, c) lower interest expense, d) lesser cost of asset impairment, and e) tax gains. ARPU figures of the mobile and FBB businesses were also impressive. We still like TRUE and expect its improved earnings outlook to continue into 2H25. Maintain BUY with a target price of Bt15.70.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Retail Staple retailers remain resilient amid economic uncertainty. Results Muangthai Capital (MTC TB/BUY/Bt38.50/Target: Bt52.00) 2Q25: Earnings in line; robust asset quality outlook. True Corporation (TRUE TB/BUY/Bt11.90/Target: Bt15.70) 2Q25: Results in line with our estimates but below consensus. Update Indorama Ventures (IVL TB/BUY/Bt22.40/Target: Bt27.00) 2Q25 Preview: Gearing up for a stronger 2H25 SCGP (SCGP TB/BUY/Bt18.10/Target...
GREATER CHINA Strategy China & Hong Kong Property: CR Land’s acquisition of Shanghai projects points to further consolidation towards SOEs; potential easing of capital transfer will be key focus for Hong Kong market. Results Launch Tech (2488 HK/NOT RATED/HK$12.03): 1H25: Robust overseas and software business growth; step-up in dividend. Update Tencent Holdings (700 HK/BUY/HK$559.00/Target: HK$650.00): 2Q25 results preview: Strong game pipeline and AI-powered adtech as key catalysts. INDONESIA ...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: August Conviction Calls: Add JBM Healthcare and Lenovo to our BUY list. Take profit on CATL, Han’s Laser, KE Holdings and Longfor. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance In July: Our new Alpha Picks are ASSA, AKRA, ARCI, BBNI, KLBF, MTEL, and MYOR. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Some Opportunities Amid A “Summer Lull”: Our July 25 Alpha Picks outperformed. Aug 25 picks: Coraza, Eco World, Gamuda, Hume Cement, IJM, Inari, RHB and Zetrix. SINGAPORE ...
Our top picks performed very strongly again in July, marked by a strong recovery from VEON, Millicom and IHS Towers alongside continued momentum at Singtel and Airtel Africa. Heading into earnings season, we continue to see the EM Telco cycle in an upswing. This note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space. In our view, our picks remain undervalued, so we make no changes to the list.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PV sales down 30% wow as promotions end. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu. Update JD.com (9618 HK/BUY/HK$123.60/Target: HK$158.00): 2Q25 preview: Intact top-line growth; expecting margin erosion on FD investment. INDONESIA Update Cisarua Mountain Dairy (CMRY IJ/BUY/Rp4,720/Target: Rp6,000): We expect 2Q25 results to remain strong; double-digit guidance remains intact. MALAYSIA Sector Plantation: Inventory continues t...
In line with Singtel’s ST28 growth plan, the group continues to improve its ROIC through better core operational performance while doubling down on its future growth drivers, NCS and Nxera. Additionally, the asset monetisation pipeline has been raised from S$6b to S$9b, offering sustainable 3-6 cents/share VRD over FY26-28. We believe this is a conservative estimate, with additional asset monetisation from regional associates and non-core assets. Maintain BUY. Target price of S$4.58.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Singapore Telecommunications (ST SP/BUY/S$4.01/Target: S$4.58) Driving shareholder value through active capital management and operational efficiency. MONTHLY TECHNICAL - INDICES OUTLOOK FTSE Straits Times Index (STI IND): Upward momentum to continue
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: July Conviction Calls: Add CATL, KE Holdings, Longfor, Midea Group, Tencent and TME to our BUY list. Take profit on Prudential. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June: Our new Alpha Picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA, AMRT and TLKM. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Positioning For Positive US Trade Deals: Our Jun 25 Alpha Picks outperform. Jul 25 picks: Coraza, Duopharma, Eco World, Gamuda, Hume Cement, IJM, Inari and MYEG. SINGAP...
Our picks largely had a slightly slower month in June, with VEON seeing sharp profit taking, but a recovery in some of the weaker stocks such as LILAK offset to continue to see overall valuations rise. We continue to see the EM Telco cycle in an upswing. This note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space. In our view, our picks remain heavily undervalued, so we make no changes to the list.
INDONESIA Small/Mid Cap Highlight Energi Mega Persada (ENRG IJ/NOT RATED/Rp328) A clear turning point. MALAYSIA Sector Banking Loans growth improved to 5.3% from 5.1% in May 25. The absence of strong earnings catalysts has prompted us to maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Results Sapura Energy (SAPE MK/BUY/RM0.05/Target: RM0.07) 1QFY26: Core losses are in line on poorer rig utilisation and lu...
Thailand concluded its spectrum auction on Sunday and raised THB 41.3bn (US$ 1.26bn). Overall process was benign and results were as expected – AIS retained its 2100MHz share whilst TRUE won the 2300MHz and 1500MHz band; only the 850MHz was left unsold. Our brief thoughts below.
Thai telcos had a good run in 2024 and the momentum carried into Q1 2025 with steady service revenue and margin growth. However, weaker inbound tourism figures and the tariff overhang have raised concerns, contributing to the downward revision in GDP forecasts (1.8% to 1.1% in 2025).
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