reports
- Chris Hoare
- Alden Gabriel Lam
- Andrew Agita Buntoro
- Arsit Pamaranont
- Benyamin Mikael
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Greater China Research Team
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jonathan Koh
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Krit Tanarattananon
- Lester Siew
- Malaysia Research Team
- Singapore Research Team
- Sunny Chen
- Suryaputra Wijaksana
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
- Thailand Research Team
- Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, November 04, 2025
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls HSI and MSCI China fell 3.5%/4.0% mom in October, dragged by renewed US-China trade tensions and lack of fresh policy signals from the 4th Plenum. We remain constructive in the medium term but expect further consolidation as uncertainties persist. The best performer among our picks was SELL-rated Li Auto (+21.4% mom). For November, we rotate into oversold names with near-term upside: add AIA, LINK REIT, NAURA, Pinduoduo, PICC P&...
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
00823 LINK REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
C09 CITY DEVELOPMENTS LIMITED
02328 PICC PROPERTY & CASUALTY CO. LTD. CLASS H
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00285 BYD ELECTRONIC (INTERNATIONAL) CO. LTD.
01299 AIA GROUP LIMITED
IVL INDORAMA VENTURES PUBLIC CO. LTD.
TU THAI UNION GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
BUOU FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
558 UMS HOLDINGS LIMITED
GFPT GFPT
C6L SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD.
5347 TENAGA NASIONAL BHD
MINT MINOR INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
Q5T FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
CDREIT CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS
YNS YINSON HOLDINGS BHD
RHBBANK RHB BANK BHD
SUN SUNTECH SA
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
PREIT PARKWAYLIFE REAL ESTATE
BURSA MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
PEP BURSA MALAYSIA BHD
RATCH PPB GROUP BERHAD
2633 RATCH GROUP PUBLIC CO. LTD.
HCM JACOBSON PHARMA CORP LTD
AIS HUTCHISON CHINA MEDITECH LIMITED
RSTON ADVANCED INFO SYSTEMS
FEH RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS LTD
UHU FOOD EMPIRE HOLDINGS LTD
FRKN UNITED HAMPSHIRE US REIT
MPM FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
CSSC MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
CRPU CHINA SUNSINE CHEMICAL HOLDINGS LTD
CICT SASSEUR REIT (S CHIP)
SCGP CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
LREIT SP SCG PACKAGING PCL
2269 LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
OXMU WUXI BIOLOGICS (CAYMAN) INC.
HMN PRIME US REIT
CLCT ASCOTT RESIDENCE TRUST
KORE CAPITALAND CHINA TRUST
OR KEPPEL PACIFIC OAK US REIT
MXNU PTT OIL AND RETAIL BUSINESS PUBLIC CO LIMITED
CLAR ELITE COMMERCIAL REIT MGNT PTE LTD
DCRU CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
MTEL IJ DIGITAL CORE REIT MANAGEMENT PTE. LTD.
02161 PT DAYAMITRA TELEKOMUNIKASI
02015 JBM (HEALTHCARE) LTD
0303 LI AUTO INC
LAGENDA ALPHA IVF GROUP
SDG LAGENDA PROPERTIES BHD
BRMS IJ SD GUTHRIE BHD
AADI IJ BUMI RESOURCES MINERALS
002371 CH ADARO ANDALAN INDONESIA
ASL SP NAURA TECHNOLOGY GROUP CO LTD
ASL MARINE (ASL SP)
- Chris Hoare
Thai Telcos – Q2 25 review: Sector discipline still in-tact
Thai telcos posted LSD service revenue growth, while EBITDA slowed to MSD. TRUE underperformed due to May’s power outage but still guided for 2H recovery on spectrum rental savings despite the guidance downgrade. While risks from soft tourism may persist, sector discipline and its value-based pricing approach remains intact.
- Chris Hoare
Thai Telcos Auction concludes, no major surprises
Thailand concluded its spectrum auction on Sunday and raised THB 41.3bn (US$ 1.26bn). Overall process was benign and results were as expected – AIS retained its 2100MHz share whilst TRUE won the 2300MHz and 1500MHz band; only the 850MHz was left unsold. Our brief thoughts below.
- Chris Hoare
Thai Telcos Q1 25 review: Steady Q1, incoming auction risk likely mod...
Thai telcos had a good run in 2024 and the momentum carried into Q1 2025 with steady service revenue and margin growth. However, weaker inbound tourism figures and the tariff overhang have raised concerns, contributing to the downward revision in GDP forecasts (1.8% to 1.1% in 2025).
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
Thai Telcos Thoughts on upcoming spectrum auction
We give our thoughts on pricing and total spend ahead of the upcoming THB 121bn (USD 3.6bn) spectrum auction in Thailand (likely in May 2025). Reserve prices seem reasonable, but the early auction of expiring 2027 spectrum means total spend this year is likely to be above our original forecasts.
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos & Towers Introducing the NSR Global EM Telco & Tower...
In a separate note published last week we introduced the NSR GEM-Top 8. However, many of the stocks in that list are not liquid and so, given the tailwinds we now see in the Telco industry we introduce a second list – the GEM Telco & Towers Liquid Compounders; large cap, well-managed telcos in attractive markets at cheap valuations that are likely to generate market-beating returns over time. These are the best large cap investments in the Global EM Telco & Towers space we think.
- Chris Hoare
Thai Telcos Q3 24 review: Likely to beat full year guidance as market...
Despite Q3 being a seasonally weaker period, the industry delivered a better service revenue and EBITDA performance. Mobile improved on better prepaid numbers from AIS. Given how strong YTD numbers have been, it is very likely both will beat guidance. We stay bullish on the two with TRUE staying on as one of our top pick in EM Telcos.
- Chris Hoare
- David Lopes
Thai Telcos Q2 24 review: Strong momentum with continued margin uplif...
Thai operators delivered good margins uplift again, and TRUE upgraded guidance. After turning the corner in Q4, Thai mobile growth sustained in the 4% range on prepaid strength. With the outlook now positive , we stay bullish on the two with TRUE staying on as one of our top pick in EM Telcos.
- Chris Hoare
Singtel/AIS Merger of Intouch and Gulf Energy; VTO of AIS. Implicatio...
The merger between Intouch Holdings (where Singtel owns a 24.99% stake) and Gulf Energy was announced today. Following this, a waiver had been obtained to trigger a Voluntary Tender Offer (VTO) instead of a Mandatory Offer for 36.25% of AIS shares. We outline the implications for Singtel and AIS below.
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
Thai Telcos Q4 23 review: Turning the corner as ARPU grew after more ...
Thai operators witnessed a notable uptick in growth as industry mobile ARPU reverted to growth after more than three years. EBITDA also bounced higher led by TRUE, setting the stage for 9-11% growth in FY24. Guided capex also suggests moderating capex intensity which is key driver of ROIC upside. The outlook is turning more optimistic than before, validated by our recent visit of the two telcos.
- Chris Hoare
Thai Telcos Takeaways from Meetings with the Thai Telcos in Bangkok
Our meetings with the two Thai operators (& NBTC) validate our view of a benign mobile dynamic, supported by improving tourism, and sharp capex reductions. Both operators remain focused on profitable growth. TRUE seems very confident on synergy delivery.
- Chris Hoare
ASEAN Telcos Outlook 2024; Continued market repair in Indonesia, Thai...
After a decent 2023, in 2024 we are likely to see further evidence of market repair in Thailand, Malaysia and Indonesia driven by consolidation in both Mobile and Broadband. The economic outlook in the region is generally positive too, helped by post-Covid tailwinds, and China decoupling.
- Chris Hoare
Thai Telcos Q3 23 review: Market continues to repair
Market repair drove faster revenue growth and rising margins for both AIS and TRUE. For mobile, AIS is finally back to positive ARPU YoY growth after fourteen quarters of YoY declines. This suggests to us that the outlook turning more optimistic than before.
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
AIS (Buy, TP: THB285, +28%) AIS (Buy) – Thai regulator greenlights th...
Last Friday, the NBTC has approved the acquisition of Triple T Broadband (3BB) by AIS. This moves the Thai operator up to the top spot in the fixed broadband market with c.36% on our estimates. The remedies were fairly reasonable in our view.
- Chris Hoare
Feedback from Meetings with AIS and True in Thailand
Our meetings with the two Thai operators validate our view of a benign mobile dynamic, supported by improving tourism, easing inflation and lower energy costs. Importantly, both operators are focused on profitable growth whilst capex is also shifting in the right direction.
- Chris Hoare
Thai Telcos Q2 23 review: Moving in the right direction; further boos...
Thai telcos reported a decent quarter, with the outlook turning more optimistic than before. Topline, mobile ARPU growth, alongside margins and capex are all moving in the right direction. Additional tailwind would come in the form of the THB10k(USD280) payout per adult which was introduced by the new government, while aiming to lower energy costs and further promote tourism in the country
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