reports
- Ahmed Ben Salem
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 05/31/2024
Feintool is perfectly positioned to benefit from a brisker energy transition (75% of revenues in 2027 vs 40% in 2023) in both the automotive and industrial sectors. Growth appears to be limited over 2024, but the medium-term prospects look more attractive (2024-26 CAGR: +9%), buoyed by attractive operating leverage (EBIT margin: 6% by 2026 vs 3.5% in 2023) and growing cash generation (2026 FCF yield: 4%e. vs 2.5% in 2023). Based on our valuation methods, we obtained a target price of ...
O2D TELEFONICA DEUTSCHLAND HOLDING AG
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
VAC PIERRE & VACANCES SA
EN BOUYGUES SA
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
ENI ENI S.P.A.
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
REP REPSOL SA
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
BP. BP P.L.C.
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
SHEL SHELL PLC
- Ahmed Ben Salem
O2D TELEFONICA DEUTSCHLAND HOLDING AG
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
EN BOUYGUES SA
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
ENI ENI S.P.A.
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
REP REPSOL SA
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
AUTO AUTO TRADER GROUP PLC
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
BP. BP P.L.C.
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
SHEL SHELL PLC
- Ahmed Ben Salem
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 31/05/2024
Feintool est aujourd’hui parfaitement positionné pour bénéficier de l’accélération de la transition énergétique (75% du CA 2027 vs 40% en 2023) autant sur le marché automobile que sur le secteur industriel. Si la croissance semble limitée sur 2024, la trajectoire à moyen terme est plus attractive (TMVA 2024-26 de +9%) accompagnée par un levier opérationnel intéressant (marge d’EBIT de 6% d’ici 2026 vs 3.5% en 2023) et une génération de cash en croissance (FCF yield 2026 de 4%e vs 2.5%...
O2D TELEFONICA DEUTSCHLAND HOLDING AG
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
VAC PIERRE & VACANCES SA
EN BOUYGUES SA
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
ENI ENI S.P.A.
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
REP REPSOL SA
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
BP. BP P.L.C.
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
SHEL SHELL PLC
- Ahmed Ben Salem
O2D TELEFONICA DEUTSCHLAND HOLDING AG
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
EN BOUYGUES SA
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
ENI ENI S.P.A.
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
REP REPSOL SA
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
AUTO AUTO TRADER GROUP PLC
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
BP. BP P.L.C.
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
SHEL SHELL PLC
- Konrad Zomer
- Stephane Beyazian
ODDO : Recap on France: the market tightens once again
>The three main takeaways from Q1: Iliad at a peak, SFR at a trough, promotions return - In commercial terms, Iliad has gained 212,000 mobile contracts vs Bouygues Telecom 17,000, Orange 9,000 and SFR reported a historic loss of 487,000 customers. In the fixed Internet segment, Iliad gained 85,000 contracts vs Bouygues Telecom at 38,000, Orange -43,000 and SFR -77,000. Iliad and Bouygues Telecom continue to gain market share.In our view, the three main takeaways ...
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
EN BOUYGUES SA
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
- Konrad Zomer
- Stephane Beyazian
ODDO : Recap France : le marché se durcit à nouveau
>Les 3 faits du T1 : Iliad au plus haut, SFR au plus bas, le retour des promotions - Commercialement, Iliad gagne 212 000 contrats mobile vs Bouygues Telecom 17 000, Orange 9 000 et SFR publie une perte historique de 487 000 clients. Sur l’internet fixe, Iliad a ajouté 85 000 clients vs Bouygues Telecom 38 000, Orange -43 000 et SFR -77 000. Iliad et Bouygues Telecom continuent à gagner des parts de marché.Les trois faits marquants du T1 2024 pour nous sont : 1/ ...
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
EN BOUYGUES SA
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
- Chris Hoare
EM Telcos EM Enterprise Revenues Continue to Grow Strongly
In this note we revisit and update our thesis that Enterprise in EM is following an S-Curve, using 2023 reported figures. Enterprise customer growth continues to exhibit an S-Curve, and absolute Enterprise revenues added remains very strong in many EMs despite a slowdown in growth rates. We remain bullish on this space.
- Carole Braudeau
- Carole Braudeau
- Stephane Beyazian
- Stephane Beyazian
- Stephane Beyazian
Vodafone : A new Vodafone for 2025 but still under pressure in Germany
>2025 targets pro forma for disposals stable versus 2024 - For FY 2025, Vodafone aims for pro forma adjusted EBITDAaL of € 11bn (in line with the consensus at € 10.8bn) and pro forma adjusted FCF of at least € 2.4bn (in line with the consensus forecast of € 2.35bn). These pro forma targets are broadly stable from one year to the next and are adjusted for the sale of Vodafone Italy, Vodafone Spain and forex impacts. The priorities for 2025 are as expected: strateg...
- Carole Braudeau
Morning Crédit 14/05/2024
Iliad abonde les obligations Iliad Holding 2031 à hauteur de 150 m EUR et 200 m USD Grifols : S&P confirme le rating corporate B avec une perspective stable (vs. B/cw negative) Delivery Hero : cession de foodpanda à Uber pour 950 m USD + augmentation de capital réservée de 300 m USD>...
- Stephane Beyazian
Vodafone : Un nouveau Vodafone pour 2025 mais toujours sous pression e...
>Des objectifs 2025 pro forma des cessions stables versus 2024 - Pour l'exercice 2025, Vodafone vise un EBITDAaL ajusté pro forma de 11 Md€ (en ligne avec un consensus de 10,8 Md€) et un FCF ajusté pro forma d’au moins 2,4 Md€ (en ligne avec un consensus de 2,35 Md€). Ces objectifs pro forma sont globalement stables d'une année sur l'autre et sont ajustés de la vente de Vodafone Italie, de Vodafone Espagne et des impact Forex. Les priorités pour 2025 sont sans su...
- Chris Hoare
Vodacom (Neutral, TP: ZAR130, +42%) Q4 24: Mixed; Good top line and E...
Vodacom reported a mixed set of results. Service revenue and EBITDA trends were good and came in 2% ahead and 0.4% ahead of consensus respectively. The beat was mainly driven by Egypt, which posted strong trends this quarter. SA and International saw a deceleration in trends. HEPS and DPS came in 10% and 16% below consensus (on an half yearly basis) respectively, and DPS was 12% lower vs. FY23.
- Chris Hoare
Airtel Africa (Buy, TP: GBP1.5, +42%) Q4 24: Decent, Solid top line b...
Airtel Africa has published a decent set of Q4 results. Top line performance remained strong, service revenue growth in local currency came in above consensus expectations and above our expectations. EBITDA trends slowed (but remained decent given the macro context in Q1) and margins came in 1pp below consensus and us.
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR130, +39%) MTN Rwanda – Q1 24 Quick take: Slow start...
MTN Rwanda has reported a slower set of Q1 numbers. Revenue and EBITDA continue to be impacted by the MTR cut and margins were also impacted by the One Network Area initiative and to a lesser extent by the depreciating RWF vs. the USD.
- Chris Hoare
MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR130, +42%) MTN Ghana – Q1 24: Good start to the year
MTN Ghana has reported a good set of Q1 results. Service revenue growth accelerated and continued to grow well above inflation. EBITDA trends slowed but remain solid. Capex intensity was down vs. Q1 last year. Medium guidance for Service Revenue growth (“high twenties %”) has been reiterated. The macro is expected to remain challenging in 2024. However, there has been an encouraging slow down in inflation over Q1.
- Chris Hoare
South African Telcos South African Telcos - CY23 H2 review – Modest i...
H2 was a better semester for the SA Telcos. Service revenue and EBITDA trends improved and capex – while still above historic levels – was contained. However, improvements were modest as the environment remains difficult and growth remains limited.
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