GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PV sales down 30% wow as promotions end. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu. Update JD.com (9618 HK/BUY/HK$123.60/Target: HK$158.00): 2Q25 preview: Intact top-line growth; expecting margin erosion on FD investment. INDONESIA Update Cisarua Mountain Dairy (CMRY IJ/BUY/Rp4,720/Target: Rp6,000): We expect 2Q25 results to remain strong; double-digit guidance remains intact. MALAYSIA Sector Plantation: Inventory continues t...
In line with Singtel’s ST28 growth plan, the group continues to improve its ROIC through better core operational performance while doubling down on its future growth drivers, NCS and Nxera. Additionally, the asset monetisation pipeline has been raised from S$6b to S$9b, offering sustainable 3-6 cents/share VRD over FY26-28. We believe this is a conservative estimate, with additional asset monetisation from regional associates and non-core assets. Maintain BUY. Target price of S$4.58.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Singapore Telecommunications (ST SP/BUY/S$4.01/Target: S$4.58) Driving shareholder value through active capital management and operational efficiency. MONTHLY TECHNICAL - INDICES OUTLOOK FTSE Straits Times Index (STI IND): Upward momentum to continue
VEON and Cohen Circle Secure Investor Commitments for Kyivstar Listing Kyiv, New York, Dubai, and Philadelphia – July 10, 2025 – VEON Ltd. (Nasdaq: VEON) (“VEON”), a global digital operator, and Cohen Circle Acquisition Corp. I (“Cohen Circle”), a special purpose acquisition company (Nasdaq: CCIR), today announce the execution of non-redemption agreements (“NRAs”) totaling approximately USD 52.3 million with accredited institutional investors, including Helikon and Clearline. These commitments cover approximately 5.05 million CCIR Class A shares, securing the minimum USD 50 million cash con...
Following a similar note we published on the EM Telco sector, we apply the same consistent approach to Equity FCF for Global EM Towers. We have preferred Telcos over Towers for some time, as the drivers of upside for the Telcos (consolidation and declining capital intensity) is a headwind for the Towers.
Tower revenue trends were slower across the board except for India’s Indus Tower as it benefited from VIL’s network catch up spend. However, EBITDA margins are improving except in Indonesia which faces the near-term pressure of the XL-Smartfren consolidation.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: July Conviction Calls: Add CATL, KE Holdings, Longfor, Midea Group, Tencent and TME to our BUY list. Take profit on Prudential. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June: Our new Alpha Picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA, AMRT and TLKM. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Positioning For Positive US Trade Deals: Our Jun 25 Alpha Picks outperform. Jul 25 picks: Coraza, Duopharma, Eco World, Gamuda, Hume Cement, IJM, Inari and MYEG. SINGAP...
VEON Raises USD 200 Million in Private Bond Placement Dubai, July 2, 2025: VEON Ltd. (Nasdaq: VEON), a global digital operator (“VEON”), announces today that it has completed the pricing of a private placement of USD 200 million of senior unsecured notes due in 2029 with institutional investors (the “Notes”), following its announcement on June 16, 2025 that it is considering options to raise external financing through a private placement. The Notes, issued by VEON MidCo B.V., are priced at par and have an annual interest rate of 9.000%. The instrument’s expected credit rating from S&P and...
Our picks largely had a slightly slower month in June, with VEON seeing sharp profit taking, but a recovery in some of the weaker stocks such as LILAK offset to continue to see overall valuations rise. We continue to see the EM Telco cycle in an upswing. This note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space. In our view, our picks remain heavily undervalued, so we make no changes to the list.
INDONESIA Small/Mid Cap Highlight Energi Mega Persada (ENRG IJ/NOT RATED/Rp328) A clear turning point. MALAYSIA Sector Banking Loans growth improved to 5.3% from 5.1% in May 25. The absence of strong earnings catalysts has prompted us to maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Results Sapura Energy (SAPE MK/BUY/RM0.05/Target: RM0.07) 1QFY26: Core losses are in line on poorer rig utilisation and lu...
Thailand concluded its spectrum auction on Sunday and raised THB 41.3bn (US$ 1.26bn). Overall process was benign and results were as expected – AIS retained its 2100MHz share whilst TRUE won the 2300MHz and 1500MHz band; only the 850MHz was left unsold. Our brief thoughts below.
Margins are improving as operators execute on cost discipline and shift away from less profitable operations. As capex intensity falls, cash flow is rising and so therefore are dividends or buybacks; LG is expected to announce a buyback in 2H. Thus we are confident of further re-rating and our recent trip reinforced this view. Following the data breach at SKT, near term results are likely to favour KT and LG Uplus. KT remains our preferred pick and is one of our top picks in GEM Telcos.
Thai telcos had a good run in 2024 and the momentum carried into Q1 2025 with steady service revenue and margin growth. However, weaker inbound tourism figures and the tariff overhang have raised concerns, contributing to the downward revision in GDP forecasts (1.8% to 1.1% in 2025).
Following a week-long NDR with Singtel’s CFO, Arthur Lang, and the new CEO of Optus, Stephen Rue, in Europe we revisit forecasts. We came away with the view that the transformation of Singtel remains under-appreciated. Singtel is in a sharp upswing, and we expect the stock to trade above $5 in the next 12 months.
VEON’s Kyivstar Advances Direct-to-Cell Services With Starlink Integration and Regulatory Approval for Testing Dubai and Kyiv, June 18, 2025 – VEON Ltd. (Nasdaq: VEON), a global digital operator (“VEON” or the “Company”), today announces that Kyivstar, its digital operator in Ukraine, has received regulatory approval to conduct testing of Starlink Direct-to-Cell (D2C) services from the Ukrainian National Commission for the State Regulation of Electronic Communications, Radio Frequency Spectrum and the Provision of Postal Services (NCEC). Today’s regulatory approval for field testing follows...
TRUE's net profit for 2Q25 is projected to skyrocket 312% yoy and 26% qoq, underpinned by strong broadband revenue growth, lower opex and reduced network impairment. In 2Q25, we expect TRUE’s mobile revenue to decline 1% yoy and qoq to Bt32.3b due to short-term network issues and other headwinds. EBITDA should drop qoq due to revenue pressure. Maintain BUY with a target price of Bt14.50.
GREATER CHINA Sector Property Takeaways from channel check at The Southside. INDONESIA Strategy Higher Oil Prices Bode Well For Some Participants Beneficiaries of higher oil prices. Takeaways From Our Marketing Trip To Kuala Lumpur Cautious but engaged. MALAYSIA Sector Construction Sector resists tensions from global uncerta...
Kyivstar and Ministry of Digital Transformation of Ukraine sign Cooperation Memorandum to Launch National Large Language Model for Ukraine Dubai and Kyiv, June 17, 2025: VEON Ltd. (Nasdaq: VEON), a global digital operator, announces today that Kyivstar, VEON’s digital operator in Ukraine, has joined forces with Ukraine’s Ministry of Digital Transformation to develop Ukraine’s first national large language model (“LLM”) trained on Ukrainian-language data. The cooperation memorandum builds on VEON’s and Kyivstar’s pledge to invest USD 1 billion to rebuild Ukraine’s digital infrastructure over...
India’s mobile sector sustained mid-teen growth again, though we expect a slowdown to high single digits from 2QFY25 onwards once last July’s tariff increase is lapped. Margin expansion remains a theme too. We stay constructive on India with Bharti Airtel as our preferred pick, but would continue to see Singtel as having more upside.
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