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Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Airtel Africa (Buy, TP: £3, +52%) Q1 26: Strong print; second tranche ...

Airtel Africa has reported a strong set of Q1 results with a continued improvement in underlying trends and strong growth improvement in $ terms.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Towers - A Consistent Approach to EFCF and Shareholder Remun...

Following a similar note we published on the EM Telco sector, we apply the same consistent approach to Equity FCF for Global EM Towers. We have preferred Telcos over Towers for some time, as the drivers of upside for the Telcos (consolidation and declining capital intensity) is a headwind for the Towers.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

EM Towers Q1 CY25 review: Steady as she goes

Tower revenue trends were slower across the board except for India’s Indus Tower as it benefited from VIL’s network catch up spend. However, EBITDA margins are improving except in Indonesia which faces the near-term pressure of the XL-Smartfren consolidation.

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 07/01/2025

Acqua e Sapone: high cash burn in Q1 and higher leverage|Flos B&B Italia Group dissolves its joint venture with Fendi|BBVA goes ahead with Sabadell offer|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 01/07/2025

Acqua e Sapone : consommation de cash importante au T1 et hausse du levier|Flos B&B Italia met fin à sa JV avec Fendi|BBVA décide de poursuivre son offre sur Sabadell|

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos & Towers Another decent month: NSR GEM Top-10 July ‘...

Our picks largely had a slightly slower month in June, with VEON seeing sharp profit taking, but a recovery in some of the weaker stocks such as LILAK offset to continue to see overall valuations rise. We continue to see the EM Telco cycle in an upswing. This note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space. In our view, our picks remain heavily undervalued, so we make no changes to the list.

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 06/30/2025

Worldline: Belgian authorities open investigation into local subsidiary for money laundering|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 30/06/2025

Worldline : la justice belge ouvre une enquête sur la filiale locale pour blanchiment d’argent|

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Sub-Saharan African Telecoms Good quarter, Vodacom price target to ZA...

The Sub-Saharan African (SSA) operators performed well in Q1 with service revenue trends accelerating, solid Fintech and sequentially stable margins.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos M&A Cycle in-bound; buy the targets

With sentiment, leverage and cash flow all improving for EM Telcos we think we are approaching the point of the cycle where M&A is going to become more prevalent, and shift from bearish (in-market consolidation), to bullish (out of footprint). Investors should consider building portfolios based on likely targets. Who are they?

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 06/02/2025

Flos B&B Italia: lower results and increased leverage in Q1|Announcement by the Gabonese Government to ban crude manganese export from 2029|Eutelsat is reportedly in talks with investors to raise € 1.5bn (Bloomberg)|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 02/06/2025

Flos B&B Italia : résultats en repli et augmentation du levier auT1|Annonce du Gouvernement gabonais d’interdire les exportations de manganèse brut à partir de 2029|Eutelsat discuterait avec des investisseurs pour lever 1,5 md EUR (Bloomberg)|

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos & Towers Bull market continues – NSR GEM Top-10 June...

It was another very strong month for our picks as the EM Telco bull market continues. As we have been arguing for some time EM Telco is a much better space than it used to be, and the market has now started to understand this. This note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

GEM Telcos: Consolidation – THE theme driving improved trends for EM T...

Earlier this month we published on how Global EM Telco Capex is falling rapidly, in large part driven by consolidation. On average EM Telco markets have fallen from a peak of 7 players to under 3. We expect many to end up with 2, or even a single network. How much further far might this cut capex?

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

IHS Towers (Buy, TP: $7.7, +41%) – Q1 25: Strong start to the year; Rw...

IHS Towers has reported a strong set of result. Revenue and EBITDA came in above consensus by quite some margin and Q1 numbers trended above the FY25 guide across the board. The company has also announced the sale of its Operations in Rwanda.

Vodafone Group: 1 director

A director at Vodafone Group bought 356,000 shares at 72p and the significance rating of the trade was 55/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly sho...

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Airtel Africa (Buy, TP: 300p, +90%) Q4 25: Solid finish; underlying t...

Airtel Africa has reported a solid set of Q4 results with a continued improvement in underlying trends and lower than expected capex. However, shares are down 8% today. We think this is driven by the delay in the IPO of the Mobile Money business to H1 2026 and the lack of commentary around the second tranche of the share buyback as well as some profit taking. Operationally trends are strong and so we remain Buyers with a price target of 300p.

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