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Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Altice France (Overweight) Iliad (Equal Weight) Bouygues (Buy, TP: €55...

There have been several recent articles about French M&A. The latest article from TMT finance yesterday has some fairly specific details, and most importantly, seems to suggest that the price demanded for SFR is now approaching what we would see as fair value.

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 07/03/2025

Orano warns of bankruptcy of its subsidiary in Niger|Afflelou: S&P and Fitch maintain ratings and outlooks stable after dividend|Maxeda: excellent Q1 results, debt buybacks continue, no comment on the refinancing|Bouygues and Iliad are reportedly discussing a split of SFR (BFM Business)|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 03/07/2025

Orano alerte sur la faillite de sa filiale au Niger|Afflelou : S&P et Fitch maintiennent les ratings et outlooks stables après le dividende|Maxeda : très bons résultats T1, les rachats de dettes se poursuivent, pas de commentaires sur le refinancement|Bouygues et Iliad discuteraient d’un partage de SFR (BFM Business)|

Stephane Beyazian ... (+2)
  • Stephane Beyazian
  • Sven Edelfelt
Stephane Beyazian ... (+2)
  • Stephane Beyazian
  • Sven Edelfelt
 PRESS RELEASE

Bouygues: Monthly disclosure of the total number of shares and voting ...

Bouygues: Monthly disclosure of the total number of shares and voting rights REGULATED INFORMATION MONTHLY DISCLOSURE OF THE TOTAL NUMBER OF SHARES AND VOTING RIGHTS Paris, 01/07/25 Article 223-16 of the AMF General Regulation   Date     Shares     Voting rights   Theoretical (1)   Exercisable (2) 30 June 2025 382,851,284 497,542,923 495,349,631 (1)  In accordance with Article 223-11 of the AMF General Regulation, this number is calculated on the basis of all the shares to which voting rights are attached, including shares for which voting rights have been suspended.(2)  For ...

 PRESS RELEASE

Bouygues : Publication mensuelle du nombre d'actions composant le capi...

Bouygues : Publication mensuelle du nombre d'actions composant le capital et du nombre total de droits de vote INFORMATION REGLEMENTÉE PUBLICATION MENSUELLE DU NOMBRE D'ACTIONS COMPOSANT LE CAPITAL ET DU NOMBRE TOTAL DE DROITS DE VOTE Paris, le 01/07/25 Article 223-16 du Règlement général de l’AMF   Date     Nombre d’actions composant le capital     Nombre total de droits de vote   théoriques (1)   exerçables (2)    30 juin 2025 382 851 284 497 542 923 495 349 631 (1) Conformément à l’article 223-11 du Règlement général de l’AMF, nombre calculé sur la base de l’ensemble des a...

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Bouygues (Buy, TP: €55, +47%) Bouygues Telecom CFO meeting: Pricing, ...

We met Bouygues Telecom CFO, Christian Lecoq in Paris, and provide feedback in this report. We are Buyers of Bouygues due to the strength of the FCF growth to come (telco and non-telco), and the possible Telco M&A upside. In addition, we think that the fibre JVs provide hidden value not fully appreciated by the market. We lift our target to €55 as we now incorporate these into our SOP.

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Orange (Buy, TP: €14.9, +16%) Bouygues (Buy, TP: €53, +39%) Altice Fra...

One of the prominent features of the recent results season for France was a seeming shift in strategy from SFR, as it focused on subs over ARPU.

 PRESS RELEASE

Bouygues: Monthly disclosure of the total number of shares and voting ...

Bouygues: Monthly disclosure of the total number of shares and voting rights   REGULATED INFORMATION MONTHLY DISCLOSURE OF THE TOTAL NUMBER OF SHARES AND VOTING RIGHTS Paris, 02/06/2025 Article 223-16 of the AMF General Regulation   Date     Shares     Voting rights   Theoretical (1)   Exercisable (2) 31 May 2025 382,260,376 490,734,378 488,575,494 (1)  In accordance with Article 223-11 of the AMF General Regulation, this number is calculated on the basis of all the shares to which voting rights are attached, including shares for which voting rights have been suspended.(2)  F...

 PRESS RELEASE

Bouygues : Publication mensuelle du nombre d'actions composant le capi...

Bouygues : Publication mensuelle du nombre d'actions composant le capital et du nombre total de droits de vote  INFORMATION REGLEMENTÉE PUBLICATION MENSUELLE DU NOMBRE D'ACTIONS COMPOSANT LE CAPITAL ET DU NOMBRE TOTAL DE DROITS DE VOTE Paris, le 02/06/2025 Article 223-16 du Règlement général de l’AMF   Date     Nombre d’actions composant le capital     Nombre total de droits de vote   théoriques (1)   exerçables (2)    31 mai 2025 382 260 376 490 734 378 488 575 494 (1) Conformément à l’article 223-11 du Règlement général de l’AMF, nombre calculé sur la base de l’ensemble des...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 06/02/2025

Flos B&B Italia: lower results and increased leverage in Q1|Announcement by the Gabonese Government to ban crude manganese export from 2029|Eutelsat is reportedly in talks with investors to raise € 1.5bn (Bloomberg)|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 02/06/2025

Flos B&B Italia : résultats en repli et augmentation du levier auT1|Annonce du Gouvernement gabonais d’interdire les exportations de manganèse brut à partir de 2029|Eutelsat discuterait avec des investisseurs pour lever 1,5 md EUR (Bloomberg)|

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Altice France (Overweight) Key questions from the Q1 25 results and m...

Last week SFR reported weak numbers at the SR and EBITDA level (HERE). We are surprised the bonds have not been sold off more. Possibly that is because new OpFCF guidance is for OpFCF to be up y/y despite the EBITDA declines, and/or investors think fundamentals are not important when there is a high chance of M&A. We are overweight the bonds based on the likelihood that M&A happens this year – HERE – but absent M&A, it is hard to find much to cheer about in the results: KPIs are solid, but stabi...

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Altice France (SFR) Q1 25: Positive new OpFCF guidance despite weak SR...

Altice France has reported Q1 25 results which are quite weak at both the SR and EBITDA level. There is new guidance on OpFCF, which is for it be up y/y (i.e. for capex declines to offset EBITDA declines (which slipped to –11.6% y/y ex construction from –11.2% y/y in Q4 24)), which is a positive, but we can’t help but feel that the OpFCF guidance has been given in order to distract from the weak underlying numbers. We are overweight the bonds based on the likelihood that M&A happens this year bu...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 05/27/2025

Strategic Transformation of Thyssenkrupp|Bertrand Franchise reported an 8.5% decline in Q1 25 EBITDA|Ardian is reportedly looking into acquiring SFR networks to ease consolidation (BFM Business)|MasOrange and Vodafone Spain are considering selling only 20% of Fiberco (Expansion)|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 27/05/2025

Strategic Transformation of Thyssenkrupp|Bertrand Franchise a publié un EBITDA en repli de -8.5% au T1 25|Le fonds Ardian étudierait une reprise des réseaux de SFR pour faciliter une consolidation (BFM Business)|MasOrange et Vodafone Spain réfléchiraient à céder seulement 20% du capital de Fiberco (Expansion)|

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