While investor concerns appear tilted towards a near-term production decline, we are increasingly concerned that consensus FCF will face meaningful negative revisions, as capex assumptions beyond 2026 look far too low. For 2027–2030, our FCF estimates are ~40% below consensus. We reiterate our BUY, but have cut our target price to NOK290 (325) on a lower fair P/NAV.
Webcast details for Orrön Energy’s Q1 presentation Orrön Energy AB (“Orrön Energy”) will publish its financial report for the first quarter 2024 on Tuesday, 14 May 2024 at 07:30 CEST, followed by a webcast at 14.00 CEST. Listen to Daniel Fitzgerald, CEO and Espen Hennie, CFO commenting on the report and describing the latest developments in Orrön Energy at a webcast on 14 May 2024 at 14:00 CEST, followed by a question-and-answer session. Registration for the webcast presentation is available on the website and the below link: For further information, please contact: Rob...
Inbjudan till webbpresentation av Orrön Energys rapport för det första kvartalet 2024 Orrön Energy AB (“Orrön Energy”) publicerar den finansiella rapporten för det första kvartalet 2024 på tisdagen den 14 maj 2024 klockan 07.30, vilket följs av en webbpresentation klockan 14.00. Lyssna till Daniel Fitzgerald, vd och Espen Hennie, CFO som kommenterar rapporten och den senaste tidens utveckling inom Orrön Energy vid en webbpresentation den 14 maj 2024 klockan 14.00. Presentationen kommer att åtföljas av möjlighet att ställa frågor. Registrering för webbpresentationen finns på hemsid...
Notifiable trading – Equinor ASA A close associate to a primary insider in Equinor ASA (OSE: EQNR, NYSE: EQNR) has sold shares in Equinor ASA. Alf Torstensen, close associate to executive vice president Siv Helen Rygh Torstensen, has on 30 April 2024 sold 350 shares in Equinor ASA at a price of NOK 300.90 per share. Details of the sale of shares are set forth in the attached notification. This is information that Equinor ASA is obliged to make public pursuant to Article 19 of the EU Market Abuse Regulation and subject to the disclosure requirements pursuant to Section 5-12 of the Norwegi...
Meldepliktig handel - Equinor ASA En nærstående til en primærinnsider i Equinor ASA (OSE: EQNR, NYSE: EQNR) har solgt aksjer i Equinor ASA. Alf Torstensen, nærstående til konserndirektør Siv Helen Rygh Torstensen, har den 30. april 2024 solgt 350 aksjer i Equinor ASA til en pris per aksje på NOK 300,90. Detaljer om salget av aksjer følger av vedlegget til denne meldingen. Denne opplysningen er informasjonspliktig etter artikkel 19 i EU Market Abuse Regulation samt verdipapirhandelloven §5-12. Vedlegg
This week, Equinor, Aker BP and Vår Energi released their Q1 results. In short: Equinor reported on the strong side, with a solid FCF beat fuelled by a working capital tailwind. Aker BP had a solid Q1 all around, while there was limited new news on Johan Sverdrup. For Vår Energi, with the results in line with our expectations, we believe investor focus remains on the Jotun FPSO sail-away.
>Q1 2023 results 5% ahead of expectations at the operating level and 26% at the net income level - Q1 2024 adjusted EBIT totalled $ 7.5bn, 5% above the consensus, and adjusted net profit was $ 2.57bn, 26% above expectations, with an effective tax rate of 65.8% vs 78% in Q3, with a pleasant surprise in MM&P.Earnings buoyed by the good performance from MM&P - Earnings for the E&P division totalled $ 6.75bn (vs $ 8.4bn in Q4), down by 20% q-o-q and in...
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$1.00 per share: Important step to unlock Sicily – The Italian ministry has informed ADX that it will be granted the d 363C.R-.AX gas exploration permit in the Sicily Channel. In addition, the Regional Administrative Court of Rome has annulled the Plan for the Sustainable Energy Transition of Eligible Areas that prevented the oil redevelopment, appraisal and exploration activities on the licence. ...
Equinor reported Q1 adj. EBIT 3% above our estimate and 5% above company-compiled consensus. Moreover, FCF was exceptionally strong at USD6.3bn, albeit helped by USD3.2bn in a working capital tailwind, which to our understanding is unlikely to reverse. We have increased our 2024e FCF to USD11bn (~13% FCF yield), which would leave Equinor with a ~USD3bn net cash position by year-end. Consequently, we expect this to trigger an extension of extraordinary dividends into 2025, which should be welcome...
>Des résultats T1 2024 5% supérieurs aux attentes au niveau opérationnel et 26% au niveau du RN - L’EBIT ajusté du T1 2024 s’est établi à 7.5 Md$, 5% supérieur au consensus et le résultat net ajusté à 2.57 Md$, 26% supérieur aux attentes avec un taux d’impôts effectif à 65.8% vs 78% au T3 avec une bonne surprise dans MM&P.Des résultats aidés par la bonne performance de MM&P - Le bénéfice de l'E&P ressort à 6.75 Md$ (vs 8.4 Md$ au T4) en baisse de 2...
Having flirted with the 495-point mark on Friday, which could have triggered an extension of the correction, the market has rebounded well since then. Our technical analysis highlights a configuration in which we are only at the start of a powerful rally. Target of 622 points for Stoxx 600 index (+11%) by the end of the year confirmed. Prefer banks to insurance companies in the short term. - ...
Après avoir frôlé vendredi la barre des 495 points qui aurait pu déclencher la poursuite de la correction, le marché a ensuite bien rebondi. Notre analyse technique met en lumière une configuration où nous ne serions qu’au début d’un rallye puissant. Objectif 622 points (+11%) d’ici à la fin de l’année confirmé sur le Stoxx 600. Préférer les banques aux assurances à court terme. - ...
>Operating profit 4% higher than expected - Aker BP released its Q1 2024 results showing revenues fully in line with expectations but EBITDA and EBIT 4% higher than expected at $ 2.8bn (-17.7% q-o-q) and € 2.2bn (+1.9% q-o-q), respectively. Net profit was 13% higher than expected at $ 531m, boosted by a tax rate of 75% vs 92% in Q4. CFFO was virtually flat at $ 1.45bn and FCF was down -26% to $ 339m.Good operating performance but upcoming maintenance st...
>A 5% beat on operating profit and 26% on adjusted net income - Q1 2024 adjusted EBIT came in at $ 7.53bn (vs $ 8.68bn in Q4; -13.2% q-o-q), 4% above our estimates and 5% ahead of consensus. Production declined by 1.3% q-o-q and was in line with expectations and expected to remain flat in 2024 vs 2023. Adjusted net income was robust at $ 2.574bn (vs $ 1.88bn in Q4), 26% above the consensus with a lower-than-expected effective tax rate at 65.8% vs 72% expected. §h...
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