We attended Kuaishou’s AI Conference on 15 April and Local Life Services 2025 Strategy Conference on 17 April. Kuaishou highlighted its latest upgrade of Kling 2.0 as well as strategic positioning and development of local life services. We believe the company’s local life services segment’s proactive integration with AIGC will help to cushion the intense competition and challenging macro environment. Maintain BUY with a target price of HK$75.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Property In Apr 25, major mainland cities saw mom/yoy decreases in new home sales, while second-hand transactions in Tier 1 cities continued to see positive yoy growth. The supportive remarks by Premier Li Qiang on 15 April point to further upside on property policies. The upcoming Politburo meeting will be an important window for clues of new policies. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. CR Land remains our top pick. Results Fuyao Glass Industry Group (3606 HK/BUY/HK$49.15/Target: ...
GREATER CHINA Sector Property Supportive policy remarks by Premier Li Qiang point to further upside; upcoming Politburo meeting to be an important policy window. Results Fuyao Glass Industry Group (3606 HK/BUY/HK$49.15/Target: HK$68.00) 1Q25: Earnings up 46% yoy, in line with estimates. Maintain BUY. Target price: HK$68.00. Han’s Laser (002008 CH/BUY/Rmb24.27/Target: Rmb32.20) 1Q25: Net pro...
Chinese internet companies’ share prices have dropped 10-30% mtd following the implementation of incremental tariffs from the US. Chinese internet companies have limited business exposure to the US except for PDD’s Temu. However, the 34% tariffs announced by China on all US imports could have potential implications for China mega-caps’ AI capex in relation to US chip imports. We prefer domestic-focused plays which stand to benefit from domestic policy stimuli, with Southbound inflow to be a key ...
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet Navigating headwinds and uncovering opportunities upon tariff pressures. INDONESIA Update Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ/BUY/Rp348/Target: Rp480) Iphone 16 series to be available in 2Q25. Maintain BUY. MALAYSIA Update Matrix Concepts Holdings (MCH MK/BUY/RM1.27/Target: RM1.66) We view the RPT deal as fair and strategic as the acquisition allows Matrix to see faster ro...
What’s new: Kuaishou’s reported 4Q24 revs that were slightly below consensus and our expectations. OMS could further decelerate in 1Q partly due to tougher comps in gaming and continued traffic support to merchants. AI monetization could continue to inch up partly driven by a higher subscriber base for Kling AI. We up our PT from HKD60 to HKD70 on multiples rerating related to AI. Our updated PT of HKD70 implies 14.0x FY25E P/E. We maintain our BUY rating. Analysts: Jin Yoon
Kuaishou’s 4Q24 results are in line with expectations. Revenue increased 9% yoy to Rmb35.4b, within consensus estimates. Gross profit margin improved 1ppt yoy to 54%. Non-IFRS net profit grew 8% yoy to Rmb4.7b, in line with consensus forecasts. Management guided a 1Q25 revenue growth of 10%, in line with consensus estimates, while earnings are estimated to grow 3% yoy to Rmb4.5b, below consensus estimates. Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of HK$75.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results BYD Company (1211 HK/BUY/HK$389.20/Target: HK$510.00) BYD’s 4Q24 net profit came in above estimates at Rmb15,016m (+73% yoy/+29% qoq) on upbeat margins. Net profit per vehicle rose 10% yoy to Rmb8,820. Management targets 5.5m-6.0m units in sales volume and steady net profit per vehicle for 2025. Based on higher sales and margins, we raise our 2025-26 net profit forecasts by 18%/14% to Rmb55,813m/Rmb65,733m respectively, and introduce 2027 net profit forecast of Rmb75,817...
GREATER CHINA Results BYD Company (1211 HK/BUY/HK$389.20/Target: HK$510.00) 4Q24: Earnings up 73% yoy, beating our estimates on margins. Maintain BUY. Raise target price from HK$410.00 to HK$510.00. BYD Electronic (285 HK/BUY/HK$42.45/Target: HK$47.70) 2H24: Earnings miss on margins; future growth will be driven by automotive and AI. Maintain BUY. Kuaishou (1024 HK/BUY/HK$56.80/Target: HK$75.00) 4Q24: Results in line with...
Kuaishou’s share price rebounded about 40% from the previous trough in January, stimulated by the frenzy sparked by DeepSeek. We believe the solid progress of Kling AI advancement and DeepSeek integration will boost monetisation potential from AI applications. Our estimates for Kuaishou’s 4Q24 earnings are largely unchanged, with revenue growth of 10% yoy driven by intact online marketing revenue growth and ecommerce GMV. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$75.00.
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PV sales rebound wow but remain low due to wait-and-see sentiment. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay. Renewable Energy: Solar energy equipment: Policy-driven installation rush to support prices; milder module shipment growth in 2025. Results Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$120.90/Target: HK$150.00): 3QFY25: CMR beat; all-in AI; capex in next three years to exceed that of the past decade. Lenovo Group (992 HK/BUY/HK...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile China auto sales rebounded in the seventh week of 2025, but remained low compared with the previous month due to consumers’ wait-and-see sentiment amid a price war and the transitional period of product upgrade. Zeekr’s acquisition of Lynk & Co strengthens Geely’s premium EV strategy. GWM has unveiled a strategy for affordable smart driving solutions. DeepSeek is gaining traction among automakers. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao, CATL and Desay S...
During Kuaishou's NDR meeting, management outlined strategies and growth outlooks for key business segments including short drama, online marketing, ecommerce, AIGC and local consumer services. We believe the company’s solid monetisation progress and continuous strategies for boosting ads will help to cushion the challenging macro backdrop and intense competition. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$60.00.
GREATER CHINA Update Kuaishou (1024 HK/BUY/HK$40.65/Target: HK$60.00): Key takeaways from Kuaishou’s NDR meeting. Miniso (MNSO US/BUY/US$24.07/US$31.00): Offering US$550m of equity-linked securities; expects to expand directly-operated model in overseas markets. INDONESIA Sector Telecommunications: Average data traffic during the Christmas/New Year 2025 period up 10-19% vs normal days; maintain OVERWEIGHT. MALAYSIA Strategy JS-SEZ: Unlocking High Value Growth And Fostering Win-Win Cross-Border...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Kuaishou (1024 HK/BUY/HK$40.65/Target: HK$60.00) During Kuaishou's NDR meeting, management outlined strategies and growth outlooks for key business segments including short drama, online marketing, e-commerce, AIGC and local consumer services. We believe the company’s solid monetisation progress and continuous strategies for boosting ads will help to cushion the challenging macro backdrop and intense competition. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$60.00. Miniso...
We saw largely in-line top-line growth across companies in 3Q24, mainly pressured by a lukewarm macro environment, but with earnings beat thanks to enhanced efficiency from AI integration. Alongside pending visibility on further domestic supportive policies, we believe the key 2025 highlights are: a) re-acceleration of e-commerce GMV growth, b) potential upside in ad take rate monetisation, c) rejuvenation of online games grossing, and d) sustained travel enthusiasm. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
What’s new: Kuaishou’s reported 3Q24 revs that were largely in-line with consensus and our expectations. OMS could decelerate in 4Q partly due to impact on closed-loop ads as Kuaishou continue to provide merchant traffic support during the major promotion event. Kuaishou would also continue to invest in subsidies related to short plays, e-commerce and local services in 4Q. We lower our PT from HKD70 to HKD60 on lowered outlook. Our updated PT of HKD60 implies 11.8x FY25E P/E. We maintain our BUY...
Kuaishou’s 3Q24 results are in line with expectations. Revenue increased 11% yoy to Rmb31b, within consensus estimate. Gross profit margin improved 3ppt yoy to 54%. Non-IFRS profit for the period grew 24% yoy to Rmb3.9b, in line with the street’s forecast. Management guided a lukewarm 4Q24 revenue growth of 10% with earnings estimated to grow 8% yoy to Rmb4.6b-4.7b, largely in line with consensus estimate. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$67.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK/BUY/HK$52.55/Target: HK$67.00) Kuaishou’s 3Q24 results are in line with expectations. Revenue increased 11% yoy to Rmb31b, within consensus estimate. Gross profit margin improved 3ppt yoy to 54%. Non-IFRS profit for the period grew 24% yoy to Rmb3.9b, in line with the street’s forecast. Management guided a lukewarm 4Q24 revenue growth of 10% with earnings estimated to grow 8% yoy to Rmb4.6b-4.7b, largely in line with consensus estimate. Maint...
GREATER CHINA Results Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK/BUY/HK$52.55/Target: HK$67.00) 3Q24: Results in line; lukewarm revenue growth expected in 4Q24. INDONESIA Update Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ/BUY/Rp10,075/Target: Rp12,000) Solid performance across the board in 10M24. MALAYSIA Results Hap Seng Plantations (HAPL MK/BUY/RM2.07/Target: RM2.25) 9M24: Within expectations; expect stronger contribution in 4Q24. My EG Services (MYEG MK/BUY/RM0.88/Ta...
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