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Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

AMD GPUs, Cyber HW refresh, Arista, Auto cycle and more.

As always, during earnings season, we wrap-up what happened in the previous week. For our main takes summarized on a single slide, and a few words on each of the 34 names we followed last week, follow the link below.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

2026 AI Capex, HBM Pricing, Auto Semi Recovery, and more.

As always, during earnings season, we wrap-up what happened in the previous week. For our main takes summarized on a single slide, and a few words on each of the 22 names we followed last week, follow the link below.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

America’s AI Action Plan. Our 5 quick takes.

The Trump administration published its AI Action Plan yesterday. Please click the link below to see our summary on the 5 most relevant points for tech infrastructure and the broader AI supply chain.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

H20 ban, TSMC beats, ASML cautious, Auto pull-ins, RAN muted. Our week...

As always, during earnings season, we wrap-up what happened in the previous week. For our main takes summarized on a single slide, and a few words on each of the 4 names we followed last week, follow the link below.

Rolf Bulk
  • Rolf Bulk

TSMC 2Q25 QT: AI still very strong; raised 2025 guide leaves room for ...

TSMC reported 2Q25 this morning. Please click on the link below for our take on the print.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Semi cycle update. Much ado about nothing: Tariff and DeepSeek effects...

We publish today our quarterly and extensive review of where fundamentals, expectations, and valuations stand in semis and give our views on how investors should be positioned for the rest of the year. For details, please follow the link below.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

The Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible 1Q25

We publish today our comprehensive quarterly bible: 237 pages of detailed analyses on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings, and latest thoughts on the semi cycle, in 6 slides.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 1Q25 – Foundries: Upside at TSMC, others at risk.

Today, we are publishing the Foundries section of our 27th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. Tariffs didn’t trigger any guide down for 2025, although all flag macro as a risk into the second half of the year. TSMC maintained a 25% growth outlook, implying limited sequential growth in 2H despite ...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

OpenAI buying out John Ive’s io Don’t underestimate the move

OpenAI acquired Jony Ive’s startup io for $6.5bn yesterday. Please see the link below for our take.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Tariffs & Memory: the baseline & what’s next.

Evaluating the consequences of tariffs is challenging. As we strengthen our understanding of the tech supply chain, we follow-up with targeted deep dives across our coverage. This note follows recent ones we published on Nvidia, Broadcom, Intel & AMD, TSMC, and Semicap. ​​Read also our broader notes on tariffs: our baseline thesis for an overall perspective, and our assessment of the macro risk.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Tariffs & TSMC: the baseline & what’s next

Evaluating the consequences of tariffs is challenging. As we strengthen our understanding of the tech supply chain, we follow-up on our initial analysis to evaluate the impact on TSMC with more precision. This follows our recent deep dives on the impact on Nvidia, Broadcom, AMD/Intel, and Semicap. Read also our broader notes on tariffs: our baseline thesis for an overall perspective, and our assessment of the macro risk. Please see the link below for more details.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Tariffs & Semicap equipment: the baseline & what’s next.

Evaluating the consequences of tariffs is challenging. As we strengthen our understanding of the tech supply chain, we follow-up on our initial analysis to evaluate the impact on semicap equipment with more precision. This follows our recent deep dives on the impact on Nvidia, Broadcom, and AMD/Intel. Read also our broader notes on tariffs: our baseline thesis for an overall perspective, and our assessment of the macro risk.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

The token is the new transistor… on steroids – Facts & implications

We now have 2 years of history on how OpenAI has been able to optimise a generation of models with GPT4. We have gathered the data onto a chart and offer our thoughts on implications for the industry and what comes next on a single slide. Please see the link below for more details.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

TSMC & ASML signals, Auto semi recovery, and more. The Tech Weekly Wra...

As always, during earnings season, we wrap-up what happened in the previous week. For our main takes summarized on a single slide, and a few words on each of the 14 names we followed last week, follow the link below.

Pierre FerraguÊ ... (+2)
  • Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Rolf Bulk

TSMC: AI still very strong; unchanged FY25 guide reflects tariffs caut...

TSMC reported 1Q25 this morning. Please see the attached article for our take on the print.

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