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- Chris Hoare
Chinese Telcos Q3 24 review: Macro continues to impact the top line
Service revenue trend kept steady relative to Q2, albeit being slower than before due to macro headwinds. Yet earnings momentum continued to trend in the mid-single digits overall as we saw good cost control by China Telecom again (acceleration in EBITDA) while peers were cushioned by lower D&A costs (back by easing capex).
- Chris Hoare
Chinese Telcos Q2 24 review: Strong earnings despite softer topline; ...
Despite the slowdown in service revenue trend from softer macro, Chinese operators still delivered a strong earnings growth. Interim dividends rose by 7-22% YoY as all three raised payout ratios. Despite the share prices already roughly doubling, we remain bullish on exposure to China’s structural enterprise theme, improving capital intensity and improved shareholder remuneration.
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
Chinese Telcos Q4 23 review: Outperformance by China Telecom; bullish...
China Telecom was the clear outperformer for service revenue growth this quarter and for the full year too, driven by an acceleration in Enterprise. Industry EBITDA trend was less upbeat in Q4 as China Mobile and Unicom declined. Both capex and dividend guidance were bullish; industry capex expected to lower by 5% while payout is expected to trend above 75% over the next three years (by 2026) for China Mobile and China Telecom.
- Chris Hoare
EM Telcos Q1 23: Slowdown in India, elsewhere strong
EM Telcos top line growth slowed somewhat in Q1 driven by price increases in India lapping. However, other markets stayed strong and simple average revenue growth was 9%. Our thesis remains that EM telcos are set to grow sustainably at GDP+ rates.
- Chris Hoare
New Street: Chinese Telcos Q3 22 review: High-single digit growth aga...
Chinese telcos reported high-single digit service revenue growth again, driven by Enterprise and a better mobile performance. However, EBITDA growth and margin saw some pressure, attributed to higher personnel, marketing costs and Enterprise-related technical costs.
- MarketLine Department
Motorcycles in Turkey
Summary Motorcycles in Turkey industry profile provides top-line qualitative and quantitative summary information including: market size (value 2017-21, and forecast to 2026). The profile also contains descriptions of the leading players including key financial metrics and analysis of competitive pressures within the market. Key Highlights - The motorcycles market consists of all classes of on- and off-road motorcycles including scooters and mopeds. - The Turkish motorcycles market had total ...
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
New Street: Emerging Market Telcos What is the Evidence that Enterpri...
Over the last year we have become increasingly bullish on the top line outlook for EM Telcos and in particular on their Enterprise segment, as we believe Enterprise revenues for EM Telcos are set to exceed expectations based on our view that Enterprise penetration is following an S-curve.
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
New Street: Chinese Telcos Data Centres: A valuation anomaly that is ...
In a separate note published today we analyse the Data Centre opportunity for EM Telcos globally which shows that the best value opportunity for those that can invest is probably in China. The 3 Chinese Telcos are each among the top 6 providers of co-location DC capacity globally, and generate 3-9% of group revenues from IDC.
- Chris Hoare
New Street: Global EM Telcos 8 EM Telcos we think are set to double i...
We have written numerous notes now on our view that EM Telcos are in a bull market. And in a bull market it is likely that the best performers will double. In this note, we pick out the 9 EM Telcos we think are most likely to do that on a 2-3 year time horizon. Investors who focus on these stocks we think are likely to generate outsized returns well ahead of the broader market.
CHINA UNICOM (HK.) LTD. loses on its star level and is downgraded to S...
The independent financial analyst theScreener just slightly lowered the general evaluation of CHINA UNICOM (HK.) LTD. (HK), active in the Mobile Telecommunications industry. The title has lost a star(s) at the fundamental level and now shows 3 out of 4 stars. Its exposure to market risk remains nonetheless the same and can be still described as defensive. theScreener slightly downgrades the general evaluation to Slightly Positive for the title on account of the lost star(s). As of the analysis d...
- Chris Hoare
New Street: Chinese Telcos & Towers Outlook 2022 – The year has start...
2021 saw revenue growth improve materially for the telcos largely driven by Enterprise. With Enterprise penetration still in the twenties, we expect this process to continue, leading to reduced margin pressure and accelerating profit growth. Share price response to better trends was disappointing in 2021, but 2022 has started well, with a $12.6bn buyback from China Mobile, and aggressive profit targets from China Unicom.
With a more favourable environment, CHINA MOBILE improves to Positive
CHINA MOBILE (HK), a company active in the Mobile Telecommunications industry, is favoured by a more supportive environment. The independent financial analyst theScreener has confirmed the fundamental rating of the title, which shows 4 out of 4 stars, as well as its unchanged, defensive market behaviour. The title leverages a more favourable environment and raises its general evaluation to Positive. As of the analysis date January 7, 2022, the closing price was HKD 49.70 and its potential was es...
- Chris Hoare
New Street: Global EM Telcos Revenue growth is already double digit
Our thesis is that EM telcos are set to grow sustainably at GDP+ rates. One of the key questions we are repeatedly asked is whether there are any examples of this happening. This note in a single slide answers this question by showing actual reported growth rates of service revenues for the key EM Telcos.
- Chris Hoare
New Street: Chinese telecoms Strong quarter, driven by Enterprise, st...
Even if you can’t invest in Chinese telcos this note is useful as it helps to explain why we are getting so bullish about EM Enterprise revenues. For a number of reasons we think China is a lead indicator for what is likely to happen to EM telco revenue growth in coming years as Emerging Economies digitise.
- Chris Hoare
New Street: Emerging Market Telcos Modelling the Enterprise S-Curve
In case you missed it, last week we published a deep-dive sector note analysing the Enterprise opportunity in EM and we have had a lot of investor interest in the piece. Post-Covid emerging economies are digitizing rapidly, and importantly following an S-Curve of Enterprise penetration. S-Curves are exceptionally powerful in our experience and we show in this note that Enterprise revenues could in many cases double in 4-6 years, adding 10-25% to the top line for a number of leading EM telcos. T...
- Chris Hoare
New Street: Chinese Telcos Enterprise revenues to double in 6 years
We analyse the Enterprise opportunity in China, which is accelerating as it enters the steepest part of the S-curve, in common with other EM markets where we have published a note today on our more bullish outlook for EM Enterprise revenues. Overall revenue trends are likely to improve as a result, driving double digit EPS growth.
- Chris Hoare
New Street: Emerging Market Telcos Modelling the Enterprise S-Curve
We analyse the Enterprise opportunity in EM. Post-Covid emerging economies are digitizing rapidly, and importantly following an S-Curve of Enterprise penetration. S-Curves are exceptionally powerful in our experience and we show in this note that Enterprise revenues could in many cases double in 4-6 years, adding 10-25% to the top line for a number of leading EM telcos.
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