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Blair Levin
  • Blair Levin

T Threats Limited in Senate FirstNet Hearing; House Hearing This Week

In a legislative battle pitting the interests of T v. VZ and TMUS, the Senate held a hearing last week on the reauthorization of the FirstNet Authority (FNA), with the House holding another one this coming Wednesday. In this note, we analyze the first hearing as well as a draft House bill with an eye toward whether the upcoming Congressional action is likely to change the current economics of public safety communications for T, VZ, and TMUS.

Dave Nicoski ... (+2)
  • Dave Nicoski
  • Ross LaDuke

Vital Signs: Actionable charts

In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.

David Barden
  • David Barden

T Quick Hit: AT&T closes Lumen fiber transaction

AT&T announced this morning that they have closed the Lumen fiber transaction. As part of this transaction, AT&T acquires over 4MM fiber locations and more than 1MM fiber customers in major markets. AT&T also acquires Lumen’s fiber build engine which should help accelerate fiber deployment. We published two comprehensive reports when the transaction was announced.

David Barden
  • David Barden

AT&T: Only modest changes to estimates following 4Q results

Earlier today, we published our quick take on AT&T’s 4Q results and our note following the earnings call where we discussed some controversies heading into today’s results. This note focuses on the model update. Our subscriber estimate changes are modest. Revenue, EBITDA and FCF are slightly higher but within the guidance range. A full refresh reflecting the new reporting structure is forthcoming.

David Barden
  • David Barden

AT&T: That wasn’t such a scary start to US wireless results and guidan...

We shared our view of AT&T’s results this morning (note here). Results and guidance were solid. In this note following the earnings call and our multiple follow up conversations, we address key investor issues including 1) postpaid phone ARPU growth; 2) the pace of fiber deployment; 3) Internet Air net adds and ARPU growth; and 4) broadband ARPU growth. You see the trend, right? People care deeply about price and ARPU.

David Barden
  • David Barden

AT&T 4Q25 Quick Take: A reassuring start to 4Q results and initial ‘26...

AT&T reported 4Q results and guidance this morning which largely met or topped expectations. Given the concerns about interior industry competitive dynamics (ok, price war fears), the fact that ARPU and net adds and ‘26 guidance are all pretty much where they should be is a healthy place to start 4Q results season.

David Barden
  • David Barden

Wireless: Key controversies heading into US wireless 4Q25 results and ...

We can’t remember a time when investors were as nervous about wireless earnings as they are going into 4Q25 results. We think this concern is by and large overblown and we will all come out feeling consoled on the other side of this earnings cycle. In this short note, we discuss the key controversies impacting the wireless sector currently and our perspective.

Blair Levin
  • Blair Levin

What’s at Stake for T (and VZ and TMUS) in the Upcoming FirstNet Autho...

Tomorrow, weather permitting, the Senate Commerce Committee will hold a hearing on the FirstNet Authority (FNA). Generally, we don’t write about Congressional hearings as they focus on sound bites rather than policy relevant to investors. Here, however, the hearing could prove market relevant. FNA has a contract with T, but Congress must act if the FNA is to be reauthorized past 2027. And the battle over the terms of that reauthorization pits T v. VZ and TMUS. In this note we provide backg...

David Barden
  • David Barden

The future of US wireless, right now - Extrapolating 3Q25 wireless tre...

We are taking 3Q25 results and the most recent cNPS data and laying out our latest thinking and forecasts ahead of 4Q results. We expect 4Q results and attendant 2026 guidance to contain material information value for investors and we wanted to share our latest forecasts, data, and trends as a starting point as we navigate this impactful season.

 PRESS RELEASE

Martin Marietta Announces Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year 2025 Earnings C...

Martin Marietta Announces Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year 2025 Earnings Conference Call RALEIGH, N.C., Jan. 21, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. (NYSE: MLM) (Martin Marietta or the Company) will host its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 earnings call on Wednesday, February 11, 2026, at 10:00 a.m. Eastern Time. The Company will release results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025, that morning before the market opens. A live, listen-only webcast and supplemental information will be accessible on the Investors section of the Company’s website at . The conf...

David Barden ... (+2)
  • David Barden
  • Vikash Harlalka

A deeper dive on 'terminal' broadband market share

We recently published our Future of Broadband report where we predicted Cable’s broadband market share will continue to fall for the foreseeable future. We got the question, 'what is cable market share looking like in the most mature fiber markets, is it asymptoting?'. The answer is no. In this report, we use data from our Opensignal partnership to show that Cable’s subscriber market share has continued to fall in markets where they compete against only one fiber provider over a multi-year perio...

Blair Levin
  • Blair Levin

Supreme Court Takes FCC Cases; Potential Investor Impacts

The Supreme Court is reviewing two combined cases, one involving T and the other VZ, that question the constitutionality of the way the FCC enforces its rules. In this note, we describe the cases and how the outcome may affect investments in the sector.

Blair Levin
  • Blair Levin

Part Three of Year in Preview: Our Analysis about Policyband’s Predict...

This week we published three notes that preview what we think will be critical to investors in telecom/media/tech policy environment. In the first, we evaluated what questions do we not know the answer to today but will in a year that will have a material impact on stocks and depend in part on policy. In the second, we looked at the biggest policy related investment stories of 2025 and how the lingering elements of those stories will play out. In this third one we evaluate nine predictions mad...

Blair Levin
  • Blair Levin

Part Two of Year in Preview: What about SATS, BEAD, Spectrum, and Othe...

This week we are publishing three notes that analyze what we think will be critical to investors in telecom/media/tech policy environment in the year ahead. In the first one, published yesterday we evaluated questions that we do not know the answer to today--but will in a year--that will have a material impact on stocks and depend in part on policy. In this second one, we look at the biggest policy related investment stories of 2025 and how the lingering elements of those stories will play out i...

David Barden
  • David Barden

Wireless 4Q25 Preview & Estimate Updates

We preview here our updated 4Q estimates for all 3 wireless carriers following our quarter-end conversations. We also discuss the current state of play in the wireless industry

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 3Q25 – Telecom: Growth in fixed & semis; mobile stabilizing

Today, we are publishing the Telecom Infrastructure section of our 29th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. Fixed equipment revenues are rebounding from the inventory correction, rising 11% YoY. RAN revenues declined 1% YoY, reflecting the ongoing weak demand following the 5G cycle. Telecom semis ...

Beasley Broadcast Group Inc: 1 director

A director at Beasley Broadcast Group Inc sold 2,163 shares at 20.000USD and the significance rating of the trade was 69/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two ye...

 PRESS RELEASE

BlueGrace Logistics Joins Triumph Network

BlueGrace Logistics Joins Triumph Network BlueGrace adopts Triumph payment platform to modernize carrier payments DALLAS, Dec. 11, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- (NYSE: TFIN), a leading financial and technology company modernizing freight transactions, today announced that has joined the Triumph Network. BlueGrace, a prominent managed logistics provider, is adopting the Triumph Network to improve efficiency and provide faster, more transparent and flexible payment options for carriers. BlueGrace selected Triumph to enhance back-office efficiency and strengthen carrier relationships. By int...

AT&T Inc. - September 2025 (LTM): Peer Snapshot

Compares key performance metrics against industry peers.

David Barden ... (+2)
  • David Barden
  • Vikash Harlalka

The future of broadband 3Q25: Our updated broadband industry forecast ...

In this report, our latest broadband outlook tome, in addition to forecasting the future of broadband by technology for the next 5 years, we undertake a sensitivity analysis for Cable's end-state market share possibilities. We also refresh our work on the relative competitive positioning of carriers based on end-user cNPS scores via our Recon Analytics partnership.

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