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James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Nexfibre/ VMO2 What can we learn from the newly published accounts

nexfibre (the Liberty Global/ Telefonica/ InfraVia UK fibre venture) has just published their 2024 accounts, which helps to give more insight on their network build, their customer trends and financials. We believe customer numbers on nexfibre were higher than previously expected, implying lower customer volumes on the legacy VMO2 footprint. In this quick note we analyse the key takeaways from this and the impact on VMO2.

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

UK consolidation Should VMO2 consider shutting down its HFC network?

Two of the most common questions we get asked at the moment are: 1) How will the UK broadband market consolidate?, and 2) What can VMO2 do to turn around their performance? We believe an interesting answer to both of these questions could be for VMO2 to consider shutting down their HFC network and moving to wholebuy Openreach’s FTTH network. This could be both value accretive for VMO2 and BT – and allow for a more rational UK market structure. In this thought-piece, we explore further how this...

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos Why are governments allowing mobile price hikes?

We note EM Governments & regulators appear to have become much more relaxed about mobile ARPU growing above inflation relative to the recent past. Why is this? This note gives one possible explanation.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos & Towers First down month, AMX into the Top-10 for T...

After 8 extremely strong months, September bucked the trend. 6 of our Top Picks saw profit taking with only Airtel Africa, Millicom, Telefonica Brasil and LILAC posting positive returns. This note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space. Having strongly outperformed we switch out Millicom for AMX which we now see as a cheaper, lower risk, way to play Latin American telcos.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos Why are governments allowing mobile price hikes?

We note EM Governments & regulators appear to have become much more relaxed about mobile ARPU growing above inflation relative to the recent past. Why is this? This note gives one possible explanation.

Moody's Ratings assigns Baa3 rating to Vodafone's new hybrid notes due...

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has today assigned a Baa3 rating to the two EUR-denominated hybrid securities both with maturity in 2055 to be issued by Vodafone Group Plc (Vodafone or the company). The outlook is unchanged at stable. RATINGS RATIONALE The Baa3 rating assigned to the new hybrids is on...

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos & Towers Continuing strong: NSR GEM Top-10 September...

August was a rather eventful month for two of top picks as LILAC announced the Puerto Rican asset separation and Kyivstar, the Ukraine arm of VEON, successfully listed on the NASDAQ (see our initiation HERE). All of our top picks performed well again. This note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space. We make our first change to the list, swapping TIM Brasil for Telefonica Brasil.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

GEM/Japan Telcos Starlink – What impact might it have in Global EM, J...

Following on from the recent report by our European colleagues on the potential impact Starlink is likely to have on broadband in Europe, we look at markets outside of Europe: EM, Japan, Singapore and Australia.

Vodafone Group: 1 director

A director at Vodafone Group sold after exercising options/sold 871,500 shares at 87p and the significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over t...

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

VMO2 Update Impact from One Touch Switching

It was recently reported that the UK market has now seen 1.5m One Touch Switches since the process went live in September 2024. Given this new data point, we assess the impact of this on the UK market, and in particular VMO2.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos & Towers Another monster month: NSR GEM Top-10 Augus...

Our top picks performed very strongly again in July, marked by a strong recovery from VEON, Millicom and IHS Towers alongside continued momentum at Singtel and Airtel Africa. Heading into earnings season, we continue to see the EM Telco cycle in an upswing. This note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space. In our view, our picks remain undervalued, so we make no changes to the list.

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

VirginMedia-O2 (Underweight) Q2 25 – Customer losses and ARPU growth ...

VMO2’s Q2 results show that customer losses and ARPU trends have slipped further in Q2. Although all guidance has been reiterated supported by hopes of a B2B turnaround and near-term cost measures, we think these KPI trends will make it more difficult to sustain organic EBITDA growth into FY26.

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 07/01/2025

Acqua e Sapone: high cash burn in Q1 and higher leverage|Flos B&B Italia Group dissolves its joint venture with Fendi|BBVA goes ahead with Sabadell offer|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 01/07/2025

Acqua e Sapone : consommation de cash importante au T1 et hausse du levier|Flos B&B Italia met fin à sa JV avec Fendi|BBVA décide de poursuivre son offre sur Sabadell|

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