reports
- Greater China Research Team
Greater China Strategy Alpha Picks: June Conviction Calls
The HSI and MSCI China index rebounded 5.3% mom and 3.5% mom respectively in May, after China and the US agreed on a 90-day tariff truce. Nonetheless, geopolitical uncertainties and tariff war risks remain. Hence, we continue to favour domestic policy beneficiaries and defensive sectors that have been gaining traction in recent weeks. New additions to our BUY list are Prudential and Sino Biopharm, and we take profit on SHKP and Trip.com.
A0M4P7 HAN'S LASER TECHNOLOGY INDUSTRY GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
PRU PRUDENTIAL PLC
01177 SINO BIOPHARMACEUTICAL LIMITED
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
01810 XIAOMI CORP. CLASS B
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
02618 JD LOGISTICS INC
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Greater China Research Team
- Kasemsun Koonnara
- Kong Ho Meng
- Malaysia Research Team
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, June 04, 2025
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: June Conviction Calls Add Prudential and Sino Biopharm to our BUY list. Take profit on SHKP and TCOM. Update Qingdao Port International (6198 HK/NOT RATED/Price: HK$6.54) Key takeaways from NDR. INDONESIA Update Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ/BUY/Rp2,620/Target: Rp3,000) Synergy potential from Lawson; expansion outside Java remains intact. MALAYSIA Strategy 1Q25 Results Wrap-Up ...
A0M4P7 HAN'S LASER TECHNOLOGY INDUSTRY GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
PRU PRUDENTIAL PLC
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
01177 SINO BIOPHARMACEUTICAL LIMITED
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
01810 XIAOMI CORP. CLASS B
UZMA UZMA BHD
GAM GAMUDA BHD
KPJ KPJ HEALTHCARE BERHAD
HLBK HONG LEONG BANK BERHAD
SWB SUNWAY BHD
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
DBB DUOPHARMA BIOTECH BHD
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
02618 JD LOGISTICS INC
6198 QINGDAO PORT INTERNATIONAL CO LTD
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
STECON STECON GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
ECOSHOP MK ECO-SHOP MARKETING BHD
TIET11 AES TIETE ENERGIA SA-UNIT
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
Alibaba Group (9988 HK): 4QFY25: Slight earnings miss; CMR delivers be...
Alibaba’s 4QFY25 earnings slightly missed expectations. Revenue grew 7% yoy to Rmb236.5b, in line with the street’s estimate. Non-GAAP net profit rose 22% yoy to Rmb29.8b, missing consensus forecasts, with net margin of 12.6%. CMR revenue growth of 12% yoy exceeded expectations, propelled by the introduction of service fees, take rate improvement and the national subsidies programme. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$165.00 (US$165.00).
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Greater China Research Team
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ken Lee
- Ming San Soong
- Sunny Chen
Greater China Daily: Friday, May 16, 2025
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile China’s PV insurance registrations rose 0.5% yoy, 26.5% mom and 5% wow in the 19th week of 2025, with PEV market share increasing to 50.2%. Geely’s Zeekr, Lynk & Co, and Galaxy saw strong sales growth driven by new model launches, aggressive pricing, tech upgrades, and robust export expansion. We lift Geely’s 2025 net profit forecast by 24%, given its upbeat 1Q25 earnings. Maintain BUY and raise target price to HK$31.00 Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: BYD, Ge...
- Greater China Research Team
Greater China Alpha Picks: May Conviction Calls
The HSI and MSCI China index fell 4.3% mom and 5.2% mom respectively in April, driven by Trump’s tariff announcements in early-April and fears of a potential global recession. Due to the ongoing external uncertainties, we will maintain our exposure to domestic policy beneficiaries and defensive sectors. New additions to our BUY list are Alibaba, Innovent, Shuanghuan, and Trip.com, and we take profit of CR Land and JBM Healthcare.
A0M4P7 HAN'S LASER TECHNOLOGY INDUSTRY GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
01810 XIAOMI CORP. CLASS B
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
TCOM TRIP.COM GROUP LTD. SPONSORED ADR
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
02618 JD LOGISTICS INC
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Greater China Research Team
- Guan An Tan
- Johnny Yum
- Jonathan Koh
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Krit Tanarattananon
- Philip Wong
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Thailand Research Team
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, May 06, 2025
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Calls Add Alibaba, Innovent, Shuanghuan, Trip.com to our BUY list. Take profit on JBM Healthcare and CR Land. Sector Aviation Airlines: 1Q25 results below expectations. Weak fuel prices to support full-year performance. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. INDONESIA Strategy 1Q25 Results Recap ...
BJC BERLI JUCKER PUBLIC CO. LTD.
A0M4P7 HAN'S LASER TECHNOLOGY INDUSTRY GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
1023 CIMB GROUP HOLDINGS BHD
ERW ERAWAN GROUP
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
MINT MINOR INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
PTTEP PTT EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION PLC
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
CPN CENTRAL PATTANA PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BCH BANGKOK CHAIN HOSPITAL PCL
AD2 AIR CHINA LIMITED CLASS H
1055 CHINA SOUTHERN AIRLINES COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
0670 CHINA EASTERN AIRLINES CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS H
01810 XIAOMI CORP. CLASS B
MTC MUANGTHAI CAPITAL PCL
RATCH RATCH GROUP PUBLIC CO. LTD.
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
MRDIY MR DIY GROUP M BHD
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
TIDLOR NGERN TID LOR PCL
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
02618 JD LOGISTICS INC
MXNU ELITE COMMERCIAL REIT MGNT PTE LTD
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
BTG BETAGRO PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
China Internet: Navigating headwinds and uncovering opportunities upon...
Chinese internet companies’ share prices have dropped 10-30% mtd following the implementation of incremental tariffs from the US. Chinese internet companies have limited business exposure to the US except for PDD’s Temu. However, the 34% tariffs announced by China on all US imports could have potential implications for China mega-caps’ AI capex in relation to US chip imports. We prefer domestic-focused plays which stand to benefit from domestic policy stimuli, with Southbound inflow to be a key ...
NEH NETEASE INC. SPONSORED ADR
JD JD.COM INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
N1U NEW ORIENTAL EDUCATION & TECHNOLOGY GROUP INC. SPONSORED ADR
K3SD BAIDU INC SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
A117ME ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD. SPONSORED ADR
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
00780 TONGCHENG-ELONG HOLDINGS LIMITED
TCOM TRIP.COM GROUP LTD. SPONSORED ADR
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
09618 JD.COM INC. CLASS A
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
09888 BAIDU INC
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
- Jo Yee Ng
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Ming San Soong
- Paula Ruth
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Thailand Research Team
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, April 09, 2025
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet Navigating headwinds and uncovering opportunities upon tariff pressures. INDONESIA Update Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ/BUY/Rp348/Target: Rp480) Iphone 16 series to be available in 2Q25. Maintain BUY. MALAYSIA Update Matrix Concepts Holdings (MCH MK/BUY/RM1.27/Target: RM1.66) We view the RPT deal as fair and strategic as the acquisition allows Matrix to see faster ro...
IZZ TAL EDUCATION GROUP SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
N1U NEW ORIENTAL EDUCATION & TECHNOLOGY GROUP INC. SPONSORED ADR
1295 PUBLIC BANK BHD
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
ERAA ERAJAYA SWASEMBADA
BCH BANGKOK CHAIN HOSPITAL PCL
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
SATS SP SATS LTD.
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
RATCH RATCH GROUP PUBLIC CO. LTD.
00780 TONGCHENG-ELONG HOLDINGS LIMITED
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
09618 JD.COM INC. CLASS A
TIDLOR NGERN TID LOR PCL
MCH MATRIX CONCEPTS HOLDINGS BHD
09888 BAIDU INC
1024 BEIJING KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CO LTD
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
China Internet: Monetisation potential and trends of AI agent from the...
Seeing great opportunities in AI development, major China cloud hyperscalers are significantly lifting their AI investment in 2025. With the launch of Manus, we are more optimistic about the accelerating monetisation capabilities of AI agents and applications through API integration and tool utilisation, which benefit cloud hyperscalers. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Gigi Cheuk
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kate Luang
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
- Kenny Yong Hui Lim
- Lester Siew
- Ming San Soong
- Paula Ruth
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Sunny Chen
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, March 25, 2025
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet Monetisation potential and trends of AI agent from the launch of Manus AI. Results CMOC (3993 HK/BUY/HK$6.72/Target: HK$8.70) 2024: Above expectations; copper output up 55% yoy to 650,161 tonnes. COSCO SHIPPING Holdings (1919 HK/BUY/HK$12.58/Target: HK$11.62) 2024: Results in line; more volatile business environment in 2025 but limited valuation ...
2488 ALLIANCE BANK MALAYSIA BHD.
1295 PUBLIC BANK BHD
3993 CHINA MOLYBDENUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
TISCO TISCO FINANCIAL GROUP
X2S SINOPHARM GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
ERAA ERAJAYA SWASEMBADA
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
2899 ZIJIN MINING GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
COSCO SHIPPING HOLDINGS CO. LTD. CLASS H
RHBBANK RHB BANK BHD
HLFG HONG LEONG FINANCIAL GROUP
IOI IOI CORP BHD
AMM AMMB HOLDINGS BHD
HLBK HONG LEONG BANK BERHAD
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
ABANK AFFIN BANK BHD
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
1888 KINGBOARD LAMINATES HOLDINGS LTD
09888 BAIDU INC
123F 123FAHRSCHULE SE
BIMB BANK ISLAM MALAYSIA BHD
EPIC 1CM INC
Z29 029 GROUP SE
MAYBANK MALAYAN BANKING BHD
HUIZ HUIZE HOLDING LIMITED
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
China Internet: Potential implications from implementation of social s...
JD and Meituan announced plans to gradually begin providing social security coverage for full-time and stable part-time riders nationwide starting 2Q25. Despite JD’s strategic implementation on zero commission and full social security coverage, we opine that this will have a limited impact on the company on competitive landscape and cost level, on the back of Meituan’s dominant market share, extensive restaurant coverage and 1P rider network scale advantages. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
Alibaba Group (9988 HK): 3QFY25: CMR beat; all-in AI; capex in next th...
Alibaba’s 3QFY25 results surpassed expectations. Revenue grew 8% yoy to Rmb280.2b, in line with the street’s estimate. Non-GAAP net profit was Rmb51.1b, up 6% yoy, beating our and consensus forecasts, with net margin of 18.2%. CMR revenue growth of 9% yoy came in above expectations, propelled by the introduction of service fees, a take rate improvement and the national subsidies programme. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$150.00 (US$150.00).
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Colin Lee
- Greater China Research Team
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ken Lee
- Ming San Soong
- Ziv Ang Sze Champ
Greater China Daily: Friday, February 21, 2025
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile China auto sales rebounded in the seventh week of 2025, but remained low compared with the previous month due to consumers’ wait-and-see sentiment amid a price war and the transitional period of product upgrade. Zeekr’s acquisition of Lynk & Co strengthens Geely’s premium EV strategy. GWM has unveiled a strategy for affordable smart driving solutions. DeepSeek is gaining traction among automakers. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuyao, CATL and Desay S...
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
China Internet: Potential implications of de minimis tax exemption.
On 5 February, the USPS temporarily suspended the receipt of parcels from mainland China and Hong Kong. However, on 7 February, Trump signed an order delaying the cancellation of the de minimis trade exemption. We think PDD’s valuation will be partially overshadowed by the potential tariff pressures on Temu but supported by ongoing strategic mitigation efforts. As such, we believe that the uncertainties in policy changes will remain as the key concern throughout 2025.
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Benyamin Mikael
- Colin Lee
- Damon Shen
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jack Lai Yuan Khai
- Jieqi Liu
- Jo Yee Ng
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, February 13, 2025
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet Potential implications of de minimis tax exemption. Property Will local government special bonds be a lifeline for Vanke? Update Sunny Optical (2382 HK/BUY/HK$88.60/Target: HK$100.00) Sunny Optical issues profit alert for 2024 – expect a solid beat on earnings expectati...
ANTM PT ANEKA TAMBANG TBK
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
HEIM HEINEKEN MALAYSIA BHD
CAB CARLSBERG BREWERY MALAYSIA B
ECW ECO WORLD DEVELOPMENT GROUP
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
OR PTT OIL AND RETAIL BUSINESS PUBLIC CO LIMITED
OTEK OILTEK INTERNATIONAL (OTEK SP)
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
China Internet: Growth potential and AI development trends following e...
Amid geopolitical uncertainties, the emergence of DeepSeek models have ignited a major AI industry shake-up, garnered investor attention and drawn wide developer interest in the Chinese AI industry as it lowers the technical and financial barriers in deploying LLM. An increasing number of global hyperscalers and application companies have facilitated the deployment of DeepSeek and Qwen models, further expanding their accessibility and adoption. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
- Arsit Pamaranont
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
- Johnny Yum
- Jonathan Koh
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kasemsun Koonnara
- Ming San Soong
- Stevanus Juanda
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, February 11, 2025
GREATER CHINA Sector Internet Growth potential and AI development trends following emergence of DeepSeek. Property Policy implementation and development remain the key focus and catalyst. INDONESIA Strategy Catching A Falling Knife Or Opportunity To Buy? We Say Buy Our picks are BBCA, BBTN, CMRY, ICBP, KLBF, CTRA, AMRT, PGEO, TL...
ORI ORIGIN PROPERTY
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
D05 DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
CTRA CIPUTRA DEVELOPMENT
AMATA AMATA CORP
IRPC IRPC PUBLIC CO. LTD.
ISAT INDOSAT
QH QUALITY HOUSES
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
KLBF PT KALBE FARMA TBK
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
SPALI SUPALAI PCL
ICBP PT INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR TBK
AP AP THAILAND
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
LPN LPN DEVELOPMENT PCL
PSH PRUKSA HOLDING PCL
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09888 BAIDU INC
BBTN BANK TABUNGAN NEGARA PERSERO TBK PT
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
PGEO PERTAMINA GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
Z29 029 GROUP SE
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
China Internet: 1H25 outlook shaped by implications of fiscal stimuli ...
We saw largely in-line top-line growth across companies in 3Q24, mainly pressured by a lukewarm macro environment, but with earnings beat thanks to enhanced efficiency from AI integration. Alongside pending visibility on further domestic supportive policies, we believe the key 2025 highlights are: a) re-acceleration of e-commerce GMV growth, b) potential upside in ad take rate monetisation, c) rejuvenation of online games grossing, and d) sustained travel enthusiasm. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
JD JD.COM INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
K3SD BAIDU INC SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
A117ME ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD. SPONSORED ADR
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
00780 TONGCHENG-ELONG HOLDINGS LIMITED
TCOM TRIP.COM GROUP LTD. SPONSORED ADR
BEKE KE HOLDINGS INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
09618 JD.COM INC. CLASS A
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
09888 BAIDU INC
02423 KE HOLDINGS INC.
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
Alibaba Group (9988 HK): 2QFY25: Seeking high-quality growth and gradu...
Alibaba’s 2QFY25 results are within expectations. Revenue grew 5% yoy to Rmb236.5b, slightly missing the street’s estimate. Non-GAAP net profit was Rmb36.5b, down 9% yoy and in line with consensus forecast, with net margin of 15.4%. Despite a sequential moderation in GMV growth, we saw a solid performance during the 11.11 campaign due to its strategic execution, and remain optimistic on the cloud and AIDC revenue growth outlook. Maintain BUY with a target price of HK$130.00 (US$130.00).
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Colin Lee
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ming San Soong
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Sunny Chen
- Tham Mun Hon
Greater China Daily: Monday, November 18, 2024
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics Economic Activity October data showed signs of stabilisation, with industrial production slightly missing expectations at 5.3% yoy (-0.1ppt), while retail sales grew 4.8% yoy (+1.6ppt), well above forecasts. FAI ytd growth held steady at 3.4% yoy, although property FAI ytd deteriorated further, down to -10.3% yoy and below expectations. The unemployment rate saw a slight improvement. Overall, the real estate sector remains a key drag on economic performance. Results ...
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