Deutz is a leading non-captive engine manufacturer for a wide range of customer industries with a strong and very well-known brand. The company will enter a profitable growth period soon (CAGR 2023-26e sales 8%, EPS 18%). We initiate coverage with an Outperform rating and a target price of € 7.9, reflecting >40% upside from here. - ...
Deutz is a leading non-captive engine manufacturer for a wide range of customer industries with a strong and very well-known brand. The company will enter a profitable growth period soon (CAGR 2023-26e sales 8%, EPS 18%). We initiate coverage with an Outperform rating and a target price of € 7.9, reflecting >40% upside from here. - ...
>NAV at € 1.116, practically stable vs end-December - Net Asset Value (NAV) came to € 1,274m, i.e. € 1.116 per share, in line with our forecast of € 1.11. It was therefore stable compared with end-December (€ 1.121) despite lower short-term power prices, offset by a rising long-term power price curve. Note that net operating cash-flow reached € 72.8m in Q1 despite generation coming out 12% below budget, largely thanks to capacity growth. The group’s net debt stood at...
>NAV à 1.116 € pratiquement stable vs fin décembre - La valeur nette des actifs (NAV) ressort à 1 274 M€, soit 1.116 € par action en ligne avec nos attentes à 1.11 €. La NAV ressort ainsi stable par rapport à fin décembre (1.121 €) malgré la baisse des prix de l'électricité à court terme compensée par la hausse de la courbe de l’électricité à long terme. A noter que le cash-flow opérationnel nette au T1 est ressorti à 72.8 M€ malgré une production 12% inférieure au b...
The manger comments that, in common with the other trusts in the renewable energy sector, the last six months have continued what has been a challenging period for the Bluefield Solar Income Fund (BSIF). It adds that the trust’s ongoing fundamental performance has failed to reverse a steady slide in its share price which began back in May 2023. Despite this, it says the company has continued to deliver solid NAV growth and market-leading shareholder distributions thanks to a range of contractual...
The advisor notes that while shares of HydrogenOne Capital Growth (HGEN) have continued to fall, it believes that investors should be buoyed by the ongoing growth of the portfolio and the accelerating development of the green hydrogen sector. The advisor points out that despite challenging macro-economic conditions, HGEN’s NAV grew 5.8% over 2023, while the portfolio generated aggregate revenue growth of 125%. It says that this momentum reflects the rapidly accelerating demand for green hydroge...
Edison Investment Research is terminating coverage on ABC Arbitrage (ABCA), paragon (PGN), Foresight Solar Fund (FSFL), Kendrion (KENDR), Lithium Power International (LPI), Triple Point Energy Transition (TENT), 4iG (4IG), e-therapeutics (ETX), Pharnext (ALPHA) and Shield Therapeutics (STX). Please note you should no longer rely on any previous research or estimates for this company. All forecasts should now be considered redundant. Previously published reports can still be accessed via our web...
HydrogenOne (HGEN) holds a distinctive and concentrated portfolio of assets across the entire hydrogen value chain (95% private, 2% public). In its FY23 results, its NAV and NAV per share increased 6% y-o-y to £132.7m and 103p, respectively. Total revenue from its portfolio companies grew 125% y-o-y to £74m. Throughout FY23 the fund continued with follow-on investments, totalling £10.6m. It had a cash position of £4.6m at end-FY23 and an additional £2.3m in listed hydrogen companies. The fund cu...
A director at Sequoia Economic Infrastructure Income Fund Ltd maiden bought 24,519 shares at 82p and the significance rating of the trade was 68/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's direct...
A director at Renewables Infrastructure Group (The) bought 20,403 shares at 98p and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last...
A director at BBGI Global Infrastructure S.A bought 20,000 shares at 130p and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two y...
Greencoat Renewables (GRP) recorded positive FY23 results, with continued strong net cash generation of €196.7m (2022: €215m) underpinning a significantly covered dividend of 2.7x (2022: 3.2x). NAV per share (112.1 cents) decreased marginally from the previous year (112.4 cents) due to a reduction in short-term power prices and an increase in the portfolio discount rate, both largely offset by strong cash generation. GRP is strongly cash generative (reflecting the quality of its assets) and this...
Two Directors at Bluefield Solar Income Fund Limited bought 30,000 shares at between 103p and 103p. The significance rating of the trade was 53/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directo...
A number of factors appear to have combined to have a small negative effect on Aquila European Renewables’s (AERI’s) NAV and discount in recent weeks, including nerves about when interest rates will be cut, lower power prices, and the imposition of new taxes on renewables in Norway and Spain. These may be adding to the broader economic pressures that seem to have weighed on the shares over the past year, but the adviser observes that these are now mostly de-risked. The entire renewable energy i...
NextEnergy Solar Fund (NESF) is almost 10 years old. Since launch, it has built a £1.2bn, 933MW portfolio of 100 operating solar assets, powering the equivalent of over 330,000 homes, declared dividends totalling £333m, and avoided the emission of about 2.2 Mt CO2e. NESF is on track to pay 8.35p in dividends, with forecast dividend cover of about 1.3x. Share price weakness that has afflicted the whole sector means that dividend translates to a yield of 11.1%, one of the highest in its sector, a...
A number of factors have combined to have a small negative effect on Aquila European Renewables’s (AERI’s) NAV and discount in recent weeks, including nerves about when interest rates will be cut, lower power prices, and the imposition of new taxes on renewables in Norway and Spain. These have added to the broader economic pressures that have weighed on the shares over the past year, but the adviser observes that these are now mostly de-risked. The entire renewable energy infrastructure sector ...
NextEnergy Solar Fund (NESF) is almost 10 years old. Since launch, it has built a £1.2bn, 933MW portfolio of 100 operating solar assets, powering the equivalent of over 330,000 homes, declared dividends totalling £333m, and avoided the emission of about 2.2 Mt CO2e. NESF is on track to pay 8.35p in dividends, with forecast dividend cover of about 1.3x. Share price weakness that has afflicted the whole sector means that dividend translates to a yield of 11.1%, one of the highest in its sector, a...
We maintain our Outperform rating with an updated (DCF based) price target of €50.5 per share (was €46). The improved (and better than expected) EBITA margin in Building Technology in H2 versus H1 (despite a 3% volume decline) gives us confidence that even with the expected volume headwind in 2024, Aalberts will be able to maintain margins close to the 2023 level with upside if the recovery starts in the latter part of 2024. In Industrial Technology we think Aalberts is overly cautiou...
We maintain our Outperform rating with an updated (DCF based) price target of €50.5 per share (was €46). The improved (and better than expected) EBITA margin in Building Technology in H2 versus H1 (despite a 3% volume decline) gives us confidence that even with the expected volume headwind in 2024, Aalberts will be able to maintain margins close to the 2023 level with upside if the recovery starts in the latter part of 2024. In Industrial Technology we think Aalberts is overly cautiou...
>Good cash flow generation despite low electricity market prices vs 2022 - Greencoat Renewables published this morning its FY 2023 results. Operational revenue came in up 15% y-o-y, at € 379.2m. Cash flow generated by the installed base (EBITDA proxy) came in up 4% y-o-y, at € 251.2m despite lower electricity prices in 2023 vs the peak reached in 2022 (group benefited in 2022 on ~57% of its Irish portfolio from higher than REFIT market prices). Power price decline wa...
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